Louisianna election : UPDATE Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards wins!!

[applegrove]

Last edited Sun Nov 17, 2019, 01:10 AM - Edit history (4)

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/11/16/us/elections/results-louisiana-governor-general-election.html?module=inline



https://politicalwire.com/2019/11/16/why-the-louisiana-governors-race-is-so-close/

"SNIP.....


Why the Louisiana Governor’s Race Is So Close

November 16, 2019 at 12:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard61 Comments

New York Times: “The crucial cultural dividing line in Louisiana has always been north-south. Those who live in north Louisiana are mostly Protestant, speak with a familiar Southern twang and, in the modern era, voted heavily Republican. But rural South Louisiana is more Catholic, the accent is like nothing else (as anyone knows listening to the L.S.U. football coach Ed Orgeron on Saturdays) and the politics has tended more Democratic.”

“Yet as Louisiana voters go to the polls Saturday to decide the highly competitive runoff for governor between Gov. John Bel Edwards, a Democrat, and Eddie Rispone, his Republican challenger, the traditional regional divide is giving way to an urban versus rural political chasm that is shaping elections across the country. Republicans are dominating the countryside across much of the state, while Democrats are running up large margins in the cities in both the north and south while gaining strength in the suburbs.”

....SNIP"

[Ferrets are Cool]

1. Hope that changes. nt

[book_worm]

3. It is less than 1% and doesn't include any of NO or Baton Rouge

so yes, it will change.

[FBaggins]

5. All absentee at this point

[at140]

2. Go Edwards! Defeat Trump's lap dog!!

Any results yet?

[Eliot Rosewater]

4. Guess they dont like health insurance in LA...No, not picking on LA

Last edited Sun Nov 17, 2019, 01:30 PM - Edit history (1)

But I am getting sick of stupid voters everywhere.


EDIT so glad to be wrong, the good guy Won

[at140]

6. Hillary beat Trump by 3 million votes!

If it was not for that artificial and illogical electoral college, she would be president.

[guillaumeb]

9. I want my freedom to purchase a useless health insurance plan.

And my freedom to be exploited as a worker in a non-union shop.

[evertonfc]

7. it's funny

how people watch results and freak out at 2% reporting. lol

[VarryOn]

8. If Edwards wins, it's a big deal...

Louisiana is as red as they come. A Dem winning, even as an incumbent, is a great accomplishment. On the level of KEntucky’s election the other day.

[Polybius]

10. But if he loses, it's also a huge blow

It will make the Kentucky win a push.

[VarryOn]

12. Yeah, it would be...

Trying to be positive!

[Garrett78]

11. I'm following the results on VOX and something odd just happened.

I swear, they showed 98% reporting (with Edwards down by 5 points). I refreshed the page and it's at 5.45% reporting and Edwards down by 9 points.

[jezebel321]

13. I saw it too. It had it up to 98% in and it was Republican loser 52, Democratic Gov 48. Very weird.

[Garrett78]

25. It momentarily freaked me out. Anyway, it seems turnout is way up over 2015.

[evertonfc]

14. it's early

but so far, looking good. Outperforming in needed areas so far

[aaaaaa5a]

15. Orleans Parish has not reported yet.

It’s the 3rd largest Parish in the state. It’s heavily African American.

There are lots of blue votes out there.

[Blue_true]

16. What are the two larger ones and how do they stack demographically? nt

[Hav]

22. Looking at the vote totals from the last election,

Jefferson parish (almost equal) and East Baton Rouge (2/3 Dem) were larger. At this point, Edwards is doing a bit better in those combined.
But clearly, Orleans is the one where Edwards needs a huge lead.

[Polybius]

17. The NYT requires a subscription even to see poll results?

They are a joke, I hope no one pays for one.

[grantcart]

20. Link I have is free. Follow them every election

[Polybius]

21. No idea what your link is

But the one in the OP is not free and requires a subscription.

[grantcart]

23. Same link. Using it without subscription

[Polybius]

26. I guess it doesn't work on Macbooks using Chrome

I click it and it immediately wants my money for a subscription.

[Salviati]

32. Try opening it in an incognito window

That might work better.

[exboyfil]

33. They figure if you can afford an Apple

You can afford a subscription. /s

[druidity33]

40. works on my Mac using Chrome. nt.

[Legends303]

18. Looks like good news Rispone is under preforming with Abraham voters

Link to tweet

[evertonfc]

19. edwards

Is in super good shape at this point

[FBaggins]

24. Actually... it looks like a nail-biter

There are four counties that are close enough to complete that we can compare to the 2015 race. Assuming the shift in those counties is indicative of the race overall, it looks like a 1% victory for Edwards.

