I just saw a news report that Repugs are outnumbering Democrats in early voting

[lunamagica]

Last edited Wed Oct 24, 2018, 01:45 AM - Edit history (1)

Is this true?

I saw it on the news, so no link

[Fresh_Start]

1. Repugs always outnumber Dems in early voting

the question is...is the gap wider or narrower than in the past

[TwistOneUp]

2. Doesn't say how they're voting, of course.

Interviews with peeps who voted rethug last time showed some - *some* - are now voting dem. So mauybe this is good news, maybe not.

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

3. It was an NBC report that discussed just seven red states, and the so-called "early voting"

was mostly absentee ballots because in-person early voting hadn't even started in most of those states. GOPers usually lead in absentee voting. The report was quite misleading, IMO.

[riversedge]

4. I read that article today but missed that it was absentee voters. thanks

[fallout87]

8. Not just red states..

The report included Florida and Arizona too.

Take the report for what it's worth.... Speculation. The only poll that matters happens in November.

[beachbum bob]

5. Meaningless jibber jabber....

Unless they have voter party preferences, means little. Early voting in Illinois is all heavily democratic....

[FloridaBlues]

6. I thought Dems are the early voters and repubs vote on Election Day

At least in fl has been trend for several years.

[ffr]

7. In Nevada for the 3 days of EV, Reps are turning their voters out and Dems not

Last edited Tue Oct 23, 2018, 10:16 PM - Edit history (1)

Dem EV: 5,640
Rep EV: 8,080
Other EV: 2,783

Personal observation, a lot lot lot of seniors voting early. Lines are about what they were for the 2016 GE EV.

Update, the numbers were the 3-day tally of absentee ballots, so garbage. Please ignore.

[pnwmom]

10. Where did you get that? They don't look like Jon Ralston's numbers.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog

10/23/18, 2 PM

Big news: The Republicans won Nevada on Monday, by 400 votes, reducing the Dems statewide lead to 3,800 votes (54,563-51,757) or 42 percent to 40 percent. That means the Dems are now about 4 percent over their registration and Repubs are 6.5 percent over theirs.

[ffr]

11. Bleh. My bad I wasn't thinking when looking at the numbers for the first time. Mine were absentee.

I'll strip my mis-informed early post and post the true numbers in another thread. Happily they're actually good so far.

[pnwmom]

12. What is especially interesting is Washoe county, don't you think? Hope that keeps up! n/t

[ffr]

13. You might think so, but Washoe County's been blue for some time

I think as far back as 2012, but I'd have to look it up. Washoe went for HRC in 2016, as did Clark and she carried the state. Nevada is blue, baby!

[pnwmom]

14. I believe the R's have the edge in Washoe registrations, don't they?

[pnwmom]

9. They always outnumber in absentee, and that is included in early voting numbers.

You would also need to know which states are being considered. Some are Red states, and you'd expect them to vote for R's.