IN-05: Ready to Run
Indiana’s 5th is currently in the top of the third tier of Democratic takeover opportunities, along with races in Missouri’s 2nd (currently represented by Ann Wagner) and Washington’s 3rd (represented by Jaime Herrera Beutler). These are districts where Republicans have the advantage, but could get considerably more vulnerable or drop off the list of competitive races altogether, depending on the national political environment and outlook of the presidential race.
If President Trump wins the 5th again by close to 10 points, it’s unlikely Democrats will win an open-seat House race farther down the ballot. While the Indianapolis suburbs are trending Democratic, they are still more conservative than the Chicago suburbs or Orange County, California. And the traditionally Democratic, blue-collar parts of the 5th are turning red.
The 5th District race is also an example of where Republicans could win by holding the seat, but lose by decreasing their number of women on the Hill.
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