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George II

(67,782 posts)
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 05:48 PM Feb 2020

Someone just posted this on twitter about the stock market drops:

Top 8 Largest Dow Jones Drops in American History.

1) Trump: -1,191 2/27/20
2) Trump: -1,175 2/5/18
3) Trump: -1,032 2/8/18
4) Trump: -1,031 2/24/20
5) Trump: -879 2/25/20
6) Trump: -831 10/10/18
7) Trump: -800 8/14/19
8) Trump: -799 12/4/18

50 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Someone just posted this on twitter about the stock market drops: (Original Post) George II Feb 2020 OP
I guess there goes meme that trump's friends are manipulating the market. Hoyt Feb 2020 #1
You can manipulate the market both ways - up and down. Sometimes simultaneously. cbdo2007 Feb 2020 #2
Wouldn't do trump a lot of good, though, since he brags about high market. Hoyt Feb 2020 #12
He and his buddies could be making a lot of money both ways. yardwork Feb 2020 #21
Yup. Especially if you know ahead of Time what is going to cause the drop. n/t brewens Feb 2020 #15
+1. *Another* thing that discredits the Dow as a barometer of the economy ck4829 Feb 2020 #26
I'd love to know if they are shorting... NRaleighLiberal Feb 2020 #7
I think that's spelled sharting. yonder Feb 2020 #35
indeed! NRaleighLiberal Feb 2020 #38
Bigly is as bigly does malaise Feb 2020 #3
Losing 1,191 points in one day. CaptYossarian Feb 2020 #4
Hahhahaa OhZone Feb 2020 #5
#9 was under Bush and #10 was also Twitler Roland99 Feb 2020 #6
Stable genius DarthDem Feb 2020 #8
A little misleading central scrutinizer Feb 2020 #9
Bingo. PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #10
Yes, you're right. That's actually what I was saying when trump was bragging about his.... George II Feb 2020 #11
"I alone can fix it" mcar Feb 2020 #13
"But those are the BEST drops!" Just_Vote_Dem Feb 2020 #14
he's an overachiever spanone Feb 2020 #16
Him and his Reich wing media will somehow blame the Democratic Party for the drop kimbutgar Feb 2020 #17
He said that stocks will go up again after he's re-elected wishstar Feb 2020 #27
wow gopiscrap Feb 2020 #18
It's much worse than that. Here is a list of the top (bottom?) 20 Gore1FL Feb 2020 #19
Plus the highest True Blue American Feb 2020 #28
The 20 twenty biggest gains in points also skew heavily towards Republican administrations onenote Feb 2020 #36
Not to defend the orange asshole but, warmfeet Feb 2020 #20
Or even more likely, it's not a sign at all. The Dow is meaningless and the volatility discredits it ck4829 Feb 2020 #25
Well this is certainly overstating the point unblock Feb 2020 #30
I love exaggerating ck4829 Feb 2020 #31
I'll tell you a million times to stop exaggerating! unblock Feb 2020 #32
My head literally exploded when I read that. NT mahatmakanejeeves Feb 2020 #45
i hate when that happens! unblock Feb 2020 #49
Here you go. LiberalFighter Feb 2020 #22
And it's the fastest drop into correction territory. Ever Roland99 Feb 2020 #24
WINNING GeorgeGist Feb 2020 #23
I Think We Need To See Percentages ProfessorGAC Feb 2020 #29
I'm not sure of the exact quote, but this is very close hangaleft Feb 2020 #34
These stats are really, really, very, very, very eye opening! hangaleft Feb 2020 #33
You forgot the crying steelworker. NT mahatmakanejeeves Feb 2020 #46
As a percentage... sarchasm Feb 2020 #37
Percentages a better tell JT45242 Feb 2020 #40
That's still the top point drops, only with the %s shown as well (and sorted by %) mathematic Feb 2020 #47
These are the real numbers... sarchasm Mar 2020 #50
Posting this doesn't help dkhbrit Feb 2020 #39
+1 redqueen Feb 2020 #41
Investors Dios Mio Feb 2020 #42
So much winning! KPN Feb 2020 #43
Well, yes, but mahatmakanejeeves Feb 2020 #44
Did the 8 Largest Single-Day Stock Drops Occur Under Trump? mahatmakanejeeves Feb 2020 #48
 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
1. I guess there goes meme that trump's friends are manipulating the market.
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 05:53 PM
Feb 2020

Or maybe they are, and it’s caught up with them.

