FL-GOV: Any predictions?

[RandySF]

My heart wants to say Andrew Gillum can pull it off, but Florida's broken it want too many times. What do you think is going to happen?

[Funtatlaguy]

1. 52-48. Gillum over the racist.

[Tiggeroshii]

5. My money is closer to 60-40

[Chasing Dreams]

9. Agreed

Trump's racism, and his enablers in the Right Wing Propaganda Industry, is on full display. The electorate, outside the R base crazies, is awake and aghast.

R's are crashing, burning. The Great Florida Blue Tsunami will result in early calls for Gillum, Nelson and a surprise congressional race or two. It will sweep across the country.

I can't wait.

[MaryMagdaline]

2. We're gonna win.

Usually I’m a pessimist. Gillum is running a good campaign. Nelson is getting commercials on air, which are anti-Scott. He might pull it off as well.

[Sancho]

3. Since 2000 the repubs here have cheated every way imaginable...

including manipulating the DREs. I already voted by mail, and I also don't want to be disappointed again.

[talkingwithtrumpers]

4. Let's win by a lot so their cheating won't matter

Then change the laws to stop the cheating. That's the Democratic policy now.

[GulfCoast66]

6. Not as optimistic as I should be.

My hopes have been dashed so many times.

And so few Floridians remember how things were under Walkin Lawton. Especially the rural folks who pushed him over. Be beat JEB which most forget.

We had the best park system in America and our land use laws were a model for the nation. Skeletor and his evil minions in the legislature wrecked all that from the get-go. Hell, during his first term he tried to get state parks to have golf courses and timber harvests. That was too much even for his minions.

[LBM20]

13. Go vote. Take friends. GOTV.

[Flaleftist]

7. Florida went for Obama twice.

I think we can do it.

[peekaloo]

14. He had help from Republicans and Independents.

Gillum just may benefit from that as well.

I'm cautiously optimistic.

[C_U_L8R]

8. The blue wave is rising

and rightwing republicans are freaking out.
Things look good. GOTV.

[Awsi Dooger]

10. Independents will push Gillum narrowly over the top

The current approval dip for Trump is very helpful in a state with such razor tight margins.

I have never believed the nonsense that we will dominate based on enthusiasm or turnout. Bottom line, adjustments don't work. Too many of our strongholds like youth voters and single women simply don't show up in midterms. That will not change appreciably.

But independents shifted away from Trump in early 2017 and have largely stayed away. That will be enough in this race.

In a true swing state like Florida I am not scared of a party that managed only 46% nationwide in 2016. DeSantis doesn't have the ability to push a button and request the electoral college option of still being able to win if he loses by 2.5% or higher.

[quaker bill]

11. my head says 4 points, my gut says 6

the republicans I work for are a bit panicked.

[LBM20]

12. Go vote and GOTV. Just do that.

[JCMach1]

15. Gillum +4 Nelson +2

[peekaloo]

16. I early voted yesterday and was somewhat surprised to see a small but steady stream

of people showing up to vote. I was expecting a ghost town as it was 3:30 in the afternoon. Most people wearing blue, too. One white grandmother brought along her black granddaughter to let her mark the oval for Gillum. I'm sure that would light some Reptilian heads afire!

The other location for voting is a court house annex and there were about 20 people in line but you have to be screened before entering which skews the perspective but the parking lot was 2/3 full.

I am cautiously optimistic.

p.s. this is a very red county

[mcar]

17. Gillum will take it

His coattails will bring Nelson and the cabinet over the finish line.