Forecasting technology is amazing. Think about this...

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Eric Blake 🌀
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@EricBlake12
Incredible to think there is a category 5 hurricane less than 200 miles east of me, and the threat from #Dorian is judged to be low enough that there’s no warning in place for #Miami. We live in amazing scientific times!

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4 replies	Author	Time	Post
Forecasting technology is amazing. Think about this... (Original post)	Roland99	Sep 2019	OP
That is pretty amazing!	Control-Z	Sep 2019	#1
Yes...but the NHC has issued hurricane warnings for much of FL's East Coast	jpak	Sep 2019	#2
Then again, they blew the call on Irma	Sedona	Sep 2019	#3
Sometimes they don't trust their own technology	Iwasthere	Sep 2019	#4

Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Sun Sep 1, 2019, 08:50 PM

Control-Z (15,642 posts)

1. That is pretty amazing!

I'll K&R that!

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Sun Sep 1, 2019, 08:51 PM

jpak (41,162 posts)

2. Yes...but the NHC has issued hurricane warnings for much of FL's East Coast

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL052019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/220614_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Sun Sep 1, 2019, 08:57 PM

Sedona (3,571 posts)

3. Then again, they blew the call on Irma

in 2016 by over 100 miles on the turn north.

Wreaked havoc with the east coast of Florida evacuating millions (uncluding my 78 year old mother) for almost nothing.

Irma blew thru Islamarada threaded up the west coast and into the Gulf of Mexico

They're good but not perfect by any stretch.

If Dorian doesn't make the turn by noon tomorrow, all hell will break loose in Ft Lauderdale/Palm Beach.

Turn baby turn. Please!

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Sun Sep 1, 2019, 09:39 PM

Iwasthere (2,761 posts)

4. Sometimes they don't trust their own technology

I watched a segment on wpbf 25 where a person on the hurricane hunter plane said the wind speeds were so incredibly high they assumed something was wrong. So they tested speeds using old school methods, dropping devices... he said those tests showed just a couple mph below 200 mph. YIKES! Watch the updates, they keep saying 185

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