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Norbert

(7,765 posts)
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 08:35 AM Dec 2018

Matthew Dowd: This (ACA lower court decision) will be a major, major problem for Republicans.

His rationale:

Obamacare has never been more popular than it is now.

Democrats ran in 2018 on healthcare and keeping pre-existing conditions as part of health insurance plans and will continue to do so in 2020.

If this decision stands there will be a push for Medicare for all.

tRump praising the Texas court decision is like celebrating a touchdown before halftime when half of your players on your team are injured.

54 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Matthew Dowd: This (ACA lower court decision) will be a major, major problem for Republicans. (Original Post) Norbert Dec 2018 OP
No it won't...health care will be over. The GOP care nothing for what voters want Demsrule86 Dec 2018 #1
I tend to agree with your opinion. I see this as a gateway to challenge Medicare..what the GOP has allgood33 Dec 2018 #2
That is it...it is a back door way to destroy what they call entitlements. Demsrule86 Dec 2018 #4
Yes, and in the process they are eroding their own support and destroying themselves. Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2018 #10
Medicare, which I have been on for 7 years, is also popular. watoos Dec 2018 #18
I do hope you have True Blue American Dec 2018 #27
Loss of ACA will ,,,, Cryptoad Dec 2018 #31
I doubt this will hurt True Blue American Dec 2018 #35
CIVILIZED... yes.... pangaia Dec 2018 #42
Our present health insurance is the most expensive in the world. watoos Dec 2018 #16
Yes! True Blue American Dec 2018 #29
If the ruling stands I agree with you Buckeyeblue Dec 2018 #22
Dems and Independents want HEALTHCARE. Will still be a HUGE issue. Will HURT the R's. LBM20 Dec 2018 #25
I will not venture to predict the outcome. But, how long can Repulicans continue their opposition? olegramps Dec 2018 #37
Democrats need to get the message out... pangaia Dec 2018 #44
As long as they control drawing House districts in enough states maxrandb Dec 2018 #51
I disagree. Blue_true Dec 2018 #43
I agree w/ Dowd. The end of the repug party is in sight...The ACA is one of the most popular... SWBTATTReg Dec 2018 #3
Did you see what happened in Wisconsin or Michigan, Florida? The GOP ignores what people Demsrule86 Dec 2018 #6
This decision will be appealed and ACA will be allowed to stand, as it has repeatedly gone through.. SWBTATTReg Dec 2018 #7
Ah but the thing is, watoos Dec 2018 #19
But 'everyone' doesn't have a fucking clue what is happening pangaia Dec 2018 #45
I think the main point is that down the road it can help us secure the seats cstanleytech Dec 2018 #23
Focus on WINNING ELECTIONS. Protests are a waste of time. LBM20 Dec 2018 #26
Protests can draw attention to Cha Dec 2018 #53
I want to agree with you, but it really depends on how hard Democrats campaign Perseus Dec 2018 #8
I think democrats in the 2018 campaign do exactly just this, by highlighting the benefits of the ... SWBTATTReg Dec 2018 #9
Yes. Blue_true Dec 2018 #46
Conclusion . . . Iliyah Dec 2018 #5
I think it will be a huge mistake for our side Freddie Dec 2018 #11
I have an employer plan and I HATE it. AllyCat Dec 2018 #15
anybody who "loves" their employer plan is probably compensated very well. uncle ray Dec 2018 #17
I tend to agree. The one choice and nothing else approach is self limiting. Blue_true Dec 2018 #49
Dems should run on Public Option before reThugs coopt it and beat them on the head from the left uponit7771 Dec 2018 #12
This will indeed be a major, major problem for Republicans in the 2020 election... Girard442 Dec 2018 #13
Yeah, we just won an election by over 9 million votes, watoos Dec 2018 #20
No election in 2020 -- not implausible nor impossible RVN VET71 Dec 2018 #21
Great post --- and I hope you don't have to eat them. erronis Dec 2018 #36
"if there is a 2020 election" Tarc Dec 2018 #28
It's a discussion board. People shouldn't be bullied out of discussing mucifer Dec 2018 #32
Oh, poor baby Tarc Dec 2018 #54
New video re drug pricing on Amazon Prime otchmoson Dec 2018 #14
Thanks for the link. It looks like it will be a great documentary when available. erronis Dec 2018 #40
We have been in Covered California since 2014 SHRED Dec 2018 #24
Republicans lost the House because of health care Yosemito Dec 2018 #30
Republicans! Soxfan58 Dec 2018 #33
Repubs will call for Health Care as a right..... safeinOhio Dec 2018 #34
This is going to be a test for this country Cosmocat Dec 2018 #38
Who is this asshole judge? Is he a "Trump appointee?" King_Klonopin Dec 2018 #39
By trump praising the decision duforsure Dec 2018 #41
This is another thing the next Democratic President will be expected to fix FakeNoose Dec 2018 #47
The decision was based on the rethugs having cut the tax penalty for the non-insured taxpayers Texin Dec 2018 #48
Unless Don suddenly opens Medicare to all, they're fucked. Vinca Dec 2018 #50
Certainly the ultra-cons on the SC would love to refuse to hear the appeal pecosbob Dec 2018 #52

