PPP: Obama continues to lead in Virginia

[ProSense]

Obama continues to lead in Virginia

PPP's newest poll of Virginia finds Barack Obama leading by 5 points, 50-45. In 8 Virginia surveys PPP has done this cycle, Obama has never led Mitt Romney by less than 4 points. It continues to look like it could be his firewall state this fall.

- more -

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/08/obama-continues-to-lead-in-virginia.html

Note, the sample is close to the 2008 exit polls for the state.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VA_082112.pdf

Under/over age 45 is at 43/57, slightly more than the 49 percent for voters 45 and over.

[TroyD]

1. Good

While it's not as high as the +8 lead Obama had in the last PPP Virginia poll, it is a good number compared to the +3 lead for Romney we had to see in the Purple Poll last week.

And in what is supposed to be a rougher year than 2008, for a Democrat to be leading in a state that hadn't voted Dem since 1964 until 2008, is still a pretty good sign.

A state like Virginia should be in Romney's column if he's going to win the White House.

[ProSense]

3. The demographics

track very closely.

Blacks 17 percent (20 percent in 2008 exit polls)

Democrats 37 percent (39 percent, a six point advantage)

So this is good.

[cali]

2. thank goodness for some good polling news.