I'm making my prediction on TX Senate Race

[Legends303]

I’m going to give it to Beto O’Rouke. I see so much energy on his side. The rallies has been Presidential levels. I also see him getting so many cross over votes that might vote Republican on the rest of the ticket. Never in my life time have I seen a candidate work this hard for a Senate seat. Also I think he is the strongest challenger to an incumbent we’ve seen in this election cycle. A year ago I would have given it to Ted Cruz to win or even a week ago because how red Texas is. The latest poll I have seen him Beto is within 3 points.I think Tuesday we are going to see a historical upset in this race.

[OnDoutside]

1. And potentially Shy Republicans quietly crossing over.

[JCMach1]

2. Ticket splits require work when there is straight party voting option

Another reason why Texas is a hard nut to crack...

[yellowdogintexas]

15. The dust up on the Hart machines in 86 counties may cause a lower % of straight tickets

Lots of these machines were in the big counties and when the rumours started flying about the vote switching on the Senate race, word went out fast to vote the individual lines.

This was going on both ways, too. For some reason it only impacted the first line of the ballot.

The problem was with people moving too fast before the screen populated all the boxes and the summary would show the opposite from the original choice just on that top line.

The major advice was go slow check everything or check off all the boxes

[dalton99a]

3. Beto is phenomenal.

[pamela]

4. Beto will win.

Beto will win. Beto will win. Beto will win.

[Rizen]

5. I'm worried about the voting machines' "malfunctions"

That were changing votes. Republicans win by cheating.

[louis c]

17. Well, no need to vote then

since the election is fixed, anyway.

I am always skeptical of a low post newbie without a donation telling DUers our votes don't count.

DUers, please ignore this BS and get out and vote. Every vote counts.

[Liberal In Texas]

6. It'll be down to turnout.

Which side is more motivated. The reds aren't laying down and staying home. We also have to fight the stupid voter suppression laws.

But I have a real positive vibe about the race. If we just had to worry about the voters in the large urban centers it wouldn't even be a contest. In my neighborhood you see about 50 Beto signs to every Cruz one.

[Dem_4_Life]

7. I agree I have never seen so many people motivated & there are a lot of R's excited for Beto.

You never see people say I am a republican and voting for the Dem guy. I think most of the polls are not polling the "NEW" likely voter. There are so many new voters and people that typically don't vote cause they aren't excited or they thing their vote doesn't matter that are now excited to vote.

Plus, these days most people don't answer their phone so the people that do are the ones being polled. I imagine that is a lot of older people that would tend to vote R anyway.

I am excited and nervous at the same time.

[dalton99a]

10. +1. Early voting stats are amazing.

[Dave Starsky]

21. We have lifelong Texas R's in our family who are voting for Beto.

They always voted Republican before, because that's just what they'd always done. But they can't stand Trump. And Cruz has never had effective opposition until now. Beto is like the USS Enterprise D swooping in.

[Dem_4_Life]

23. That is awesome!

[Wounded Bear]

8. I'm hopeful...

[Honeycombe8]

9. I hope you're right. We'll all be watching that race closely. But a warning...

I've seen a lot of energy in elections before that didn't translate into enough votes to win.

Remember that the districts are gerrymandered.

Maybe someone can correct me, but I THINK if the majority of residents in a district vote for a candidate, then the whole district counts for a candidate. It doesn't matter if a candidate gets 55% or 95% of that district. All that matters is that s/he gets the required majority to win that district. (State law governs the majority % required.)

Isn't that the way it works?

[dalton99a]

11. U.S. senators are elected on a statewide basis

[KatyMan]

12. Gerrymandering doesn't matter

In a statewide race.

[texasfiddler]

13. I live in rural Texas

I hope Beto is bringing in metropolitan progressives and suburban independent voters in by the droves. There were no Cruz signs around my ranch up to about 5 weeks ago. Now they are everywhere. We have done everything in our little County Democratic Club to get out the vote of our progressive brethren. We still continue to canvass, call, and knock on doors. A word of caution: the right wingers around me are motivated as well. It sucks. I love the country life, but I hate country political views. I think Beto ran an excellent campaign. I talked with him when he visited our county back in August. Go Beto Go!

[Dopers_Greed]

14. I think so too

The energy on the ground is unlike anything I've seen before. Even Obama in 2008 doesn't compare.

The polling place near my apartment was slammed all through early voting.

I've seen so many new voters register, all Beto supporters.

And my republican parents are flipping to Beto.

I'm still being cautious, and know this is all anecdotal, but I think he's going to win.

[marble falls]

16. I've heard from all sorts of Republicans voting Democratic for the national office and two three ..

state offices. Beto signs everywhere. Never seen anything like it.

[imavoter]

18. I hope so

I live in Texas.
Both sides are motivated.
So we wait. I don't even know what to think.

[duforsure]

19. I agree

Especially after trump attended the rally for cruz, and cruz's ad acting like he's not against Medicare , and Social Security , when he voted and they passed their tax scam bill , which took a trillion out of Medicaid, a half a trillion out of Medicare, and billions out of Social Security. McConnell already has stated they are going to cut more out of Medicare , and Social Security, and trump and cruz are all for it, no matter what cruz claims on his commercials, he'll vote to destroy both programs, and trump will sign it into law. Cruz is a liar.

[blogslut]

20. Go outside turn around three times and spit!

[Vinca]

22. I have that feeling, too. He's the best candidate we've had for anything since Obama.

And no one in Texas can claim to be neglected. He's visited counties Cruz has never heard of.

[rdking647]

24. ill be out knocking on doors today

something i havent done since 2008