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kentuck

(111,052 posts)
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 10:17 PM Dec 2019

What happens if fifty-one Senators vote to convict in the Senate??

IF four Republicans voted with the Democrats and Independents, they would have 51 votes to find Donald J Trump guilty.

Of course, the Constitution says that it takes two/thirds vote in the Senate to remove a President.

If only fifty-one Senators vote to convict, the President does not have to be removed. He can stay on as President?

Even if the majority vote to convict, rather than acquit, it is not enough to remove the President?

How could someone stay on as President if a majority of Senators believe him to be guilty?

Am I missing something that is in the Constitution?
45 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What happens if fifty-one Senators vote to convict in the Senate?? (Original Post) kentuck Dec 2019 OP
He stays, we pay. dem4decades Dec 2019 #1
nada... or even 52. or 53. 912gdm Dec 2019 #2
It's a preventative measure to make sure removal is a bipartisan decision. bearsfootball516 Dec 2019 #3
No, the Constitution does not deal with parties in any way. DavidDvorkin Dec 2019 #8
Nixon was told there were enough votes to convict. Lochloosa Dec 2019 #9
2/3 in the same party. TwilightZone Dec 2019 #12
Why would you need 2/3 in the same party? DavidDvorkin Dec 2019 #13
No one is going to stay home. TwilightZone Dec 2019 #14
TIL the founders envisioned 67 senate votes to remove. 912gdm Dec 2019 #20
(Snort) jberryhill Dec 2019 #21
The point of the OP was to ask if he could be removed with a simple majority of 51 votes Polybius Dec 2019 #39
It would be to remove him Nixon-like.. kentuck Dec 2019 #43
Your premise Timewas Dec 2019 #4
Only counts if a lot of Republicans stay away in protest jmowreader Dec 2019 #5
He's not removed, but it sends a powerful message. StarfishSaver Dec 2019 #6
I'm not sure what you're trying to say. TwilightZone Dec 2019 #7
But, is it a victory? kentuck Dec 2019 #22
if 25 stay home, 51 voting to convict means he's removed Hermit-The-Prog Dec 2019 #10
Not happening. TwilightZone Dec 2019 #15
didn't say it will happen Hermit-The-Prog Dec 2019 #16
What we need to do is safeinOhio Dec 2019 #11
You will need more than that Polybius Dec 2019 #40
2/3. Voltaire2 Dec 2019 #17
What happens? AnusMouth claims "total exoneration!" and.... lastlib Dec 2019 #18
If 51 vote guilty, he stays. The math is not hard. sarisataka Dec 2019 #19
I don't think any will vote to convict unless enough vote to convict Renew Deal Dec 2019 #23
So long as Trump can get 51 Senators, he can say he was acquitted. kentuck Dec 2019 #24
As long as 2/3 don't vote to convict, he can say he was acquitted. onenote Dec 2019 #25
"...the votes of two-thirds of the Members present..." kentuck Dec 2019 #26
What happens? Nothing. It's back to the everyday grifting and tweeting. Golf anyone? Vinca Dec 2019 #27
I'm not certain the general public would view a vote to convict Trump, 51 or more Senators... kentuck Dec 2019 #28
nope, need 67 under any scenario to remove beachbumbob Dec 2019 #29
That might be a little more difficult? kentuck Dec 2019 #30
we need over 2/3 of Senators present at time of voting. uncle ray Dec 2019 #31
We'll see Trump take victory laps. aikoaiko Dec 2019 #32
This is a safeguard StarfishSaver Dec 2019 #33
Convictions in federal and nearly all state courts pintobean Dec 2019 #34
Nothing happens. Did Bill Clinton leave office? MineralMan Dec 2019 #35
I don't understand EndlessWire Dec 2019 #36
McConnell is talking to Trump and to Trump's base. MineralMan Dec 2019 #37
Great point, but the majority voted not guilty on one and then tied for the other Polybius Dec 2019 #41
Of course he says Polybius Dec 2019 #38
It's a great question, imo. gulliver Dec 2019 #42
Democrats could be better at taking advantage of political opportunities. kentuck Dec 2019 #44
Unless 25 Senators decide to take a vacation outside of DC on the day of the vote... krispos42 Dec 2019 #45

bearsfootball516

(6,373 posts)
3. It's a preventative measure to make sure removal is a bipartisan decision.
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 10:22 PM
Dec 2019

With how the country is set up, it's basically impossible to get 67 senators of the same party in the Senate at the same time. What the founding fathers didn't anticipate is one party becoming so corrupt that they refuse to convict even when the evidence is staring them in the face.

But...can you imagine the problems if you could convict with a simple majority? Republicans would have invented some reason to impeach Obama in the House after winning the Senate in 2014, then removed him from office with a simple majority.

Without the 2/3rds requirement, any party that controls the House and Senate could impeach and remove any president they want at any time, for any reason. It would be a nightmare.

Lochloosa

(16,061 posts)
9. Nixon was told there were enough votes to convict.
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 10:41 PM
Dec 2019

That is why he resigned. It's not impossible to get 2/3's.

