11.00am update:Dorian will be a major hurricane at landfall in Florida

[malaise]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/151450.shtml?cone#contents

Get those preparations going

[AJT]

1. Will it ever end!!!

Why can't Florida control its weather?

[FiveGoodMen]

12. Still being punished for giving us Dubya!

[AJT]

15. I'll be satisfied if Doral and Mar a lago are wiped out.

[Baitball Blogger]

29. D'oh!

Unfortunately, I think its center will be the Orlando area.

[AJT]

31. Hey, a gals gotta have hope...

[Traildogbob]

55. Absolutely with ya

Plus he just stole disaster relief money to help pay the $750/day per person in his profit/prisons at the boarder, for his pals and Kelly. Ya really believe he would not find billions to repair his two shitholes tho. I say let's try that nuking hurricane thing when it is right over his shitholes.

[Tipperary]

80. I live in South Florida.

If you think that rich people suffer in hurricanes, you are completely wrong. Smh.

[cwydro]

38. I lived through several hurricanes in the Keys. Have many friends there.

I really find it annoying when people wish for landfall ANY where.

You’re wishing for property damage, fear, deaths of critters of all kinds, and god forbid, people.

[skamaria]

46. otoh

Humor in tragic times is just people trying get through terrible situations!

[cwydro]

63. That's fine if you're one of those IN the situation.

Quite different to sit in safety on a keyboard and wish misery on others.

BIG difference.

[skamaria]

100. Good Point!

I dare say some of those folks cracking wise are looking down the barrel of impending disaster! We survived Michael here in Tallahassee kids lost both their homes in Mexico Beach, kids did not even get a roll of Bounty from little t trump! So it goes!

[jpak]

88. I renewed my Driver's License yesterday and completely agree

[skamaria]

101. Took me a second!

[lunatica]

54. It was a sardonic joke

Almost everyone would get it.

[cwydro]

62. I lost my house in Wilma.

Don’t find it humorous. I have friends who rode out much worse - Katrina and Irma just to name two...they don’t find people wishing devastating weather events on others very funny either.

Jerry Falwell does that shit, surprised to see it here.

[lunatica]

65. So don't joke about such things then

You’ll never be able to stamp out dark humor. Actually you won’t make a dent on any kind of humor. It’s like spitting in the wind.

[cwydro]

66. Oh, sorry, didn't realize you were in charge of this forum.

What I was doing was expressing my view.

If you don’t want to read it, please place me on ignore. I’d consider that a favor.

May you never find yourself in a natural disaster.

Bet the people in Puerto Rico are really yukking it up right about now. Jesus Christ.

Interesting to see who finds this funny.

:You have a nice day now.

[lunatica]

68. So long

[Takket]

73. They need to rake the swamps

[NightWatcher]

2. Just got in from Home Despot and 🎯. Media says 115 mph here poss Monday

This will be my first big one in this new 40 year old 2 story brick house.

We've got water and some food, will do more today. I've got supplies stored and we're good for several days in the dark.

[exboyfil]

4. Despot?

Where you being funny or making a political statement?

[malaise]

5. Works well

[NightWatcher]

9. I call home depot "despot". Tried to be clever...failed

[exboyfil]

13. I think it is great

Thanks for the chuckle.

[Niagara]

14. +1000 I call Facebook "Freakbook"

Everyone looks me at like I'm a weirdo, but that's honestly how I feel about it.

[Dennis Donovan]

21. My SO and I call it "Facebag"

[Niagara]

24. That's a good one. I like it.

[SMC22307]

93. Fakebook.

So many people lead these happy, shiny lives on FB, but in real life? Not so much.

[TheBlackAdder]

112. +1,394,228 to me. 👍

[malaise]

8. Remember if you are an egg lover

buy rock salt and store your eggs in the salt

If you don't like canned food, buy peas and salted fish.
Salf fish and potato balls work well in hurricanes (they work well all the time)

[The Blue Flower]

10. What are potato balls?

How do you make them? Thanks.

