General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forumstrump has alienated tens of thousands of voters in Florida
Link to tweet
Since taking office as president, Donald Trump has alienated what looks like a mini-United Nations of voters with deep connections to other countries, tens of thousands of whom live in the state thats essential to his re-election Florida.
Taken individually, these groups are just a marginal problem for a statewide candidate. But Florida is a state historically won at the margins Trump won the state by just 1.2 percentage points in 2016.
The political turf is shifting in Florida as more and more non-white voters are added to the rolls both as a result of domestic and international migration, and natural growth. Since the last midterm election, 42 percent of the new voters who have registered are nonwhite. For the same period in the last presidential cycle, the percentage was 38.
RKP5637
(67,112 posts)in congress to get what is going on. They might be surprised when they lose the Presidency, House and Senate in 2020.
Bleacher Creature
(11,504 posts)If Trump's actions are only causing problems for him, and not FL Republicans in general, it means that there will be a ton of cross-over voting next year, which I guess is possible.
Hermit-The-Prog
(36,631 posts)Floridians need to GOTV like never before to overcome GOPer cheating.
Celerity
(54,857 posts)https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/1/8/18173678/trump-shutdown-voter-florida
On Monday, the New York Timess Patricia Mazzei published a dispatch from Marianna, Florida a small, politically conservative town that depends on jobs from a federal prison and thus has been deeply hurt by the government shutdown. In the piece, Marianna residents grapple with the fact that President Donald Trump, who most residents support, is playing a role in the pain created by lost wages. Most Marianna residents support Trumps border wall, his key demand in the shutdown fight, and dont blame him for the fight. But Crystal Minton, a secretary at the prison who is also a single mother caring for disabled parents, had a somewhat different reaction one that reveals an essential truth about the core Trumps political appeal.
Hes not hurting the people he needs to be hurting.
Think about that line for a second. Roll it over in your head. In essence, Minton is declaring that one aim of the Trump administration is to hurt people the right people. Making America great again, in her mind, involves inflicting pain.
This is not an accident. Trumps political victory and continuing appeal depend on a brand of politics that marginalizes and targets groups disliked by his supporters. Trump supporters dont so much love the Republican party as they hate Democrats, a phenomenon political scientists call negative partisanship. They like Trump not because he sells them on the GOP, but because they believe hell stick it to the Democrats harder than anyone else.
The presidents particular brand of identity politics the racist attacks on blacks and Latinos, the Muslim ban, his cruel treatment of women similarly depends on negative rather than positive appeals. Antoine Banks, a political psychologist at the University of Maryland, wrote a book on the connection between anger as an emotion and racial politics. When politicians gin up anger, an emotion that necessarily has a negative target, voters tend to think about the world in more racial (and racist) terms. Trump makes his voters angry, he centers that anger on hated targets, and that makes them want to take his side. This is what makes Trumpism work. This is the dark heart of our political moment. Even people who are tremendously vulnerable themselves, like Crystal Minton, support Trump because of his capacity to inflict pain on others they detest. The cruelty, as the Atlantics Adam Serwer says, is the point.
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Kath2
(3,192 posts)To see Florida go blue in 2020.
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