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Wed Jan 4, 2012, 01:59 AM

66 (Revised Landslide addition)

Last edited Wed Jan 4, 2012, 07:44 AM - Edit history (1)


30,015 Romney 2012
29,949 Romney 2008



After spending millions of dollars and campaigning for 5 years Romney is going to get 66 more votes than he had 4 years ago. That is going to work out to about $ 100,000 per additional voter.

He made the amateur mistake by moving to NH so even if he has a big win there it will be discounted as a 'favorite son' result.

He has now antagonized the best political bomb thrower in the business, Gingrich is going to be completely focused and unleashed.

With 27 proportional primaries and no reason for the top 4-5 to drop out ( too bad Pawlenty) no one is going to get the 51% of the delegates before the convention (in reality it is impossible in a competitive race if there are three candidates).

The field will narrow down consolidating the anti-Romney vote.

They will all focus on him now.

Romney is the front runner who has no where to go but down. He is unable to pick up supporters from other candidates when they drop out. He doesn't really have close associations with the Republican inner circle.

People don't like him and he is a terrible campaigner, the more they see him the less they like him. His reciting the words of America the Beautiful is an embarassing attempt to be folksy. He can't name anybody that makes him laugh since the 3 Stooges.

Said it before, not going to be Romney, it will go to the convention and there will be a draft for a Republican Governor, and the Republicans will start over again with people that actually win elections.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/100252986

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 15 replies Author Time Post
Reply 66 (Revised Landslide addition) (Original post)
grantcart Jan 2012 OP
The Magistrate Jan 2012 #1
grantcart Jan 2012 #13
book_worm Jan 2012 #2
bhikkhu Jan 2012 #9
Politicalboi Jan 2012 #3
Motown_Johnny Jan 2012 #5
fishwax Jan 2012 #4
cliffordu Jan 2012 #6
RZM Jan 2012 #7
Post removed Jan 2012 #8
RZM Jan 2012 #10
Angry Dragon Jan 2012 #12
tallahasseedem Jan 2012 #14
grantcart Jan 2012 #15
The Doctor. Jan 2012 #11

Response to grantcart (Original post)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:01 AM

1. An Excellent Analysis, Sir

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Response to The Magistrate (Reply #1)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 07:45 AM

13. Good to see that you could take a break for airplane design to join us Sir.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:02 AM

2. Good points, but it does sound like Perry and probably Bachmann will leave

but you're right about Newt (what is his final percentage?) he will be devoting every day for the next week attacking Romney. I still don't think it will go to the convention, though.

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Response to book_worm (Reply #2)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:28 AM

9. When the money dries up, it doesn't matter what they decide

...and it gets suddenly very hard to raise funds when the voters has lost interest in you.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:02 AM

3. He might get

 

Huntsmans votes. LOL!

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Response to Politicalboi (Reply #3)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:04 AM

5. both of them

 

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:02 AM

4. bwahaha!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:15 AM

6. K&R...Another edition of your excellent ongoing analysis....

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:21 AM

7. I think he will actually get the required delegates before the convention

 

Perry and Bachmann are going to be out real soon. Bachmann's support will mostly go to Ricky, but it's small. Romney will get a decent chunk of the Perry support. Probably not a majority, but some.

Once Huntsman drops out, Romney will get his 1 percent as well

In a three man race between Romney, Gingrich, and Santorum, the latter two will split the anti-Romney vote and start fighting each other. Romney will slowly start to pull away and chip away at each of them until both are left with nothing but their core supporters. For Ricky, that's the most hardcore evangelicals. For Gingrich, that's nobody.

Paul's kind of a special case because his base is not really traditional Republicans. His support will also dwindle down to his core, which is where it was last time. The fair-weather Paulites that are actually Republicans will probably break more for Romney than anybody else.

There's no way that after all of this, some Deus Ex Machina event happens at the convention. Romney will be the nominee and he'll get the nomination the old fashioned way.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)


Response to Post removed (Reply #8)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:30 AM

10. That's how you're going to use your one and only post?

 

It doesn't even make sense. And it's at 1.30 EST, when it won't be seen by very many people.

You didn't think this through, did you?

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Response to RZM (Reply #10)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 03:41 AM

12. I did get a good chuckle out of post #8

and you had a good reply

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Response to RZM (Reply #10)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 08:48 AM

14. I'm just sad that the tombstone isn't there anymore.

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Response to RZM (Reply #10)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 11:36 AM

15. Damn missed a one post flame out.

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Response to Post removed (Reply #8)

Wed Jan 4, 2012, 02:35 AM

11. You're a moron right out of the gate.

 

I'd like to help enlighten you, but you're likely dedicated to ignorance.

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