CaptYossarian

(6,448 posts)
4. Losing 1,191 points in one day.
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 05:58 PM
Feb 2020

In the early 80's, a well known economist said the Dow would never hit 2,000 TOTAL points, period.

At least Trump's losses are greater than any other president in U.S. history. He's just "smart" enough to brag about that.

DarthDem

(5,255 posts)
8. Stable genius
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 06:08 PM
Feb 2020

Interestingly, I think the best argument his non-MAGA supporters (i.e., the ones that only pretend to be irrational or look the other way) have advanced for Mr. Trump's reelection is the economy. Hmm.

central scrutinizer

(11,648 posts)
9. A little misleading
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 06:52 PM
Feb 2020

Percent drops would be a more valid measurement. But MAGAts have a poor understanding of math (they believe acres and cows vote).

PoindexterOglethorpe

(25,853 posts)
10. Bingo.
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 06:54 PM
Feb 2020

The largest percentage drop ever in the Dow was 22.61%. 508 points.

People need to stop freaking out here. And, if you have some spare money, look at this as a buying opportunity.

George II

(67,782 posts)
11. Yes, you're right. That's actually what I was saying when trump was bragging about his....
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 06:56 PM
Feb 2020

...."record" increases. Obama's increases were bigger percentage-wise.

I remember when the DJIA first hit 1,000 all the way back in 1972. A 20 point drop or increase was big stuff back then.

spanone

(135,831 posts)
16. he's an overachiever
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 08:32 PM
Feb 2020

and a fucking moron.

the republicans are awfully damned quiet

complicit motherhumpers

You'd think this would be the last straw

kimbutgar

(21,137 posts)
17. Him and his Reich wing media will somehow blame the Democratic Party for the drop
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 08:34 PM
Feb 2020

And the trained brainwashed seals will flap their flippers in unison.

wishstar

(5,269 posts)
27. He said that stocks will go up again after he's re-elected
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 06:23 AM
Feb 2020

He claimed that Dems Pelosi and Schumer are to blame for ramping up the panic over virus plus markets are fearful of Dem winning in November. So at his rally today he will scream and yell about how evil Dems ruined the most beautiful stock market in history.

Gore1FL

(21,130 posts)
19. It's much worse than that. Here is a list of the top (bottom?) 20
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 08:39 PM
Feb 2020

1 2020-02-27 25,766.64 -1,190.95 -4.42 Trump
2 2018-02-05 24,345.75 ?1,175.21 ?4.60 Trump
3 2018-02-08 23,860.46 ?1,032.89 ?4.15 Trump
4 2020-02-24 27,960.80 ?1,031.61 ?3.56 Trump
5 2020-02-25 27,081.36 ?879.44 ?3.15 Trump
6 2018-10-10 25,598.74 ?831.83 ?3.15 Trump
7 2019-08-14 25,479.42 ?800.49 ?3.05 Trump
8 2018-12-04 25,027.07 ?799.36 ?3.10 Trump
9 2008-09-29 10,365.45 ?777.68 ?6.98 G.W. Bush
10 2019-08-05 25,717.74 ?767.27 ?2.90 Trump
11 2008-10-15 8,577.91 ?733.08 ?7.87 G.W. Bush
12 2018-03-22 23,957.89 ?724.42 ?2.93 Trump
13 2001-09-17 8,920.70 ?684.81 ?7.13 G.W. Bush
14 2008-12-01 8,149.09 ?679.95 ?7.70 G.W. Bush
15 2008-10-09 8,579.19 ?678.92 ?7.33 G.W. Bush
16 2018-02-02 25,520.96 ?665.75 ?2.54 Trump
17 2019-01-03 22,686.22 ?660.02 ?2.83 Trump
18 2018-12-24 21,792.20 ?653.17 ?2.91 Trump
19 2011-08-08 10,809.85 ?634.76 ?5.55 Obama
20 2019-08-23 25,628.90 -623.34 -2.37 Trump



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_in_the_Dow_Jones_Industrial_Average

True Blue American

(17,984 posts)
28. Plus the highest
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 06:41 AM
Feb 2020

Deficit in History! That has been feeding the market, along with all the buy backs from the billionaire tax cut. Republican Senators made billions off that tax cut wile upper middle class got a dribble.

onenote

(42,700 posts)
36. The 20 twenty biggest gains in points also skew heavily towards Republican administrations
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 02:51 PM
Feb 2020