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
1. No it won't...health care will be over. The GOP care nothing for what voters want
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 08:43 AM
Dec 2018

They will run on the boogie man and let thousands die...I pray that the lower court decision does not stand. Those that believe the fall of the ACA will usher in Medicare for all are wrong. Those with work place insurance...still the majority will be unwilling to pay the cost of Medicare for all...and a court could decide that Medicare for all is unconstitutional also in the unlikely event there were majorities to pass such a thing.

 

allgood33

(1,584 posts)
2. I tend to agree with your opinion. I see this as a gateway to challenge Medicare..what the GOP has
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 08:50 AM
Dec 2018

always wanted. Fighting this battle for the ACA and turning it into a Medicare for all move endangers Medicare, especially now with the looming debt that Trump and GOP ushered in with tax cuts for the wealthy.

Bernardo de La Paz

(60,320 posts)
10. Yes, and in the process they are eroding their own support and destroying themselves.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:16 AM
Dec 2018

Social Security has always been popular and always will be, because that is what wealthy stable civilized countries do.

 

watoos

(7,142 posts)
18. Medicare, which I have been on for 7 years, is also popular.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:57 AM
Dec 2018

I think it should be expanded to include dental and eye glasses.
I don't understand the argument that we can't change our present health care system, which is by far the most expensive in the world and we don't cover everyone, because Medicare for all is too expensive.

True Blue American

(18,579 posts)
27. I do hope you have
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:31 AM
Dec 2018

A Medicare Advantage plan. Many of them cost 0 and cover more than Medicare. Or, you have private insurance.

Many of those plans have increased coverage. You can check the plans in your area in the back of your Medicare book for your area.

A big start to better coverage would be Medicare for those 50 and above. They are the ones really hurting.

Cryptoad

(8,254 posts)
31. Loss of ACA will ,,,,
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:41 AM
Dec 2018

cause an increase in the user cost of all insurances to cover the ER treatment of all those without insurance.

True Blue American

(18,579 posts)
35. I doubt this will hurt
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:03 AM
Dec 2018

The ACA. This Judge has a reputation of being an activist judge who is always handing down these decisions. I think the media is pushing this much too hard.

The Surpeme court has already ruled.

 

watoos

(7,142 posts)
16. Our present health insurance is the most expensive in the world.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:51 AM
Dec 2018

Why do you think that Medicare for all will be more expensive? Isn't that a right wing talking point?
Don't you think that kicking people off insurance, eliminating Obamacare, will cause people to go to the emergency room which is the most expensive form of health care, isn't that going to raise the insurance rates of people with employer provided insurance?

Buckeyeblue

(6,352 posts)
22. If the ruling stands I agree with you
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:10 AM
Dec 2018

Republicans don't care about this issue--except to make sure there is no health care policy, so insurance companies are free to do as they will. Short term, people will suffer.

Long term, we will have to get a democratic president, keep the house and have a filibuster proof majority in the Senate to restore ACA or replace it.

From where I'm sitting that seems like a long shot.

 

LBM20

(1,580 posts)
25. Dems and Independents want HEALTHCARE. Will still be a HUGE issue. Will HURT the R's.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:25 AM
Dec 2018

olegramps

(8,200 posts)
37. I will not venture to predict the outcome. But, how long can Repulicans continue their opposition?
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:05 AM
Dec 2018

I am of the opinion that the latest election was evidence that the citizens are finally awakening to the destruction that the Republican Party has had on our nation. The Democrats must run on a powerful message.

I have encouraged Democratic representatives to stress that the Republicans must be forcefully denounced as the vowed enemy of the working class. This charge can be amply made with the facts. Republicans have been determined to rescind every progressive piece of legislation that has been won by the Democrats that was hard won against their opposition. This includes Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid and every pro-labor bill. The Democrats, in may estimation, have been far to gentile in their protection of what is right and the damnation of the Republicans of being viciously consumed with greed.

