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Tom Rinaldo

(22,912 posts)
Sat Jul 27, 2019, 09:59 PM Jul 2019

I believe Trump has started to, and will continue to, overplay the racism card

Had he the discipline to stick to very thinly veiled dog whistles, Trump's "stoke white fear/ divide and conquer" strategy had a fair chance of actually working. His free wheeling, anger laced, anti-politically correct style captivated millions of voters. There is a constituency for what Trump is attempting to coalesce his base around, but he is misreading that base at the edges, which I think will doom him because he can not afford to lose even a small fraction of the base Trump is counting on to win. The fraction which he now risks driving away are whites who harbor strong prejudices but whose self identity demands that they cling to a shred of plausible deniability that they are not, in actuality, full blown racists.

Trump is now tearing that veil of deniability away from them by becoming ever more blatantly full bore racist by the day, if not the hour. That is too harsh a negative light for some, who would otherwise likely support him despite so called "reservations", to stand by Trump in. I am not talking about a large percentage of potential Trump voters, but I think it is a decisive percentage none the less. By making it increasingly uncomfortable for that segment of prejudiced whites, who still insist on denying that they are racists, to continue to fully embrace Trump, Trump is driving away votes that he would need in order to win in 2020.

As his malignant megalomania expands, his ability to attempt nuanced strategic ploys disintegrates. By November 2020 I believe Trump will be fully toxic to at least 55% of voters

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enough

(13,256 posts)
2. I don't think it will hurt him with any part of his base,
Sat Jul 27, 2019, 10:33 PM
Jul 2019

but it will not gain him any voters beyond that. With such constant repetition it loses its power and motivates the opposition very effectively. It’s a dead end for him at this point.

Sugarcoated

(7,722 posts)
6. Moderate Republican women in the suburbs
Sun Jul 28, 2019, 01:04 AM
Jul 2019

and moderate independents. Also, he's close to permanently losing many of blue collar industrial state union Democrats who hated Hillary and took a chance and pulled the lever for him.

Miles Archer

(18,837 posts)
3. He's always looking to see what he can get away with, and he's getting away with this...
Sat Jul 27, 2019, 10:43 PM
Jul 2019

...in terms of his base, which is all that he's concerned with.

ooky

(8,922 posts)
4. That's because he knows Republicans will let him do it. "They'll let you do
Sat Jul 27, 2019, 10:57 PM
Jul 2019

anything you want if you're the president".

Johnny2X2X

(19,038 posts)
7. He is racist, but this is a strategy.
Sun Jul 28, 2019, 01:08 AM
Jul 2019

His campaign has polled this overt racism and think it’s a winner.

Tom Rinaldo

(22,912 posts)
8. Agree it's a strategy. Disagree it will continue working for him at these public levels
Sun Jul 28, 2019, 12:43 PM
Jul 2019

Botox has its uses to a point also, then it backfires.

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