Of those who have Already declared, or are about to declare, for the Dem nom. for president,

[rusty fender]

here are the ones who have a chance to win the Democratic nomination:

Elizabeth Warren
Bernie Sanders
Kamala Harris

Those with zero chance to win the nomination:

Kirsten Gillibrand
Julian Castro
Tulsi Gabbard

The top three have already declared. There is no one else left who declares to run who can win the nomination. So those who are contemplating their candidacies, forget it! Save yourself money and humiliation and get behind the top three

[sfwriter]

1. Biden and Beto are flirting, but I doubt they'll run.

What about Cory Booker? Did he bow out of consideration?

Swalwell?

[rusty fender]

33. Booker and Swalwell have little to no name recognition

Booker, a little. Swalwell none. They’d both be running on their egos, and not on the reality of their true chances to get the nomination.

[sfwriter]

36. Swalwell has been making the talk show circuit.

He is trying for name recognition.

[trueblue2007]

39. Sanders? Sanders? SANDERS IS NOT EVEN A DEMOCRAT.

HOW can he run on the Democratic ticket ..... AGAIN ???
He is not a Democrat, he is an Independent.

In order to seek the party’s nomination, a candidate must publicly announce that they are a registered Democrat, will accept the Democratic nomination, and will “run and serve” as a member of the Democratic Party.

This rule seems to be in direct response to Bernie Sanders, the independent Senator from Vermont who fiercely battled Hillary Clinton in a surprisingly close primary race in 2016. Running on a platform of universal health care and free college for all Americans, Sanders gained popularity, especially among young voters.

https://www.newsweek.com/bernie-sanders-democratic-party-2020-election-new-rule-967928

[hlthe2b]

2. I find Julian Castro to be a lot more competitive than the other two in that category--esp for VP

And, I'm not so sure Sherrod Brown and Biden should be discounted so readily.

That said, I'm most impressed (at this moment) with Kamala Harris.

[safeinOhio]

6. That be 2 of us.

I’m on board

[pnwmom]

13. I like him, too. n/t

[Sherman A1]

3. You are entitled to your opinion

But there will be several if not many others and I believe some of them have a reasonable chance.

[elleng]

4. 'A chance' according to whom?

[rusty fender]

23. Support within the Democratic Party, that's who

[elleng]

24. which is clearly not remotely apparent now.

[WeekiWater]

5. I disagree about Gillibrand.

I also think Sanders has been rendered irrelevant in a primary that includes Warren and Harris. Many people who voted for Sanders last time will move to a different choice. Not because they don’t still like Sanders. More that they actually have choices.

[USALiberal]

29. I so look forward to voting against her! nt

[WeekiWater]

34. With the names being thrown around.

I’m excited about who I might have the opportunity to vote for. That includes one of our most solid progressives, Gillibrand. I get that your motivation is different. Strange, but different. Hope we put up someone you can happily vote for.

[rusty fender]

40. I'll happily vote for whoever are nominee is

I like Gillibrand and Castro. I listed the candidates based on who I think has a chance at the nomination.

[JI7]

7. Beto, Booker, Biden, Brown all have a chance

[pnwmom]

11. Interesting that you only think men have a chance. n/t

[JI7]

14. I didn't say they were the only ones. I think harris and Warren have a chance also

I listed them because the op did not mention them at all and claimed only the ones they listed have a chance.

[pnwmom]

16. Thanks for clarifying!

[Squinch]

8. .

[NastyRiffraff]

9. Um...I'll make up my own mind, thanks

Good of you to tell the rest of us who have a chance to win, and who doesn't, but I'll just take a chance and let the candidates make their cases, and decide on my own.

Thanks anyway!

[rusty fender]

21. No problem!

[Sucha NastyWoman]

10. It's too early to start eliminating candidates

We would hate it if the media tried to do this, and with so little time for consideration, I think we need to hear more from them first

[elleng]

25. Yes, and we should not be eliminating ANY, at this point.

[tblue37]

12. Not Bernie. I supported Bernie in the primaries last time. But he is, in my opinion, too old now,

and too many Democrats, especially among our most loyal Democratic voters, still resent him.

I like Harris and Booker thus far (though Booker hasn't declared yet). I also like Warren, and she comes across as much younger and more energetic than her actual age. I like how good and how blunt she is at explaining things.