[malaise]

16. Salt fish balls

1/2lb salt fish
1lb Irish potatoes
2oz breadcrumbs (buy 1/2lb)
one beaten egg
i/2 carrot grated
black pepper,

Soak salt fish in cold water for at least four hours
flake and chop as fine as possible with the onion
Boil potatoes until very soft
crush - add salt fish, grated carrot, 2oz breadcrumbs - mix well.
Roll in remaining bread crumbs any size you like from tiny to egg size- fry.
Great for a hangover as well
Stay safe

You can use canned corned beef or canned salmon as well.

Stay safe

[Glorfindel]

33. Sounds good, malaise. How much onion?

I'm going to try it this weekend!

[malaise]

39. One medium finely chopped

You can also use escallion. I also add scotch bonnet pepper and sometimes roll in Japanese bread crumbs

[malaise]

40. One medium finely chopped

You can also use escallion. I also add scotch bonnet pepper and sometimes roll in Japanese bread crumbs

[Tanuki]

43. Need some ackee to go with that salt fish!

[malaise]

53. I like ackee more than it has ever liked me

I cannot eat it on an empty stomach - it's amazing because I have no allergies

[EX500rider]

81. ...and the rum is fine any time of year! (Calypso song quote)

Jamaica Fairwell

Harry Belafonte

Down the way where the nights are gay
And the sun shines daily on the mountain top
I took a trip on a sailing ship
And when I reached Jamaica I made a stop

But I'm sad to say I'm on my way
Won't be back for many a day
My heart is down, my head is turning around
I had to leave a little girl in Kingston town

Down the market you can hear
Ladies cry out while on their heads they bear
'Akey' rice, salt fish are nice
And the rum is fine any time of year

But I'm sad to say I'm on my way
Won't be back for many a day
My heart is down, my head is turning around
I had to leave a little girl in Kingston town

Sounds of laughter everywhere
And the dancing girls sway to and fro
I must declare my heart is there
Though I've been from Maine to Mexico

[mitch96]

49. If you've been thru a few hurricanes you know the problem is power

A week with no AC in Florida summer heat is a bitch..
m

[Hortensis]

113. This. Summer's the season when nature tries to kill you,

winter when you breakfast with fresh Bellinis and the rest of the frittata on the patio.

And retirement's when you're not waiting to hear if the schools will be closed or making sure you have water guns and battery chargers for the kids' game players because keeping them occupied while the power's out is top priority.

[Niagara]

3. Thank you for the update

Stay safe, FL DUers.

[lapfog_1]

6. hey, I have an idea

just before it makes landfall in Florida... lets nuke the M'F.

yeah, that's ticket!

The Hurricane will dissipate and only spread fallout over most of Florida. Which will then need to be evacuated so we don't have to do that again in 20 years just before it sinks under the ocean anyway.

There, two birds with one nuclear stone... stable genius!

[world wide wally]

20. Right ver Mar A Lago

[raccoon]

22. It will be just like the book ALAS BABYLON. One of my favorites. nt

[babylonsister]

7. Sigh. Hotel room booked already! nt

[malaise]

11. Hope you're booking in the South West part of Florida

looks like the best spot to me - or Miami-Dade

[babylonsister]

17. No, around the corner actually but it's a cement

building near 95, not the ocean. Sturdier than my manufactured home.

[malaise]

18. Stay safe sis

[blm]

108. ((babysis))

[babylonsister]

114. Hi,

my friend! I will check in when able, and thank you!

[Mersky]

19. Gotta share one of my go to hurricane prep items

Walkie Talkies

Can be indispensable when the power goes out/cell service drops or if your family evacuates in more than one vehicle (which I do not recommend if you can avoid it).

Used such after Ike, and while driving in tandem to my SO for the 8 hour long, 50 mile trek before Rita. We got separated by a couple miles for some of those hours, but could communicate despite the pegged cell service.

Keep your wits, prepare, do things methodically, know the evacuation plan, and do not panic evacuate like we did for Rita. I'll be in contact with a good friend in Florida, will share his takes on the situation later today/tomorrow. He's, eh, seasoned in dealing with FL hurricanes.

