General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSomeone just posted this on twitter about the stock market drops:
Top 8 Largest Dow Jones Drops in American History.
1) Trump: -1,191 2/27/20
2) Trump: -1,175 2/5/18
3) Trump: -1,032 2/8/18
4) Trump: -1,031 2/24/20
5) Trump: -879 2/25/20
6) Trump: -831 10/10/18
7) Trump: -800 8/14/19
8) Trump: -799 12/4/18
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)Or maybe they are, and its caught up with them.
cbdo2007
(9,213 posts)Hoyt
(54,770 posts)yardwork
(61,599 posts)brewens
(13,582 posts)ck4829
(35,071 posts)NRaleighLiberal
(60,014 posts)yonder
(9,664 posts)NRaleighLiberal
(60,014 posts)malaise
(268,980 posts)That is al
CaptYossarian
(6,448 posts)In the early 80's, a well known economist said the Dow would never hit 2,000 TOTAL points, period.
At least Trump's losses are greater than any other president in U.S. history. He's just "smart" enough to brag about that.
OhZone
(3,212 posts)He's the best at tanking the markets!
Roland99
(53,342 posts)DarthDem
(5,255 posts)Interestingly, I think the best argument his non-MAGA supporters (i.e., the ones that only pretend to be irrational or look the other way) have advanced for Mr. Trump's reelection is the economy. Hmm.
central scrutinizer
(11,648 posts)Percent drops would be a more valid measurement. But MAGAts have a poor understanding of math (they believe acres and cows vote).
PoindexterOglethorpe
(25,853 posts)The largest percentage drop ever in the Dow was 22.61%. 508 points.
People need to stop freaking out here. And, if you have some spare money, look at this as a buying opportunity.
George II
(67,782 posts)...."record" increases. Obama's increases were bigger percentage-wise.
I remember when the DJIA first hit 1,000 all the way back in 1972. A 20 point drop or increase was big stuff back then.
mcar
(42,309 posts)Just_Vote_Dem
(2,808 posts)spanone
(135,831 posts)and a fucking moron.
the republicans are awfully damned quiet
complicit motherhumpers
You'd think this would be the last straw
kimbutgar
(21,137 posts)And the trained brainwashed seals will flap their flippers in unison.
wishstar
(5,269 posts)He claimed that Dems Pelosi and Schumer are to blame for ramping up the panic over virus plus markets are fearful of Dem winning in November. So at his rally today he will scream and yell about how evil Dems ruined the most beautiful stock market in history.
gopiscrap
(23,758 posts)so much for being good for business trump's a joke
Gore1FL
(21,130 posts)1 2020-02-27 25,766.64 -1,190.95 -4.42 Trump
2 2018-02-05 24,345.75 ?1,175.21 ?4.60 Trump
3 2018-02-08 23,860.46 ?1,032.89 ?4.15 Trump
4 2020-02-24 27,960.80 ?1,031.61 ?3.56 Trump
5 2020-02-25 27,081.36 ?879.44 ?3.15 Trump
6 2018-10-10 25,598.74 ?831.83 ?3.15 Trump
7 2019-08-14 25,479.42 ?800.49 ?3.05 Trump
8 2018-12-04 25,027.07 ?799.36 ?3.10 Trump
9 2008-09-29 10,365.45 ?777.68 ?6.98 G.W. Bush
10 2019-08-05 25,717.74 ?767.27 ?2.90 Trump
11 2008-10-15 8,577.91 ?733.08 ?7.87 G.W. Bush
12 2018-03-22 23,957.89 ?724.42 ?2.93 Trump
13 2001-09-17 8,920.70 ?684.81 ?7.13 G.W. Bush
14 2008-12-01 8,149.09 ?679.95 ?7.70 G.W. Bush
15 2008-10-09 8,579.19 ?678.92 ?7.33 G.W. Bush
16 2018-02-02 25,520.96 ?665.75 ?2.54 Trump
17 2019-01-03 22,686.22 ?660.02 ?2.83 Trump
18 2018-12-24 21,792.20 ?653.17 ?2.91 Trump
19 2011-08-08 10,809.85 ?634.76 ?5.55 Obama
20 2019-08-23 25,628.90 -623.34 -2.37 Trump
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_in_the_Dow_Jones_Industrial_Average
True Blue American
(17,984 posts)Deficit in History! That has been feeding the market, along with all the buy backs from the billionaire tax cut. Republican Senators made billions off that tax cut wile upper middle class got a dribble.