TwilightZone

(25,428 posts)
12. 2/3 in the same party.
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 10:43 PM
Dec 2019

Not 2/3 overall.

"it's basically impossible to get 67 senators of the same party in the Senate at the same time."

TwilightZone

(25,428 posts)
14. No one is going to stay home.
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 11:00 PM
Dec 2019

The point of the OP was that we'll always need members of the other party to reach 67, because it's highly unlikely we'll ever get to 67 Democrats in the Senate at the same time. Or that either party will get to 67, for that matter.

I thought the point was made pretty clearly, but apparently not.

912gdm

(959 posts)
20. TIL the founders envisioned 67 senate votes to remove.
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 12:10 AM
Dec 2019

Those were some super psychic founders to know we would have 50 states.



/s

Polybius

(15,334 posts)
39. The point of the OP was to ask if he could be removed with a simple majority of 51 votes
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 03:56 PM
Dec 2019

Not sure why it was even asked, since the number 67 is basically everywhere.

kentuck

(111,052 posts)
43. It would be to remove him Nixon-like..
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 04:31 PM
Dec 2019

...by resignation.

After all, if he won the election with a technicality called the Electoral College, and he was impeached in the House, then if a majority of Senators voted him guilty of the charges, it appears to be three strikes and you're out to the common eye? By the Constitution, it requires two/thirds of those present to remove him.

Timewas

(2,190 posts)
4. Your premise
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 10:23 PM
Dec 2019

MAkes the assumption that he really gives a fat fuck about anyone besides himself. He will crow to the heavens that he is innocent and laugh at all of it

jmowreader

(50,528 posts)
5. Only counts if a lot of Republicans stay away in protest
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 10:24 PM
Dec 2019

The Constitution says two-thirds concurrence of those present when the vote is taken are required to convict.

 

StarfishSaver

(18,486 posts)
6. He's not removed, but it sends a powerful message.
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 10:24 PM
Dec 2019

He took the White House despite a majority of voters voting for his opponent and he would have stayed in the White House despite a bipartiaan majority of the House and Senate wanting him removed from office.

TwilightZone

(25,428 posts)
7. I'm not sure what you're trying to say.
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 10:34 PM
Dec 2019

"Of course, the Constitution says that it takes two/thirds vote in the Senate to remove a President. "

This is correct. 2/3 of 100 (it's highly unlikely anyone will be absent or abstain) is 67.

"If only fifty-one Senators vote to convict, the President does not have to be removed. He can stay on as President? "

Well, yes. 51 < 67. He's going to consider anything under 67 a victory.

kentuck

(111,052 posts)
22. But, is it a victory?
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 06:53 AM
Dec 2019

If 51 Senators vote to convict him and 49 vote to acquit, isn't that a political problem?

Hermit-The-Prog

(33,253 posts)
16. didn't say it will happen
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 11:06 PM
Dec 2019

The answer to the OP's question is, "nothing", in the most likely scenario of all Senators being present.

The other extreme is a bare quorum (51) showing up and all of them voting to convict.

lastlib

(23,152 posts)
18. What happens? AnusMouth claims "total exoneration!" and....
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 11:31 PM
Dec 2019

goes on to destroy the nation for Vladdy Daddy.

And We The People Are Screwed. Unless he's assassinated, blows a cranial artery, or is overwhelmingly defeated next November, and dragged out in irons in January.

sarisataka

(18,483 posts)
19. If 51 vote guilty, he stays. The math is not hard.
Fri Dec 13, 2019, 11:50 PM
Dec 2019

Andrew Johnson's impeachment vote was 35 guilty, 19 not guilty. 36 guilty vote were needed to convict so he remained in office.

Today it would take 67 votes to remove a President; 66 votes he stays in office. The talk of some Senators not showing up is fantasy. They will all show up unless someone is in a coma. Any Republican who doesn't show up would be treated by their party and constituents as if they voted guilty.

Renew Deal

(81,846 posts)
23. I don't think any will vote to convict unless enough vote to convict
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 07:35 AM
Dec 2019

Voting against it is the easy way out.

kentuck

(111,052 posts)
24. So long as Trump can get 51 Senators, he can say he was acquitted.
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 07:48 AM
Dec 2019

If 51 Senators vote to convict him, he cannot argue that he was acquitted. He can argue that he was not convicted by the rules of the Constitution.

So, we will then have a president that won the White House with the Electoral College, after losing the popular vote by about 3 million votes. We will then have a president that was impeached in the House. And, if 51 Senators vote to convict, we will have a president that everyone has voted against and he will still be in the White House.

onenote

(42,585 posts)
25. As long as 2/3 don't vote to convict, he can say he was acquitted.
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 08:50 AM
Dec 2019

Not guilty and acquitted are synonymous from a legal standpoint. And this is not like a typical criminal trial in which the jury's verdict must be unanimous and the result of a divided jury is neither a verdict of guilty or not guilty. Anything less than 2/3 in a Senate trial is a verdict of not guilty and thus, acquittal.