However, she does come across as a teacher. I am a teacher myself (college English), so that doesn't bother me at all, but I believe it will bother a lot of voters.

Right now Harris and Warren are my favorites.

[FSogol]

19. Plus Warren in the race makes Sanders redundant. BTW, has Sanders officially announced? n/t

[tblue37]

15. BTW, I think Castro is actually running for VP consideration, and also to position himself for a

more plausible run out n the future.

(If not to be considered for VP, then at least for a cabinet post.)

[DinahMoeHum]

17. Uh. . .wake me up in 2020. . .

. . .because I'm concentrating on local races in my area in 2019.

Right now, the 2020 POTUS race is not a priority with me.

[handmade34]

18. ok, this is what I have to say...

as a wise (or is it wizened? ) old woman, who has seen many campaigns, debates and elections...

gawd No to Bernie, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Bloomberg,...

Probably No to Booker, de blasio, O'Rourke, Klobacher, Swalwell, Holder, Brown, ... (not that I don't think many of these people are great!)

serious possibilities and interesting debates... Biden, Warren, Harris, Castro, and maybe an unknown right now?

[mcar]

20. Gee, thanks for this wisdom

[rusty fender]

22. You're welcome!

I really think that Warren will win the nomination. Harris comes in second followed by Sanders.

[left-of-center2012]

26. Too early to pick winners and losers

We'll probably have 10+ candidates to choose between.

[elleng]

28. Yes

[left-of-center2012]

31. I still remember being told ...

I still remember being told
we must vote for Oprah!

[elleng]

37. HA! Missed that one!

[PoliticAverse]

27. I would say that Gillibrand and Castro have a better chance than Sanders for 2020. n/t

There is no one else left who declares to run who can win the nomination.

You're kidding, right?

[LongtimeAZDem]

30. Nonsense; the convention is a year and a half away. No telling what happens between now and then.

[Jarqui]

32. Waaaay too early for me

Lots of candidates to familiarize myself with before I start stroking too many names off the list.

[aeromanKC]

35. Bernie belongs in the bottom group

Bernie has NO chance at winning the nomination.

[Lithos]

38. meh

People run for a variety of reasons. While many know their chances of winning are a long-shot, they also know that if you do not try, you won't win.

I believe the favorites to win are not the same as yours (in no order)

- Biden
- Warren
- Kamala

Outside shots:

- Gillibrand
- Beto
- Corker

I believe Castro is running to get his name out there for either VP or for the next campaign. To be honest, the same would be true for Beto. There are others who I've not named would could be very good VP candidates, but I'm also very bad at guessing VP candidates.

I do not think Tulsi or Sanders have any chance. Tulsi I think is in to spoil things. Sanders I think is now tainted by the 2016 campaign hijinks. I also think he has failed as an opposition leader. The three I have as the favorites have done a much better job.

I have not made up my mind - I am more interested in seeing who has the best message. That is one of the reasons why I welcome the addition of candidates with good ideas. I do know that I will vote Democratic no matter what, but I want to make sure we build the most inclusive tent possible as we need to also fight the whole ticket both local, State and National and this helps with turnout.

[rusty fender]

42. I meant to reply to you but

mistakenly replied to myself

The gist is that I agree with most of what you wrote.

[rusty fender]

41. I didn't put Biden in the top three because

I don’t think he will run. Sanders is in the top three because he still has a lot of support in the Democratic Party. I don’t understand that support, but it is there nonetheless.

This is a reply to Lithos

[Stinky The Clown]

43. Sanders is not a Democrat.

[peggysue2]

44. It's way too early to cancel people out or . . .

pretend we know who is going to leave the greatest impression during the actual primary campaign, the debates, the controversies (there are always controversies), dealing with the press and comments made of events as they happen on the ground. Just because someone looks strong now doesn't necessarily translate into someone with the endurance and/or savvy to complete the marathon that every campaign turns out to be.

We've got a lot of talent vying for the race to the White House. Why don't we let them get out of the gate, show us what they have (or don't have) before trimming the list down to three.

And btw, Bernie Sanders is not a Democrat.

[rusty fender]

45. I agree

Just speculating

The thing about Bernie is that he still has a good deal of support in the Democratic Party. He will also run as a Democrat if he enters the race.