onenote
(42,700 posts)The market has been volatile for a bunch of years. Big swings up and down. But in terms of percentage changes, the top gains and the top declines measured in points more often than not don't make the list of the top gains or declines measured in percentage terms.
warmfeet
(3,321 posts)it's a sign of the times. Volatility. Get used to it.
ck4829
(35,071 posts)https://www.forbes.com/sites/elizabethharris/2017/01/26/dow-20000-the-strange-psychology-of-market-milestones/#396223fc3a30
You can tell about as much about the economy from the Dow as you can tell about it from cutting open a dead chicken and looking at the guts or feeling the bumps on an economist's head.
unblock
(52,209 posts)The djia is clearly an intellectually indefensible metric. Worse than focusing on just 30 stocks, they just add up the nominal stock prices (and divide by a number they can adjust to handle stock splits and substitutions),
Simply adding the nominal stock prices effectively treats a $400 stock as 10 times more important than a $40 stock. There's no merit to that at all, because stock price is a function of how many shares the company issues, which is a rather arbitrary decision.
That said, the djia, in practice, happens to correlate rather well with much more sensible metrics like the s&p 500.
Caring about biggest point drop is silly, but all measures of the market have gone down a lot in the last few days.
ck4829
(35,071 posts)The point is overstated... but the point is there.
Caring about the biggest drop is silly, but then so would caring about the biggest gain.
unblock
(52,209 posts)mahatmakanejeeves
(57,437 posts)unblock
(52,209 posts)LiberalFighter
(50,912 posts)Link to tweet
?s=20
Roland99
(53,342 posts)Trump has the two fastest drops into correction territory now
GeorgeGist
(25,320 posts)so much.
ProfessorGAC
(65,013 posts)A 100 point drop, when the Dow was 900 is way worse than a 1200 point drop from 28k.
I'm sure these drops will still be notable, but not sure it would be the 8 worst ever.
Not defending DOLTUS here, but context matters with stats.
hangaleft
(649 posts)There are lies, there are damned lies, and then there are statistics. Mark Twain
hangaleft
(649 posts)(Its not an official Trumpism without the exclamation point.)
mahatmakanejeeves
(57,437 posts)sarchasm
(1,012 posts)...we haven't reached the carnage from W's 2008 debacle, but out of the worst 20 days Trump has 14 of those, and as a daily point drop Trump is surely the king of that.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_in_the_Dow_Jones_Industrial_Average
11 2008-10-15 8,577.91 ?733.08 ?7.87
14 2008-12-01 8,149.09 ?679.95 ?7.70
15 2008-10-09 8,579.19 ?678.92 ?7.33
13 2001-09-17 8,920.70 ?684.81 ?7.13
09 2008-09-29 10,365.45 ?777.68 ?6.98
19 2011-08-08 10,809.85 ?634.76 ?5.55
02 2018-02-05 24,345.75 ?1,175.21 ?4.60
01 2020-02-27 25,766.64 ?1,190.95 ?4.42
03 2018-02-08 23,860.46 ?1,032.89 ?4.15
04 2020-02-24 27,960.80 ?1,031.61 ?3.56
05 2020-02-25 27,081.36 ?879.44 ?3.15
06 2018-10-10 25,598.74 ?831.83 ?3.15
08 2018-12-04 25,027.07 ?799.36 ?3.10
07 2019-08-14 25,479.42 ?800.49 ?3.05
12 2018-03-22 23,957.89 ?724.42 ?2.93
18 2018-12-24 21,792.20 ?653.17 ?2.91
10 2019-08-05 25,717.74 ?767.27 ?2.90
17 2019-01-03 22,686.22 ?660.02 ?2.83
16 2018-02-02 25,520.96 ?665.75 ?2.54
20 2019-08-23 25,628.90 ?623.34 ?2.37
JT45242
(2,269 posts)Thanks for posting the percentage drops. Since the Dow tends to go up historically at about 7 percent per year long term, the largest dollar value drops should always be within the last 10-13 years.