The market has been volatile for a bunch of years. Big swings up and down. But in terms of percentage changes, the top gains and the top declines measured in points more often than not don't make the list of the top gains or declines measured in percentage terms.

ck4829

(35,071 posts)
25. Or even more likely, it's not a sign at all. The Dow is meaningless and the volatility discredits it
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 05:32 AM
Feb 2020
Historically, the Dow isn’t much of a barometer, either. The famous “industrials” index is actually a semi-arbitrary basket of 30 stocks that includes companies as varied as tech titan Apple to Wall Street goliath Goldman Sachs, and it changes every few years. Only one company — General Electric — has remained on the list. (Now owned by S&P, the Dow debuted on May 26, 1896 in the pages of “The Wall Street Journal”).

https://www.forbes.com/sites/elizabethharris/2017/01/26/dow-20000-the-strange-psychology-of-market-milestones/#396223fc3a30


You can tell about as much about the economy from the Dow as you can tell about it from cutting open a dead chicken and looking at the guts or feeling the bumps on an economist's head.

unblock

(52,209 posts)
30. Well this is certainly overstating the point
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 08:31 AM
Feb 2020

The djia is clearly an intellectually indefensible metric. Worse than focusing on just 30 stocks, they just add up the nominal stock prices (and divide by a number they can adjust to handle stock splits and substitutions),

Simply adding the nominal stock prices effectively treats a $400 stock as 10 times more important than a $40 stock. There's no merit to that at all, because stock price is a function of how many shares the company issues, which is a rather arbitrary decision.

That said, the djia, in practice, happens to correlate rather well with much more sensible metrics like the s&p 500.

Caring about biggest point drop is silly, but all measures of the market have gone down a lot in the last few days.

ck4829

(35,071 posts)
31. I love exaggerating
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 08:33 AM
Feb 2020

The point is overstated... but the point is there.

Caring about the biggest drop is silly, but then so would caring about the biggest gain.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
24. And it's the fastest drop into correction territory. Ever
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 11:35 PM
Feb 2020

Trump has the two fastest drops into correction territory now

ProfessorGAC

(65,013 posts)
29. I Think We Need To See Percentages
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 08:06 AM
Feb 2020

A 100 point drop, when the Dow was 900 is way worse than a 1200 point drop from 28k.
I'm sure these drops will still be notable, but not sure it would be the 8 worst ever.
Not defending DOLTUS here, but context matters with stats.

 

hangaleft

(649 posts)
34. I'm not sure of the exact quote, but this is very close
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 09:11 AM
Feb 2020

“There are lies, there are damned lies, and then there are statistics.” — Mark Twain

 

hangaleft

(649 posts)
33. These stats are really, really, very, very, very eye opening!
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 09:08 AM
Feb 2020

(It’s not an official Trumpism without the exclamation point.)

sarchasm

(1,012 posts)
37. As a percentage...
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:02 PM
Feb 2020

...we haven't reached the carnage from W's 2008 debacle, but out of the worst 20 days Trump has 14 of those, and as a daily point drop Trump is surely the king of that.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_in_the_Dow_Jones_Industrial_Average

11 2008-10-15 8,577.91 ?733.08 ?7.87
14 2008-12-01 8,149.09 ?679.95 ?7.70
15 2008-10-09 8,579.19 ?678.92 ?7.33
13 2001-09-17 8,920.70 ?684.81 ?7.13
09 2008-09-29 10,365.45 ?777.68 ?6.98
19 2011-08-08 10,809.85 ?634.76 ?5.55
02 2018-02-05 24,345.75 ?1,175.21 ?4.60
01 2020-02-27 25,766.64 ?1,190.95 ?4.42
03 2018-02-08 23,860.46 ?1,032.89 ?4.15
04 2020-02-24 27,960.80 ?1,031.61 ?3.56
05 2020-02-25 27,081.36 ?879.44 ?3.15
06 2018-10-10 25,598.74 ?831.83 ?3.15
08 2018-12-04 25,027.07 ?799.36 ?3.10
07 2019-08-14 25,479.42 ?800.49 ?3.05
12 2018-03-22 23,957.89 ?724.42 ?2.93
18 2018-12-24 21,792.20 ?653.17 ?2.91
10 2019-08-05 25,717.74 ?767.27 ?2.90
17 2019-01-03 22,686.22 ?660.02 ?2.83
16 2018-02-02 25,520.96 ?665.75 ?2.54
20 2019-08-23 25,628.90 ?623.34 ?2.37

JT45242

(2,269 posts)
40. Percentages a better tell
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:12 PM
Feb 2020

Thanks for posting the percentage drops. Since the Dow tends to go up historically at about 7 percent per year long term, the largest dollar value drops should always be within the last 10-13 years.

