Trump drives massive turnout in primaries despite token opposition

[RandySF]

President Donald Trump doesn’t have much of a primary fight on his hands — but Republican voters are nevertheless turning out in droves for him, a warning sign for Democrats in November.

The massive turnout is a reflection of organic enthusiasm among conservatives and a sophisticated effort by Trump's campaign to rev up its get-out-the-vote machine ahead of the general election. Trump and Vice President Mike Pence traveled to Iowa and New Hampshire ahead of voting, and the campaign flooded the two states with high-profile surrogates and launched a Facebook advertising blitz reminding supporters to cast ballots.

President Donald Trump doesn’t have much of a primary fight on his hands — but Republican voters are nevertheless turning out in droves for him, a warning sign for Democrats in November.

The massive turnout is a reflection of organic enthusiasm among conservatives and a sophisticated effort by Trump's campaign to rev up its get-out-the-vote machine ahead of the general election. Trump and Vice President Mike Pence traveled to Iowa and New Hampshire ahead of voting, and the campaign flooded the two states with high-profile surrogates and launched a Facebook advertising blitz reminding supporters to cast ballots.



https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/16/trump-campaign-voter-turnout-115338

[Kurt V.]

1. there was a voting surge among republicans in the midterms as well. the key is who can expand

the new voters or flipping the 8 or so percent of true indies

[rockfordfile]

8. We won

[Kurt V.]

10. bc of the things i just said. now it's for POTUS. as clueless as trump is, his campaign manager

is not.

[ismnotwasm]

2. Trump for all his weirdness and bluster

Is doing exactly what Republicans want him to do. Period.

[dweller]

3. yeh it looks bigger

if you just repeat it ...
without any credible stats to back it up ..
oh, kind of like all the free airtime he got in 2015?


✌🏼

[lees1975]

4. Not really an indication

But worth keeping an eye on. Democratic turnout in New Hamshire set records, too, however and if that's an indication of where things are going in November, it's just one more reason to point to why every voter needs to get behind the nominee and get out there.

It's worth pointing out as well that Trump received 86% of the Republican vote cast. 14% of Republicans voted for someone else. It was similar in Iowa. I wouldn't guess too many of that 15% will be motivated to turn out in November, and maybe some will vote Democratic.

[tavernier]

5. I am not qualified to deprogram cultists.

I read this here on DU and I agree.

All I can do is to make sure I show up to vote. As often as they will let me.

[andym]

6. He is a dangerous opponent

who only needs to slander our candidate enough to bring down favorability to his own levels which are around 44% these days. We will need every advantage to win.

[Fullduplexxx]

7. And here's why ....CNN exposes depth of Trump associates buying rally attendance and votes for cash

CNN exposes depth of Trump associates buying rally attendance and votes for cash

February 16, 2020 

By Tom Boggioni 

On Sunday morning, CNN took a deep dive into reports that groups allied with President Donald Trump are funneling cash to potential voters in the hopes that they will turn out in November in what is expected to be a close presidential election. 

[rockfordfile]

9. A lot of desperate republicans. They are flooding right-wing propaganda

What's with the same over and over paragraphs?

[dweller]

11. repeating the lie

makes it eventually believable

✌🏼

[spanone]

12. Maybe come November, they'll think they've already voted?

Not the sharpest tools in the shed.

[Whiskeytide]

13. Anyone who thinks November is going to be easy ...

... needs to come to terms with what happened to our electorate in 2016.

I’ve posted this before, but is time to revisit it.

I live in Alabama. In 2015 and 2016, Alabama set new records in voter registration. Democrats here were rejoicing because conventional wisdom always said that high “new registrations” favor democrats.

But I looked at the counties that were showing the highest new registrations - counties like Shelby, Autauga and Baldwin. This are the reddest of the red areas in the state. I said then that these were not democrats. These were the previously disenfranchised right wing whack jobs that were coming out in response to Тяцмр‘s dog whistles. The people assholes think are assholes.

And they came out in droves. In 2012, Alabama cast just under 2,055,000 votes (about 76% turnout) for the two major parties, with 60.55% Romney to 38.77% Obama. Just over 22,000 votes were cast for someone else besides Romney or Obama. 2.12 total votes cast

In 2016, about 2,047,000 votes were cast for Ra and Ds. 62.08% Тяцмр to 34.36 Clinton. About 74,000 3rd party votes and write-Ins were cast. 2.07m total votes cast.

So republican voters increased by more than 62,000, and democratic voters dropped by almost 67,000, but the total was almost the same. 3rd party and write-ins increased by about 50,000.

This is why many analysts believe Obama voters went for Тяцмр. I’m sure some did, but not many. MOST of that R increase was new voters. Democrats voted 3rd party and stayed home.

What I think that means is that a lot of previously “didn’t give a shit ‘bout none of them politishuns” new voters crawled out from under their rocks to vote for Тяцмр. A lot. And now they’re registered. And they have added to their ranks since 2016. More assholes have liked what they have seen of Тяцмр in the last 3.5 years, and have joined in by registering themselves. Тяцмр Fundamentally changed the makeup of the electorate to his favor.

I know this is anecdotal. And I know it’s Alabama. But if you don’t think that a similar effect, to a greater or lesser extent, occurred in Fla, Ohio, Pa, Wisconsin and 30 other states, you’re not being realistic. Тяцмр swelled the ranks of the assholes in 2016, and has continued to do so since. We have new numbers. Prior history is much less instructive about what’s going to happen. 2020 is really a wild card I don’t think we have seen before.

GOTFV! This will not be easy.