Best wishes for y'all, hang in there, and stay safe.

[malaise]

23. Great suggestion - another one

Take out the old phone that does not use electricity and plug it in and see if it still works.

Buy a charger for your car to charge phones, etc. and make coffee

[Mersky]

27. Check, check, and check

Oh shucks, my bad. I left off other obvious things like generators, satellite phones, and water wings.

[jmbar2]

41. A caution about generators...

I was in Houston for Hurricanes Rita and Ike when we lost electricity for several days. All of my neighbors cranked up generators and the fumes filled neighboring houses whose windows were open because of the heat. Nearly got gassed by them.

[Mersky]

45. Yes, they need to be used properly

We've generally gotten by without generators, by heading to higher ground, or used a jump box/inverter. Had to run equipment and generators out to folks in worse hit areas like Friendswood after Ike. Streets were a mess with trees and loud with generators - certainly fumes are a concern.

Really just wanted to mention the walkie talkies. Cell service was over taxed on routes out of Houston before Rita. And was inconsistent after Ike - loaned out a set of two ways so they could run errands and stay connected.

Sooo, now's the time to dust them off, charge, and test them. Or pick some up while gathering supplies. I just like having a set for hurricanes.

[jmbar2]

84. I kept a 12v marine battery just for such occasions

...along with 12v minifridge and a fan.

Learned that many of the neighbors were using the generators to keep freezers full of meat running. After about the third day with no electricity, we had a block party BBQ and everyone cooked the meat. Kind of silly to poison your neighbors over meat when you could share instead.

[Mersky]

109. Good ideas

I've stared down 12V setups in the past. Will look at them again. I think it really depends on the amount of time with power out as to whether a generator is necessary. Am in Austin these days, so I'm more like backup support for people in the Houston area.

And, yeah, the BBQ can be one of the bright spots in the mess of it.

Actually, have a portable flip out solar panel that I need to become more familiar with.

[Pacifist Patriot]

25. Hmmmm...my house appears to be on a pixel in the M at 8:00 a.m. Monday

But not feeling much in the way of concern - probably jaded. I've lived in Brevard County for 25 years. I've lost count of the hurricanes projected several days out to potentially hit us only to move away as they get closer. I've evacuated from a number of storms and hunkered down under a few others.

I don't live where a storm surge would have any impact. I have a new roof (thanks Irma!) and hurricane shutters. I buy the water, batteries, non-perishable food, etc. right as school lets out in late May. I've got house prep down to a science.

Floridians:

"Waiting for a hurricane is like getting stalked by a turtle."

"This is like waiting for your dad to get home from work to whoop your ass...and the weatherman is like your mom threatening that he will or might not."

[malaise]

26. You made me laugh

Truth is we can only prepare for the worst and hope for the best - they don't know the location of the direct hit as yet

Stay safe

[Pacifist Patriot]

30. Yep. Prepare for the worst and find ways to laugh. It's how I roll.

Thanks!

[GusBob]

35. When I see that 3 day forecast then I get er done

Shit I think they shut UCF down for 11 days last time and they didnt even lose power

[Pacifist Patriot]

36. Exactly

[radical noodle]

47. "Waiting for a hurricane is like getting stalked by a turtle."

That's exactly how I felt waiting for Irma to hit. It was rather anticlimactic because by the time it got here, I was sound asleep.

[mitch96]

51. " "Waiting for a hurricane is like getting stalked by a turtle.""

LMAO!!!!!! good one
m

[mcar]

56. Yes! and the tension just grew and grew

I've lived in FL for 29 years and went through Andrew. We've been in West Central FL ever since and have been very lucky. But Irma was so stressful - I ended up driving to Asheville and stayed with a cousin for a week while hubby and son rode it out.

[Vogon_Glory]

28. My prayers are with you guys even if

It means I can’t pray for a Category Five hurricane to stall over Mar a Lago for 48 hours the way Hurricane Wilma did over Cozumel several years ago.

[Pacifist Patriot]

32. Hurricanes can spin off tornados.

You can still pray for a surgical tornadic strike at Mar a Lago that doesn't impact others in the area. I'd pay to see that.