I would like to remind them of the president who forged ahead against all opposition. FDR welcomed the fight and his response to the Republcians was clear: I welcome their hatred. He called them out for exactly what the were and continue to be: The enemy of the Working Class and hell bent on the economic enslavement. Their policies have been unwavering in their determination in the destruction of the Middle Class that progressive legislation created.

pangaia

(24,324 posts)
44. Democrats need to get the message out...
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:39 AM
Dec 2018

It seems to me it is beginning to happen.... but not enough..

I wish more would do as AOC is doing..

AND/OR that the media would pay attention when 'we' do.

maxrandb

(17,425 posts)
51. As long as they control drawing House districts in enough states
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 12:20 PM
Dec 2018

and can continue to convince voters in 25 Dumbfuckistan 'Murika shithole states that minorities are coming to marry their white daughters.

As long as they have 50 senators in states that make up 1/3rd of the entire population of America and can draw the maps... THEY ARE NOT GOING TO GIVE ONE FUCK ABOUT WHAT AMERICA WANTS!

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
43. I disagree.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:37 AM
Dec 2018

After I read about the ruling last night I had two thoughts.

First, the Supreme Court is likely to find a way to overrule the guy if the Fifth Circuit uphold him.

Second, with red state voters forcing their politicians to do Medicaid expansion, if the Supreme Court does not overrule the guy, the ruling could end up destroying the Republican Party. Those red state voters have had time to find out that Obamacare is actually good for them overall, politicians that allow that to get taken away will suffer. Also, states that were part of the anti Obamacare coalition but now have democratic AGs (one or two), will likely drop out of the coalition or outright oppose the side they used to work with.

I would not put too much stock in a ruling by a likely rightwing Texas US Judge. The guy's ruling is no surprise given his hostility to the side supporting Obamacare during oral arguments.

SWBTATTReg

(26,257 posts)
3. I agree w/ Dowd. The end of the repug party is in sight...The ACA is one of the most popular...
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 08:52 AM
Dec 2018

laws around now and literally millions take advantage of this ... if you going to threaten to take away insurance w/o a viable replacement ready (and the repugs of course don't have such a thing, never will either), this will wipe them off the map. Deservingly so.

And rump is ignorant...who in the hell listens to him anymore?

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
6. Did you see what happened in Wisconsin or Michigan, Florida? The GOP ignores what people
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 08:57 AM
Dec 2018

want and cheats like hell to win...thousands will die. We should be out in the streets demanding that the ACA survives...those of you who think the ACA 's demise will lead to single payer are wrong...it could also lead to the destruction of Medicare and if this decision stands...workplace insurance will have pre-existing as well...any idea what that will mean to older workers? This is a disaster for progressives.

SWBTATTReg

(26,257 posts)
7. This decision will be appealed and ACA will be allowed to stand, as it has repeatedly gone through..
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:00 AM
Dec 2018

before, many times in the courts, multiple, multiple rulings. One ruling does not make it final.

 

watoos

(7,142 posts)
19. Ah but the thing is,
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:59 AM
Dec 2018

this isn't just a disaster for progressives, it's a disaster for everyone.

pangaia

(24,324 posts)
45. But 'everyone' doesn't have a fucking clue what is happening
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:41 AM
Dec 2018

in their own back yard.

cstanleytech

(28,471 posts)
23. I think the main point is that down the road it can help us secure the seats
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:11 AM
Dec 2018

we need to get medicare for all passed or in other words 2018 was just the blue wave but 2020 aims to be a blue tidal wave.

 

Perseus

(4,341 posts)
8. I want to agree with you, but it really depends on how hard Democrats campaign
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:03 AM
Dec 2018

In my opinion, Democrats have a mission, and that is to expose the evils of the GOP, their lies, to make clear to the country, in simple language how the GOP's decisions are affecting negatively the lives of all citizens, what their intentions are when they pass laws and make decisions that imperil the governing of the country.

They have to spell out the corruption that rules over the republican party and make it very explicit that republicans do not seek power to help the people and the country, or to make lives better for everyone, they only seek power to enrich themselves and those very wealthy donors who support them.

Unless Democrats start a "open your eyes" campaign to educate people that they need to vote for their benefits and to brush aside the rhetoric republicans like to tell which do not match their actions, then nothing will change.

We have an easy one, all those republicans campaigning for healthcare and "protect" the pre-existing condition in the ACA, then get elected to do exactly the opposite. People need to understand that republicans will say anything they feel the people want to hear just to get elected, but once in power they will only cater to their donors and won't give a dime about the citizens who believed and supported them.