The fact that 14 of the biggest percentage drops are under Trump's watch is something that should be hammered home.
Also -- the absolute devastation that the Republican Bush administration did to pension funds, IRAs, 401k, 403b needs to be shouted to the mountain top. More deregulation will lead to a lot of retirees losing their savings and being destitute. Every (D) on the ballot is better for working class folks than any (R)!!!
It would be interesting to see the same for the S&P index of a wider variety of sticks.
mathematic
(1,439 posts)These are the top % drops. The most recent ones are from 2008.
1 1987-10-19 1,738.74 ?508.00 ?22.61
2 1929-10-28 260.64 ?38.33 ?12.82
3 1929-10-29 230.07 ?30.57 ?11.73
4 1929-11-06 232.13 ?25.55 ?9.92
5 1899-12-18 58.27 ?5.57 ?8.72
6 1932-08-12 63.11 ?5.79 ?8.40
7 1907-03-14 76.23 ?6.89 ?8.29
8 1987-10-26 1,793.93 ?156.83 ?8.04
9 2008-10-15 8,577.91 ?733.08 ?7.87
10 1933-07-21 88.71 ?7.55 ?7.84
11 1937-10-18 125.73 ?10.57 ?7.75
12 2008-12-01 8,149.09 ?679.95 ?7.70
13 2008-10-09 8,579.19 ?678.92 ?7.33
14 1917-02-01 88.52 ?6.91 ?7.24
15 1997-10-27 7,161.14 ?554.26 ?7.18
16 1932-10-05 66.07 ?5.09 ?7.15
17 2001-09-17 8,920.70 ?684.81 ?7.13
18 1931-09-24 107.79 ?8.20 ?7.07
19 1933-07-20 96.26 ?7.32 ?7.07
20 1914-07-30 71.42 ?5.30 ?6.91
sarchasm
(1,012 posts)...thanks for clarifying.
dkhbrit
(110 posts)You can't measure this by points dropped, you have to measure by % drop. By that measure the last 3 days don't make it into the top 20 for largest drops in history.
Can we be smarter please?
Dios Mio
(429 posts)Im sure trumps base is heavily invested.
KPN
(15,644 posts)mahatmakanejeeves
(57,437 posts)obviously when the DJIA is up around 29,000-something, you're going to have big point drops. What's the percentage drop, though? How do the drops in the DJIA rate on that scale?
For example, this was a huge drop in its day. Note that this is an evening edition of the Pittsburgh Press. They're reporting that day's results.
18,000,000 shares were traded. The average dropped 11 percent. That was about 33 points.
In 1987, 508 points represented a 22.6 percent drop.
mahatmakanejeeves
(57,437 posts)As is often the case with statistics, which ones you choose to consider makes a significant difference.
DAVID MIKKELSON
PUBLISHED 28 FEBRUARY 2020
Claim
The eight largest single-day drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average have occurred under the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump.
Rating Mixture
What's True
The eight largest single-day net drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average have indeed occurred under the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump.
What's False
None of the ten largest single-day percentage drops in the Dow has occurred under the administration of Trump.
{snip}
Biggest one-day percentage stock index losses
Date One-day % loss President
Oct. 19, 1987 22.6% Ronald Reagan
Oct. 28, 1929 12.8% Herbert Hoover
Oct. 29, 1929 11.7% Herbert Hoover
Nov. 6, 1929 9.9% Herbert Hoover
Dec. 18, 1899 8.7% William McKinley
Aug. 12, 1932 8.4% Herbert Hoover
March 14, 1907 8.3% Theodore Roosevelt
Oct. 26, 1987 8.0% Ronald Reagan
Oct. 15, 2008 7.9% George W. Bush
July 21, 1933 7.8% Franklin D. Roosevelt
(Sources: The Wall Street Journals Market Data and Yahoo! Finances downloadable Dow Jones data)
{snip}