[Vogon_Glory]

44. I think I'm angry enough to hope for such

Although I realize that people could be severely injured and lives lost.

[Pacifist Patriot]

52. I hear you.

I root for massive catastrophic irreparable property damage within the boundaries of Mar a Lago. I figure if I'm fantasizing anyway, I can be as specific as I want.

[Baclava]

34. Could hit anywhere

[muriel_volestrangler]

37. "Trump has been draining FEMA to pay for his dumb wall"

Link to tweet

[malaise]

50. THIS

and somewhere is Florida is going to be hit

[Baclava]

78. Yep, steering conditions later in week will give a better track forecast

Headed right at Melborne, central FL coast right now, but really path could shift a lot, farther north the better i think

[FloridaBlues]

42. Yep looks like Florida won't escape her. East coast of fl better prepare

[CaptainTruth]

48. I'm prepping. Looks like it's headed right for us.

[ariadne0614]

57. This thread is seriously depressing.

I’m in Wisconsin, but for selfish personal reasons, need Dorian to fizzle out by the weekend—even if it means Mar a Lago will escape devastation.

[malaise]

58. Sometimes facts are depressing

At 1.00pm, Dorian is a Cat 1 hurricane and is heading for Florida. Those of us who live in hurricane prone areas know the drill - prepare for the worst and hope for the best. This one looks bad.

[FM123]

59. OK, so this is really happening....

Dorian is not looking directly at me in Broward, but I'm gonna get ready in case she pivots....

[malaise]

60. Yep - now Cat 1

Stay safe

[FM123]

61. Thank you!

[ariadne0614]

83. He. n/t

[YOHABLO]

67. My family's home is on the GA coast outside of Savannah. Wonder if it will turn more NE.

[GulfCoast66]

87. They normally do.

Except for the 2004 storms every hurricane predicted to hit Florida’s Atlantic coast in the 32 years I have been here ended up curving north.

[Stryst]

69. When I was going through hurricane Michael

Our local reserve base gave us a case of MREs. Fair notice, I am a disabled veteran. YMMV

Have gum ready. When the storm breaks over you the pressure is unreal.

Good luck and safe days to y'all.

[malaise]

72. That would help

[Stryst]

76. Yeah

Maybe a little. Call around and ask anyway, even if they say no you're not worse off. And if you have seniors or disabled people, if you have a service coordinator like one of the council's on aging, they may be willing to help with supplies.

[PennyK]

70. At least we prepped early this time

Brand-new roof, thanks to a hailstorm last March. Hubby is in talks to get a French drain for the back porch, but that wasn't going to happen til next month anyway.
I got some food items I wish I'd had last time (mini-moos for coffee and shelf-stable almond milk). Plenty of water. Storing up ice to keep food cold. I have my pour-over coffeepot at the ready. Gas stove, so I can keep cooking. It might get hot here but hopefully we'll be okay.

[Takket]

71. Was there a major upgrade today?

Because I swear yesterday they were only showing a tropical storm hitting Florida.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

74. I think the course took it further out over open water.....

....meaning it has more time to build up steam.

[malaise]

75. Yep

In recent times these storms intensify in a few hours.
One of the factors experts were considering was whether Dorian would be weakened by the mountains in DR - well Dorian decided to miss them completely and veered NE which is bad news for Florida. No one expected Dorian to reach the Virgin islands.

[Jirel]

77. Please veer a little more south, Dorian.

If you have to be a pain for anyone, please aim for Palm Beach. If people have to lose homes, let’s see Mar-a-Lago floating.

And everyone else in FL - please stay safe!!!!

[monmouth4]

79. Well, I'm in West Palm, just over the bridge from PB and am not looking forward to this. We've been

lucky for the last few years but looks like that's about to run out.

[malaise]

94. Stay safe

This may come close

[monmouth4]

95. Thanks malaise. n/t

[Awsi Dooger]

82. Trend is not looking good for South Florida

I'm in Miami. The official plot has it making landfall somewhere near Melbourne. But the sharpest guys on the tracking forums have been insisting for 2 days that the path will be considerably further westward, based on the most reliable European models.

