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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhat Unites Republicans May Be Changing. Same With Democrats.
What Unites Republicans May Be Changing. Same With Democrats.
By Perry Bacon Jr.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-unites-republicans-may-be-changing-same-with-democrats/
"SNIP....
In a book released on the eve of the 2016 election called Asymmetric Politics, political scientists Matthew Grossmann and David Hopkins argued that Americas political parties dont just have different ideologies, but are really different kinds of organizations. Republicans are organized around broad symbolic principles, whereas Democrats are a coalition of social groups with particular policy concerns, the authors concluded.
I dont want to treat that book as gospel, but it speaks to a certain understanding that has existed throughout my 17 years covering national politics. Democrats have been considered the party of Asian, black, gay, Jewish and Latino people, along with atheists, teachers, union members, etc. in short, a coalition organized around a bunch of different identity groups. Meanwhile, Republicans have been thought of as the party of small government, low taxes, a strong national defense and traditional moral values in short, a coalition based around a few core ideological principles.
That has always been a fairly simplistic view of the parties. (And Grossmann and Hopkinss book is much more nuanced.) But as an easy rubric to understand the two parties it worked. It still does, to some extent. But less and less so.
The two big stories happening right now in American politics the 2020 Democratic primary and impeachment show both parties being reshaped in ways that break with that asymmetry: The GOP is becoming increasingly organized around identity groups, and Democrats are becoming increasingly ideological.
......SNIP"
msongs
(73,752 posts)kurtcagle
(2,634 posts)There are strong generational aspects to politics that point to what the future will hold.
I see more policy cohesiveness in the younger Democratic party, while the centrist faction - more pragmatic and business-friendly - are likely to end up merging with the remnants of what I'd call the institutional right - analysts, investigators, regulators. Right now, what holds the Democratic party together is the Trump Republicans, who have to a significant degree embraced corporate fascism. Demographically, though, this latter group is literally dying, and within the decade will have ceased to exist as a separate force.
This will push the electorate to the left somewhat, but that left is still right of the status quo of say thirty years ago. By 2028, I expect the Progressives (who for the most part have now seen first-hand the dangers of highly centralized power) may actually end up finding common cause with the techno-libertarians and quite possibly spinning off when the centrist Democrats fill the power vacuum left behind by the disintegrating Republicans.
applegrove
(132,207 posts)the MAYHEM.
applegrove
(132,207 posts)Last edited Tue Dec 17, 2019, 10:11 PM - Edit history (1)
with the center left one winning most often? That is why we are to the left of the USA. Conservatives in canada have adopted US republican wedge issues which serve to only wedge them into 35% popularity. They could win a minority with that. But not much more. Canadians have moved on from guns, gays and abortions. Plus they keep showing themselves by doing things like howling when Trudeau made a ministerial position that was to monitor the middle class and grow it.