The fact that 14 of the biggest percentage drops are under Trump's watch is something that should be hammered home.

Also -- the absolute devastation that the Republican Bush administration did to pension funds, IRAs, 401k, 403b needs to be shouted to the mountain top. More deregulation will lead to a lot of retirees losing their savings and being destitute. Every (D) on the ballot is better for working class folks than any (R)!!!

It would be interesting to see the same for the S&P index of a wider variety of sticks.

mathematic

(1,439 posts)
47. That's still the top point drops, only with the %s shown as well (and sorted by %)
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 06:02 PM
Feb 2020

These are the top % drops. The most recent ones are from 2008.


1 1987-10-19 1,738.74 ?508.00 ?22.61
2 1929-10-28 260.64 ?38.33 ?12.82
3 1929-10-29 230.07 ?30.57 ?11.73
4 1929-11-06 232.13 ?25.55 ?9.92
5 1899-12-18 58.27 ?5.57 ?8.72
6 1932-08-12 63.11 ?5.79 ?8.40
7 1907-03-14 76.23 ?6.89 ?8.29
8 1987-10-26 1,793.93 ?156.83 ?8.04
9 2008-10-15 8,577.91 ?733.08 ?7.87
10 1933-07-21 88.71 ?7.55 ?7.84
11 1937-10-18 125.73 ?10.57 ?7.75
12 2008-12-01 8,149.09 ?679.95 ?7.70
13 2008-10-09 8,579.19 ?678.92 ?7.33
14 1917-02-01 88.52 ?6.91 ?7.24
15 1997-10-27 7,161.14 ?554.26 ?7.18
16 1932-10-05 66.07 ?5.09 ?7.15
17 2001-09-17 8,920.70 ?684.81 ?7.13
18 1931-09-24 107.79 ?8.20 ?7.07
19 1933-07-20 96.26 ?7.32 ?7.07
20 1914-07-30 71.42 ?5.30 ?6.91

dkhbrit

(110 posts)
39. Posting this doesn't help
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:09 PM
Feb 2020

You can't measure this by points dropped, you have to measure by % drop. By that measure the last 3 days don't make it into the top 20 for largest drops in history.

Can we be smarter please?

mahatmakanejeeves

(57,437 posts)
44. Well, yes, but
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 05:52 PM
Feb 2020

obviously when the DJIA is up around 29,000-something, you're going to have big point drops. What's the percentage drop, though? How do the drops in the DJIA rate on that scale?

For example, this was a huge drop in its day. Note that this is an evening edition of the Pittsburgh Press. They're reporting that day's results.



18,000,000 shares were traded. The average dropped 11 percent. That was about 33 points.



In 1987, 508 points represented a 22.6 percent drop.

mahatmakanejeeves

(57,437 posts)
48. Did the 8 Largest Single-Day Stock Drops Occur Under Trump?
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 06:06 PM
Feb 2020
Did the 8 Largest Single-Day Stock Drops Occur Under Trump?

As is often the case with statistics, which ones you choose to consider makes a significant difference.

DAVID MIKKELSON
PUBLISHED 28 FEBRUARY 2020

Claim

The eight largest single-day drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average have occurred under the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump.

Rating Mixture

What's True

The eight largest single-day net drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average have indeed occurred under the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump.

What's False

None of the ten largest single-day percentage drops in the Dow has occurred under the administration of Trump.

{snip}

Biggest one-day percentage stock index losses

Date One-day % loss President
Oct. 19, 1987 22.6% Ronald Reagan
Oct. 28, 1929 12.8% Herbert Hoover
Oct. 29, 1929 11.7% Herbert Hoover
Nov. 6, 1929 9.9% Herbert Hoover
Dec. 18, 1899 8.7% William McKinley
Aug. 12, 1932 8.4% Herbert Hoover
March 14, 1907 8.3% Theodore Roosevelt
Oct. 26, 1987 8.0% Ronald Reagan
Oct. 15, 2008 7.9% George W. Bush
July 21, 1933 7.8% Franklin D. Roosevelt

(Sources: The Wall Street Journal’s Market Data and Yahoo! Finance’s downloadable Dow Jones data)

{snip}
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