Roughly what the polls showed.

Looks like turnout in Orleans will tell the tale.

[a kennedy]

27. Who's winning???

[grantcart]

28. Edwards goes ahead yaaay

[ornotna]

29. Edwards just took the lead n/t

[KY_EnviroGuy]

30. Here's a link from Louisianna - theadvocate.com

Link: https://www.theadvocate.com/site/baton_rouge_election_results.html?872

Information courtesy of the Louisiana Secretary of State's Office.

1789 of 3934 precincts reporting - 45% at 10:05pm. JBE slightly ahead.

Refresh this page to get most current results.

Good luck, JBE!

KY.......

[patricia92243]

31. Goood Grief! I'm as nervous as if I were watching the Presidential vote. n/t

[Quackers]

34. Looks like we're gonna lose the state. :/ nt

[evertonfc]

36. what makes you think that

[Legends303]

35. Rispone is leading so far with over 7000 votes 60% not looking good

[evertonfc]

37. looking fine

our areas are out

[Quackers]

38. What areas do we still have out?

I’m not familiar with LA.

[Hav]

42. 3 ouf our biggest areas have still many votes not counted

Orleans, East Baton Rouge and Caddo. All of those are still under 50%.

[maximusveritas]

51. Yep Edwards running 91-9 margin in Orleans Parish only 47% in

That is where we usually run the best and he is doing better than usual. If that holds up, he should pull this out.

[grantcart]

43. Lots of blue votes left

Urban areas are the biggest unreported area

East Baton rouge

New orleans

[Legends303]

39. Weird it looks like Rispone increased his lead to 11,000 votes now 71% via NYT

[oasis]

41. C'mon Edwards.

[mucifer]

44. not looking good

[marybourg]

45. Look at Orleans, East Baton Rouge and Caddo parishes.

And project.

[Demovictory9]

50. based on what's left, edwards should take the lead soon and never look back

fingers crossed

[Hav]

56. And that is exactly happening right now

There is no way Edwards will give lose that lead even temporarily now with almost all of the R votes in.

[evertonfc]

46. yes it is

[Hav]

47. Look which parishes are still open

Some strong red areas are open as well but only one bigger one. The current deficit could get equalized by Caddo alone. And then there are still 2 larger Dem ones who haven't even reported 50%.

It's hard for me to see how Edwards won't win this unless Orleans really swings to towards the R.

[Legends303]

49. I think Edwards will pull it out with 0.1% I'm predicting

[grantcart]

55. I predict 30,000 win 3%

[W_HAMILTON]

48. Says who?

Wasserman has been posting live updates and Bel Edwards has been beating most of his benchmarks and then there's this:

Link to tweet

It looks like a lot of blue areas are still out and Bel Edwards is already basically tied. Why do you say "not looking good?"

[Garrett78]

52. 91-9 in Orleans with less than 50% reporting. I like our chances.

[grantcart]

57. Yep

[Garrett78]

53. Already about 170,000 more votes than in 2015. With 83% reporting.

[W_HAMILTON]

54. Wasserman calls it for the Democrat!

Link to tweet

[Demsrule86]

62. Fox News called it too...Trump is two losses for two rallies.

[Blue_true]

64. After last week and it being Louisiana, I was afraid that repughs would win a rebound race.

But Louisiana Democrats, Indies and some republicans stood up and said "hell no!" to republicans.

[Demsrule86]

70. me too.

[Roland99]

58. Up 0.6 (9000 votes) with 93% in

East Baton Rouge and Orleans with 1/3 yet to come in and huge leads in each

[MadLinguist]

59. I think John Bel is going to make it over the finish line by a hair

93% in. Trying to remember to breathe

[Initech]

60. Go Edwards!!!!!

[BleedsBlue]

61. Hell yes...

AP calls it...

[MadLinguist]

63. Rispone concedes!!

Yes indeed!!!

[grantcart]

66. Wow

[struggle4progress]

68. Rispone calls Edwards to concede

https://www.wafb.com/2019/11/17/eddie-rispone-calls-john-bel-edwards-concede/

[Leghorn21]

65. This is the greatest thread EVAH!!!

FUCK YEAH ORLEANS!!!!!

[grantcart]

67. Thanks applegrove you should edit thread title to show result

[applegrove]

69. I will. Thanks.