Ugg Indiana

[Polybius]

19% in, 56.4 for Braun to 39.9 Donnelly.

[honest.abe]

1. Crap. Early but crap.

We need Indiana to take the Senate.

[Polybius]

2. Indiana has gone far-right since Obama won it in 2008

You're right though, it's still early enough.

[salin]

3. I don't think any of the blue areas are yet reporting

Indianapolis (Marion County)
Gary/Region (Lake County)
Smaller but blue
Bloomington (Monroe Country)

Braun may win - but it won't look anything like these numbers.

[OliverQ]

4. Urban areas haven't reported yet and Donnelly is winning southern indiana.

Kornacki said him picking up the Southern districts like Obama is a good sign.

[salin]

6. and is currently leading in the Fort Wayne area

which apparently went big for Trump. Big deal - I hope.

[Garrett78]

5. 538 says he will need really big numbers from metro areas.

And the guy is no liberal. I couldn't live in a state like Indiana.

[Polybius]

7. 31% in now

55 Braun to 41 Donnelly.

[Demovictory9]

8. exit polls not looking good for this one. Males went for Braun 55%, women for Donnelly 50%

That gender balance isn't good for donnelly

[Quixote1818]

9. Calm down, this is still rural areas which are a tiny % of the state.

I would still bet $100 we win that one.

[Polybius]

10. I'm a former gambler, so I can't take that bet

But it's not looking like we take this one. I promise to come back and give you credit if you're right.

[Sylvarose]

11. Monroe county voted til 7

Heavy dem county (home of IU). We ran out of ballots. Got extension to vote to7. Wait to see votes from us.

[Polybius]

12. Cool

It's at 41% now. Lots more to go.

[Polybius]

13. 60% in

55 to 41, little change.

[Polybius]

14. It's been called for Braun