SWBTATTReg

(26,257 posts)
9. I think democrats in the 2018 campaign do exactly just this, by highlighting the benefits of the ...
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:08 AM
Dec 2018

ACA and the gross excesses of the supposed 2018 tax cut and jobs bill, which awarded 83% of the benefits to the 1%, which in short, didn't benefit us and benefited the gop donors. This is some of the reasons they lost 40 seats this time around, and I predict in 2020, more of the same.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
46. Yes.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:43 AM
Dec 2018

With red state voters forcing Medicaid expansion on their legislatures and governors, if Obamacare gets taken away from them, that changes historical dynamics. Those voters will have to chose, do they want to keep overseeing women's vaginas, or do they want to live (like freaking stay alive due to decent healthcare). My guess is they chose the latter and start electing democrats because they trust them more, once that slide states for republicans, it won't stop if democrats led well once in office.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
5. Conclusion . . .
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 08:56 AM
Dec 2018

RWers, GOPs, evangelist Christians, and this present administration with an asshole in the WH and VP do not care about the health nor welfare of the United States of America nor her people.

Majority of the USA's citizens are very much concerned about healthcare. Pre-exising and afforable care.

The above mentioned groups do not care.

This decision will not bold well for the GOP.

Freddie

(10,104 posts)
11. I think it will be a huge mistake for our side
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:18 AM
Dec 2018

To keep pushing single-payer and nothing else. Way too many people love their employer plan and could get something not-quite-as-good with single payer. And if we know nothing else, Americans are selfish above all.
The Vox article about the various proposals is great. At least one of the Medicare buy-in plans could easily morph into single-payer down the road. I think the goal should be to get to single-payer eventually but find a way to transition into it that would not disadvantage the millions who like their employer plan now.

AllyCat

(18,842 posts)
15. I have an employer plan and I HATE it.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:49 AM
Dec 2018

I currently pay an insane amount of money for the plan offered by the HOSPITAL I work for. My current illness was unexpected and temporary, yet in the past month, I have been misdiagnosed, delayed care due to no doctors available, had to go to urgent care twice, still no resolution to my issue...and it has cost me close to $1000 out of pocket.

This employer-based healthcare recipient wants Medicare for all. We don’t all love our plans.

uncle ray

(3,360 posts)
17. anybody who "loves" their employer plan is probably compensated very well.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:56 AM
Dec 2018

and will likely have the means to pay for better care outside the single payer system. just like in other countries that have single payer.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
49. I tend to agree. The one choice and nothing else approach is self limiting.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 12:01 PM
Dec 2018

With about 4 exceptions (Vermont, Rhode Island, Delaware, New Mexico) blue states are by far the wealthiest and healthiest states in the nation. With about 3 exceptions (Texas, Utah, North Dakota) red states are by far the poorest. There are somewhat purple states like North Carolina that is somewhere in between.

The problem that blue states have had with improving healthcare coverage is they tried to go it alone. What blue states should do is use modern technology to create multi state and blue city insurance buying pools, inviting insurance companies that provide policies that meet a set of standards to sell in them (they should not and likely can't restrict other companies, but their citizens will do that with their choices of providers). If you get a massive pool that is covering 70+ million people, that gets the attention of companies and hospitals that want to operate in that pool and allows for lower rates and improved health outcomes.

uponit7771

(93,532 posts)
12. Dems should run on Public Option before reThugs coopt it and beat them on the head from the left
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:46 AM
Dec 2018

Girard442

(6,887 posts)
13. This will indeed be a major, major problem for Republicans in the 2020 election...
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:47 AM
Dec 2018

...if there is a 2020 election.

 

watoos

(7,142 posts)
20. Yeah, we just won an election by over 9 million votes,
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:04 AM
Dec 2018

running on health care, and Republicans are going to double down and take health care away from more people?
Correct me if I'm wrong but that's not a smart move. It isn't just Democrats who will lose insurance is the big problem for Republicans. Maybe Republicans can pass a law that only Republicans are entitled to health care?

RVN VET71

(3,192 posts)
21. No election in 2020 -- not implausible nor impossible
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:06 AM
Dec 2018

Trump and his handlers (who will become the real "power behind the throne" as Trump's legal problems escalate and his mind disintegrates) want to retain power forever. Trump -- even if many of the blooming idiots among the electorate who still cherish the ground on which he shambles remain steadfast, loyal, and willing to vote for him again -- would not stand much of a chance in a free and open election in 2020. Therefore, "postponing" the election makes sense to the GOP.

But precisely because Trump is becoming so unpopular and losing so much support -- even among the idiots and sarandons who voted for him in 2016 -- I think it's becoming very improbable.

