Trump May Be Even More Unpopular Than His Approval Rating Shows

[OliverQ]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-may-be-even-more-unpopular-than-his-approval-rating-shows/

Interesting read. Among Dems and Independents, Trump is more unpopular than Palin and Pence.

[duforsure]

1. Remember

Cohen claimed some of the polls were being fixed by trump, so some of them should be taken with a grain of salt. When they are unfavorable it also might be even worse numbers for trump if its corrupted polling.

[dewsgirl]

3. This, exactly this. I think a couple years from now, we will look

back and be shocked by just how many polls were corrupted. Every time someone gets upset about a poll, I think of this.

[OliverQ]

8. But if polls are corrupted, wouldn't Trump at least put his approval

over 50%? Seems odd to rig polls and still make your approval abysmal by historic standards.

[dewsgirl]

9. Maybe, but when they have been it's still within a few points.

The poll can't vary wildly from the average of what the poll is on an average week, that would be too obvious. I don't know if I explained that right?

[OliverQ]

10. Yeah I see your point.

Keeping it higher than it really is or should be is one thing, but if he just put his approval at 80% everyone would obviously just dismiss the poll as entirely fraudulent.

[dewsgirl]

11. Yes, but I don't put past these fools to try.

Thank God the trusted polling companies, have and care about a good reputation.

[hlthe2b]

2. The fact that more and more Dems and Independents have softened their intense disdain for Bush*

certainly underscores. I really can't imagine that ever happening within the same generation without having someone infinitely worse like Trump.

[empedocles]

4. It has long seemed, to me at least, that all the hits that trump has taken, must

have resulted in some 'thinning' of support - a danger to healthcare, Gold Star families, etc., etc.,

Hope this concept shows up in election day.

[underpants]

5. Check out these numbers

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/black-americans-deeply-pessimistic-about-country-under-president-who-more-than-8-in-10-describe-as-a-racist-post-ipsos-poll-finds/2020/01/16/134b705c-37de-11ea-bb7b-265f4554af6d_story.html

More than 8 in 10 black Americans say they believe Trump is a racist and that he has made racism a bigger problem in the country. Nine in 10 disapprove of his job performance overall.

[Gothmog]

6. Interesting read

I hope that Nate is right on this

[Wounded Bear]

7. Interesting numbers TBS...

my big hope is that enthusiasm for Trump is actually falling, and these numbers seem to suggest that, which would lead to more Trumplodytes staying home in November.

Among Indies, perhaps we will get some swing votes. Hopefully Dems will be fully motivated to continue the 2018 wave.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

12. K&R