General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSo I'm gone for the evening, come home and turn on the TV, and discover
that Bob Mueller has tossed a grenade into the middle of the Barr-Trump love nest.
Never a dull moment....
calimary
(81,197 posts)DontBooVote
(901 posts)Ilsa
(61,692 posts)and then NCIS (love me some Mark Harmon and Wilmer Valderrama), switch to TRMS, and discover exciting breaking news that should have trump up all night tweeting. I bet his bowels are as liquid as if he drank a bottle of castor oil.
Kath2
(3,074 posts)IMHO.
Sneederbunk
(14,289 posts)Hoyt
(54,770 posts)think Obstruction will get trump. It should, but trump hasnt even tried to hide his attempts at obstruction. Its no secret.
But, will be nice to see what Mueller says, now. If he sticks with no collusion/conspiracy, he can join Fitzgerald in the Hall of Shame.
SunSeeker
(51,550 posts)He bent over backwards not to find conspiracy. And to not even interview Don Jr., Jared and Ivanka, let alone Trump, is unforgivable. If Barr blocked such interviews, Mueller should have held a press conference and said so. What would they do, fire him? He's a temporary employee. He owed it to his country and the Constitution to tell us what's going on.
pnwmom
(108,973 posts)But he didn't reach the conclusion that the evidence met the standard of beyond a reasonable doubt -- the DOJ standard for a criminal conspiracy.
But that isn't the standard for an IMPEACHMENT inquiry. So he laid out the evidence so Congress can decide: how much evidence is enough? Most people would probably agree that a preponderance of the evidence -- a 51% likelihood -- or a 75% or 85% likelihood of conspiracy would be enough to impeach.
But it's not enough for criminal charges by the FBI.That's why they have a success rate of about 97%. They have such a high bar.
Solomon
(12,310 posts)crime -beyond a reasonable doubt - with the standard for charging someone with a crime, which is probable cause. My god if the standard for charging is beyond a reasonable doubt, hardly any criminal would ever be charged with a crime.
pnwmom
(108,973 posts)Last edited Wed May 1, 2019, 10:57 AM - Edit history (1)
with the usual amount of proof that the FBI requires before they prosecute a crime, which is why their conviction rate is so high -- about 97%. They don't get that conviction rate by prosecuting people based on a preponderance of the evidence.
Barr, in the hearing just now, made it clear he was using the standard of beyond a reasonable doubt to "establish" guilt.
Seth Abramson, a former criminal defense attorney, is one person who has written about this.
https://threader.app/thread/1099041912596635649
So let's imagine Mueller sees himself as both an investigator and a prosecutorwhich is technically correct, as DOJ regulations give him the power to prosecute instances of criminality he uncovers as part of his investigation into Trump-Russia collusion. What would that mean?
44. Well, it'd mean Mueller will *prosecute* a personspecifically, any person who's committed an offense falling under Mueller's broad DOJ authorizationif he thinks he can prove his case "beyond a reasonable doubt." Any case he can prove *below* that standard he *won't* charge.
45. So let's say Mueller can prove Trump conspired with our enemies at the "clear and convincing" level of proofwill he allege, in his report, that Trump can be charged with criminal conspiracy? No. He would simply summarize his mountain of evidence and let us decide what to do.
46. In that scenario, *any* Americanincluding *any member of Congress*for whom the necessary "standard of proof" (in a *non-criminal hearing* where the allegation is conspiring with our enemies) is "clear and convincing" or *anything below that*, will demand Trump be impeached.
47. Anyone who thinks the Impeachment Clause's "high crimes and misdemeanors" means that allegations in an impeachment must be proven "beyond a reasonable doubt" is *wrong*. Any lawyer will tell you you're wrong. The Republicans who impeached Clinton would tell you you're wrong.
48. When we say impeachment is a "political" (not "criminal" processbecause there are no criminal penalties, like imprisonmentand that allegations can be brought in an impeachment (like "Abuse of Power" that aren't statutory crimes, we're saying a lot more than you may think.
49. We're saying that Senators *aren't* jurors in a criminal caseso they don't need to "presume innocence" pre-impeachment if they've seen evidence that makes them think someone *isn't* innocent. And at the impeachment, they can use *any standard of proof that they want to use*.
50. What we're *also* saying is thatas to impeachment proceedingswhether Mueller says that Trump could be charged with crimes under a "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard or that there's "only" enough proof to meet the "clear and convincing" standard (70% proof) doesn't matter.
51. And the reason it *doesn't matter* is *what kind of America-hating buffoon would require more than 70% certainty that a president has criminally betrayed his country to want that president removed from office for the safety of all America*? I'm seriouswhat sort of *buffoon*?
Solomon
(12,310 posts)defense atty for christsakes. The standard for bringing a prosecution is NOT proof beyond a reasonable doubt. That is what juries are for.
pnwmom
(108,973 posts)and he was specifically addressing Federal cases.
Doreen
(11,686 posts)without coming home and finding out everything has change since we left despite how long or short of a time we were gone. It is maddening.
mucifer
(23,523 posts)he still doesn't have to pay for anything he has done. Every day there is more evidence. Everyday there are new federal policies and new judges he appoints. Yet he still has a 40% approval rating.