Interesting observations from Gerald Seib (edit)
He is the political columnist of the WSJ - the only one who is never rabid:
Yet Republicans have built-in problems of their own, in particular the 26 House Republicans who have chosen to retire rather than seek re-election. Some of them come from districts where Democrats fired up by impeachment as well as moderate Republicans turned off by Mr. Trump’s behavior could tip those seats to the Democrats this fall.
Bottom line: Chances are good that Democrats retain control of the House—and Mrs. Pelosi remains speaker.
Meanwhile, though, impeachment and broader Trump controversies could make it harder for Republicans to keep control of the Senate. Three senators— Martha McSally of Arizona, Cory Gardner of Colorado and Susan Collins of Maine—are seeking re-election from swing states where Mr. Trump is relatively unpopular and where their votes against convicting him could energize Democrats and independents to vote against them.
Some other Republican senators— Thom Tillis of North Carolina and Kelly Loeffler of Georgia—face similar problems, and an open seat in Kansas could be within reach for Democrats. At the same time, Democratic Sen. Doug Jones of Alabama has the reverse problem as he seeks re-election in a state where the president is popular and his vote against Mr. Trump could hurt him.
Bottom line: Democrats need to flip three seats to draw the Senate to an even 50-50 split, and four to take outright control, and that is possible.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-bitter-impeachment-ends-its-divisions-may-live-on-11580943661 (subscription)
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