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Wed Jan 30, 2019, 08:49 AM

 

Morning Consult poll (Democrats): Biden leads with 20%. Bernie 13, Kamala 5%

Noteworthy: Gabbard gets 0%.
https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/190156_crosstabs_POLITICO_RVs_v1_ML.pdf

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Reply Morning Consult poll (Democrats): Biden leads with 20%. Bernie 13, Kamala 5% (Original post)
Yosemito Jan 2019 OP
NewJeffCT Jan 2019 #1
former9thward Jan 2019 #2
Yosemito Jan 2019 #5
former9thward Jan 2019 #10
honest.abe Jan 2019 #3
oberliner Jan 2019 #4
monmouth4 Jan 2019 #6
JaneQPublic Jan 2019 #9
leftynyc Jan 2019 #7
Squinch Jan 2019 #8
liberalnarb Jan 2019 #11
oberliner Jan 2019 #12
DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2019 #13
honest.abe Jan 2019 #17
lark Jan 2019 #14
NewJeffCT Jan 2019 #15
oberliner Jan 2019 #16

Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 08:51 AM

1. Interesting results

I thought Harris would have scored higher.

Looks like Sanders is in a good position

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 08:53 AM

2. 339 pages at the link.

Where is the poll you are referring to?

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Response to former9thward (Reply #2)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 09:03 AM

5. Page 109

 

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Response to Yosemito (Reply #5)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 10:00 AM

10. Thanks

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 08:57 AM

3. Meaningless of course.

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 08:58 AM

4. Warren and O'Rourke both at 4%

 

Not far behind Harris.

Booker, Brown, Klobuchar, Gillibrand are at 1% (essentially tied with Gabbard).

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 09:03 AM

6. Very disappointing. n/t

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Response to monmouth4 (Reply #6)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 09:22 AM

9. No worries. Polls this early are meaningless.

On MSNBC, Steve Kondracke was doing a "Big Board" bit on the unreliability of early polls, showing who the leaders were in years past, few of whom ended up the nominee.

For example, if we believed polls this early before the 2004 election, we'd be girding our loins for a Joe Lieberman presidency.

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 09:04 AM

7. It's name recognition this far out

 

I wonder how Pres Obama was polling at this time in 2008.

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 09:05 AM

8. Oh, for fuck's sake.

Meaningless poll, meaningless nonsense designed to obfuscate

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 10:04 AM

11. Too early for polls to mean anything right now.

 

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 10:34 AM

12. How does Biden lead with 20 if Bernie has 23?

 

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Response to oberliner (Reply #12)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 03:52 PM

17. Typo, Bernie should be 13 but doesn't really matter.

Polls this far out are worthless.

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 10:41 AM

14. At this same time in their election cycles, Obama, Clinton nor Carter were on top.

They were unknown to most Americans , but they had good ideas, were good communicators, and eventually rose to the top. Usually the people I favor from the beginning flame out - see Dean. So this time I really like a number of candidates, but am not coming down hard on one side or the other. I can't wait to watch the debates to get a more clear picture of who these people are and then it's off to the primaries.

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Response to Yosemito (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 10:42 AM

15. Shouldn't it be Bernie at 13%

or is it Biden at 30%?

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Response to NewJeffCT (Reply #15)

Wed Jan 30, 2019, 03:44 PM

16. That is correct

 

It should be 13 for Bernie.

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