Prediction how it will look this afternoon.
In its 2 pm EDT (July 9.2019) tropical weather outlook on Tuesday, National Hurricane Center gave 92L an 70% chance of developing into at least a depression by Thursday afternoon, and models are suggesting a tropical storm (which would be called Barry) is likely to form. Regardless of how strong it gets, this system could easily produce rainfall amounts of 10" or more along and near the upper Gulf Coast, especially over southern Louisiana.
The rain is lighter now, but I keep getting automated flood and tornado warnings on my phone. I think I've had 7 or 8 in the last 2 hours.
I had to move my car to the levee a little while ago. street flooding here has only been this bad twice since katrina, mother's day and today.
another fear - how much surge in lake pontchartrain will it take to back up the bonne carre spillway?
it does seem a little lighter now. I hope you can get home ok. hope you and yours remain ok. I wish a few of those cats would come indoors.
It's been so dry for the last month I expected the soil would suck up most of the rain, but not so.
Because of the wind direction, there won't be much of a surge in the lake. The problem will be the surge coming up the mouth of the river. Because of the already high river level, it's projected to near the top of the levee.
though, typically in the wake of tropical storms. I've been in many places with monsoon seasons where it rains every day for months, but nowhere have I seen it rain as much as fast as it can along the Gulf Coast. Rain so hard you can't see to drive.
I have not seen a report but fleur de lisa said 7-8 inches in 2 hours. which sounds about right.
about flooding and tornados within two hours.
I'm at work and don't have access to tv, so I have no idea how much rain has fallen.
Models say maybe Texas. Looks like a big rainmaker
Weird storm, came from north then moved south past fl panhandle, now trying to get organized
I had to get a submersable pump to drain a low spot in the backyard, 2-3 inches of a rain in a day and i got a frog pond.
Punp works great, attach a 100ft garden hose to it and pump in into the front road gutters, dries it up, in 8 hrs or so. Better than a swamp for a week.
... flooding could really get bad as 92L strengthens and heads your way.
My go to source for storm info is Tropical Tidbits.
It is the most comprehensive and complete analysis Ive seen. And you dont have to be a meteorologist to understand what hes saying. I live in Mobile, so were watching this storm closely.
Edited to add: Get to a high area and stay safe.
New Orleans du'ers. Turn around, don't drown, and assume the worst. Would be heart breaking for me to see that lovely city and the LOVEYS in it go through a disaster of that scope again.
And it often rains during the day, too. Our long-term statewide drought has receded to the point that drought.gov shows this:
DROUGHT IN KANSAS
Residents in drought:
0% more in abnormally dry areas.
of the states population,
0% more in abnormally dry areas