If the Republic survives Trump, his enablers, and his sycophants, I'll put up $1,000 (and I'm a retiree!) to build a statue to Mr. Mueller in Manhattan, opposite Lady Liberty, looking across the river at her, a wry and confident smile on his face and a wink in his eye.

That said, I really believe the Republic will survive. (May I never have to eat those words.)

Tarc

(10,601 posts)
28. "if there is a 2020 election"
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:32 AM
Dec 2018

This is the sort of context-free, hysteria posting that really has no place in the DU.

Tarc

(10,601 posts)
54. Oh, poor baby
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 09:59 PM
Dec 2018

It is a public discussion board, and people should be aware that their views are open to criticism, even ridicule.

I'm sure your White Knighting is appreciated, though.

erronis

(23,874 posts)
40. Thanks for the link. It looks like it will be a great documentary when available.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:18 AM
Dec 2018

I can't find it online yet or on Amazon ("Not Available In Your Area&quot .

 

SHRED

(28,136 posts)
24. We have been in Covered California since 2014
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:19 AM
Dec 2018

The plans have gotten far more expensive and cover less.
We've now settled for an Bronze level HSA plan through Kaiser. It sucks. High deductibles. Basically it's a very expensive catastrophic plan.
The ACA is dying the death of a thousand cuts.
To be in the individual market at our ages is the worst.

This will make it worse.

Soxfan58

(3,537 posts)
33. Republicans!
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:44 AM
Dec 2018

They can spin a turd into a diamond in the eyes of their voters. Being said, this might be the straw that breaks the elephants back. When people can see the real dollars for themselves.

safeinOhio

(37,651 posts)
34. Repubs will call for Health Care as a right.....
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 10:56 AM
Dec 2018

for the one percent, paid for by the other 99 percent. Also will call for making the one percent living Gods that must be served by all.

Cosmocat

(15,424 posts)
38. This is going to be a test for this country
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:05 AM
Dec 2018

To either stop indulging right wing lunacy, or move forward based on reason, common sense and decency.

King_Klonopin

(1,379 posts)
39. Who is this asshole judge? Is he a "Trump appointee?"
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:16 AM
Dec 2018

This whole thing smells to high heaven. It could be an intentional distraction
from the shit-storm flying around Trump's cotton-candy head. It could also be
the work of another Con "activist" Judge, of which there are plenty.

duforsure

(11,885 posts)
41. By trump praising the decision
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:21 AM
Dec 2018

HE's showing again how much contempt he has for the American people and their heath care plan. He said the opposite of what he's doing , so again when he claims something he's lying , again . He and the GOP will pay again dearly when the American people come out to vote a lot more of these crooks out of office in 2020. trump shows just how cruel he really is celebrating millions more will lose their health care .

FakeNoose

(41,631 posts)
47. This is another thing the next Democratic President will be expected to fix
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:53 AM
Dec 2018

The Republican Party has shown that they are completely unable to lead this country. Medicare for All should be a no-brainer and it would have been already if Obama had been allowed to negotiate the healthcare bill properly. None of this is Obama's fault! It's just more pointless sniveling from the losing/leaderless GOP.

Texin

(2,851 posts)
48. The decision was based on the rethugs having cut the tax penalty for the non-insured taxpayers
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 11:53 AM
Dec 2018

by choice. That loophole created the inconsistency in the law that allowed for the decision. I fully expect that this will go to the SCOTUS and the decision will be to uphold this lower court ruling. The Dems plan to enact a tax change to reinstate the tax penalty but the senate won't vote to pass it. I have every expectation that the rethugs will be gunning for more cuts to Social Security and to scuttle Medicare in its entirety. They have shown a notorious disregard for the well-being of the pubic and even more contempt for the will of a majority of voters. They are evil, avaricious monsters who want to rule, not govern. Make no mistake, they have instituted an authoritarian dictatorship and they are the ruling masters.

Vinca

(53,992 posts)
50. Unless Don suddenly opens Medicare to all, they're fucked.
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 12:05 PM
Dec 2018

Stupid, stupid, stupid, stupid people.

pecosbob

(8,385 posts)
52. Certainly the ultra-cons on the SC would love to refuse to hear the appeal
Sat Dec 15, 2018, 01:51 PM
Dec 2018

and let the ACA go away, but even given the evil shits they are, they're not stupid (well everyone there except Thomas, anyway). The only two who would be likely to vote to let the lower ruling stand are Alito and Thomas. The rest know as we all know that the GOP would be wiped from the face of the Earth if they let the ruling stand. The ruling is flawed and give them a convenient escape route...they only have to sell it to the baggers...and we know they'll swallow anything if coated in enough bullshit.

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