This is confirmed by the Senate's rules governing impeachment trials:

XIII. [SNIP] "On the final question whether the impeachment is sustained, the yeas and nays shall be taken on each article of impeachment separately; and if the impeachment shall not, upon any of the articles presented, be sustained by the votes of two-thirds of the Members present, a judgment of acquittal shall be entered"

kentuck

(111,052 posts)
28. I'm not certain the general public would view a vote to convict Trump, 51 or more Senators...
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 09:21 AM
Dec 2019

..in the same way as the politicians and constitutionalists?

They may have a different perspective?

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
29. nope, need 67 under any scenario to remove
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 09:24 AM
Dec 2019

need 51 not to even hold a trial if McConnel does what we all expect he is going to do unless the filibuster can be used to stop it.

kentuck

(111,052 posts)
30. That might be a little more difficult?
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 09:30 AM
Dec 2019

to get 51 Republicans to shut down the process in such an abrupt way, and perhaps, unconstitutional?

aikoaiko

(34,162 posts)
32. We'll see Trump take victory laps.
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 10:19 AM
Dec 2019

Even if he isn’t convicted I’m still glad for the impeachment. Enough is enough.
 

StarfishSaver

(18,486 posts)
33. This is a safeguard
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 10:29 AM
Dec 2019

Removing a president is an extraordinary measure, one that shouldn't be undertaken easily or just because one party has a slight majority. The Founding Fathers rightly set this up so that a simple majority couldn't toss a president out. Among other things, unlike in the House, a majority of senators don't necessarily represent a majority of the population.

Put the shoe on the other foot. Do you have any doubt that, had Hillary won the White House and the House and Senate are controlled by Republicans that they would have immediately removed her from office and then removed her vice president and installed a Republican speaker as president? All they needed was to have one more vote than the Democrats - even though they represented only a minority of the population - and they would have completely upended the election. And don't think they wouldn't have done it.

There are many flaws in the Constitution. The 2/3 threshold to remove a president isn't one of them.

 

pintobean

(18,101 posts)
34. Convictions in federal and nearly all state courts
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 10:39 AM
Dec 2019

require a unanimous jury. Two thirds is a much lower standard, even if it doesn't seem so to some.

MineralMan

(146,254 posts)
35. Nothing happens. Did Bill Clinton leave office?
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 11:14 AM
Dec 2019

We have some recent things we can look at. We should do so before making any claims about what "might happen."

The closer we stay to reality in this matter, the better we will do, I think.

On the other hand, Mitch McConnell should resign from the Senate forthwith. He has publicly stated that he will not conduct a fair trial in the Senate.

EndlessWire

(6,456 posts)
36. I don't understand
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 03:39 PM
Dec 2019

why they just brazenly announce their cheating like that. Who is he talking to, or for?

MineralMan

(146,254 posts)
37. McConnell is talking to Trump and to Trump's base.
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 03:48 PM
Dec 2019

That's pretty obvious. Now, what he will actually do still remains to be seen. He has, however, done something remarkably stupid in declaring that he's on Trump's side. That will taint everything he does from here on out, and we have his own words to throw back at him.

Bottom line is that the Senate will not remove Trump. What happens between now and the time that vote is taken could be very, very interesting, actually. McConnell will not be in charge during the actual trial. Chief Justice Roberts will be. That could change Mitch's plans quite a bit, really. What Roberts will do is unpredictable, but we'll get to see.

In fact, we'll get to see a lot of what goes on. And we and the media will be able to comment on it. In the end, Trump will still be in the White House, but other things may look different after all this.

Mitch McConnell has stated clearly that he's Trump's boy. That's going to backfire on him, I think.

Polybius

(15,334 posts)
41. Great point, but the majority voted not guilty on one and then tied for the other
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 04:03 PM
Dec 2019

Not guilty votes on the two articles were 55-45 and 50-50.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impeachment_of_Bill_Clinton

Polybius

(15,334 posts)
38. Of course he says
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 03:51 PM
Dec 2019

If you know that the Constitution says it's 2/3rds, then that's what it is. Just look at Andrew Johnson. The vote was lopsided and he stood.

gulliver

(13,168 posts)
42. It's a great question, imo.
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 04:07 PM
Dec 2019

I think it would be a catastrophe for Trump and his Republican servants if any Republicans joined Dems and voted to convict. Trump's holding his breath. About 10% of Republicans are for impeaching Trump. That's a lot of Republicans.

kentuck

(111,052 posts)
44. Democrats could be better at taking advantage of political opportunities.
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 04:56 PM
Dec 2019

Sometimes we can't see the forest for the trees.

What if there are 60 votes to convict, for example? Officially, he would be considered as acquitted by our Constitution. But what would he be considered by the average person?

krispos42

(49,445 posts)
45. Unless 25 Senators decide to take a vacation outside of DC on the day of the vote...
Sat Dec 14, 2019, 06:20 PM
Dec 2019

...Dolt45 gets to stay.

If 25 Senators decide that the day of the vote is great time to visit Madagascar for a couple of weeks, then 51 out of 75 is larger than 2/3rds, and Dolt45 all of sudden meets DoJ guidelines for criminal investigations, subpoenas and charges.

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