Along those lines here is a recent tweet. The weakest models show the northern path while the ones typically more accurate have Dorian cutting a swatch across South Florida and then entering the Gulf::

Link to tweet

[Baclava]

85. The Euro model has been more accurate lately and it sends it more north

Wait n see, give it a couple days, lots of steering factors going on

[malaise]

90. No the 5.00pm Euro model is now heading for South Florida

The US model is further north - Florida people just prepare for the worst.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EDDmmfvW4AEHdpj?format=jpg

https://heavy.com/news/2019/08/map-florida-hurricane-dorian-gfs-euro/

[Baclava]

98. Like always, wait n see, still too early to be sure

Depends on how far that ridge moves to steer it

[malaise]

99. Agree

We don't know where the direct hit is located

[Baclava]

122. I see it now,the Euro model has it hitting Miami area then turning north up the spine of FL

Last edited Thu Aug 29, 2019, 04:59 PM - Edit history (1)

That would make the whole peninsula a target, wow

?w=800&h=469

[Tommy_Carcetti]

118. I remember the Euro model having us get a direct hit from Irma

And in the end we got a glancing blow.

So it’s not infallible.

[Baclava]

120. None of them are, its a model, but I still want it to go farther north,so there lol

Last edited Thu Aug 29, 2019, 10:58 AM - Edit history (1)

North will lessen the chance of cutting across the peninsula and getting into the GOM

[Bayard]

86. Oh......crap

My husband is working in southeast Georgia right now, on the Florida border.

[GulfCoast66]

89. Remember to fill the tanks in your vehicles.

And get plenty of gas and oil for your chainsaw if you own one. And as much cash as seems prudent.

And most importantly, check on your elderly and disabled neighbors. They may need help but are often reluctant to ask. If you have propane cooking stations host dinners with stuff from everyone’s freezers. After Charlie we had some great communal meals in my old neighborhood.

If you still have power and space ask those without to stay with you. We already have one person living alone planning to stay here if it hits central Florida. Hurricanes suck but can bring out the best in people.

[malaise]

91. Great post

[lpbk2713]

92. It's wise to be prepared for a power outage.

My power was out for four days after Irma. My son's was out for two weeks.

[malaise]

96. Virgin islands have some damage but no injured people

Good news

[lpbk2713]

97. That's always a plus.

[JennyMominFL]

102. IM IN East Orlando

Its coming right for me!

[malaise]

104. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best

Stay safe

[MFM008]

103. I wish it would spare

Everyone and just park itself over Mar a Lago.

[Blue_true]

105. I read Cat 3. nt

[malaise]

106. A hurricane becomes major at Cat3 n/t

[Blue_true]

110. I did not know that. I though a 1 and 2 were major. nt

[malaise]

111. Here are the details from the experts

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 rating based on a hurricane's sustained wind speed. This scale estimates potential property damage. Hurricanes reaching Category 3 and higher are considered major hurricanes because of their potential for significant loss of life and damage. Category 1 and 2 storms are still dangerous, however, and require preventative measures. In the western North Pacific, the term "super typhoon" is used for tropical cyclones with sustained winds exceeding 150 mph.

Good read at link

[Cetacea]

116. I'm predicting Cat 4.. The experts haven't been informing people that the waters are 91 degrees

around south Florida and around the Bahamas. I'm fairly certain that's a record and it's absolutely scary. I think that the previous record high was 90 somewhere in the Gulf back in 2008 or so.

[malaise]

117. I hope you are wrong

That would be catastrophic

[Cetacea]

119. Me too!

Thanks for the thread! Stay safe.

[rickford66]

107. To always be safe ...

At a minimum, never live in a valley, on top of a mountain, near water or above ground.

[Skittles]

115. wishing the best for the people in Florida

jokes about Mar a lago aside, no one seriously wants to see anyone harmed

[nolabear]

121. Shit. Time to call my people and see where they're going again.

I love Florida and the whole of the bayous. I fear they won’t last much longer.