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Sun Mar 1, 2020, 07:05 AM

Covid-19 - Daily case increases outside of China

Magnitude is VERY important here (this is log scale, as well). China VASTLY dominates total current cases. There are 6K cases outside of China, currently. There are 79K IN CHINA. This chart shows the epidemic outside of China is exploding and no sign of plateau. 3/

This is an easier representation of the prior data. New cases being reported outside of China have just begun to take off. We have VERY variable reporting as well (e.g., Italy has NOT reported recently - when they do, the number will jump, etc.). 4/

Thread/ #Covid19 charts/data to start your day. Good news is that China seems to have MOSTLY contained this. Every bit of data coming from #China indicates that worst is behind them. The bad news is that outside of China is starting to explode, albeit still at lower scale. 1/

(((Howard Forman)))

Daily Death rate is dominated by China. Of the 57 new deaths reported, 47 were in China (9 in Iran). You MIGHT be able to hide new active cases. It is much harder to hide deaths. The trend is favorable (we want to see it continue for a few more days before we applaud). 2/

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Reply Covid-19 - Daily case increases outside of China (Original post)
Roland99 Mar 2020 OP
Squinch Mar 2020 #1
SidDithers Mar 2020 #2

Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Sun Mar 1, 2020, 07:14 AM

1. In the beginning, the number of cases outside of China were doubling every 6 days. That

is speeding up now.

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Sun Mar 1, 2020, 07:34 AM

2. Here are the last 4 days from the WHO daily Situation Reports....

New Cases China:

Feb 26 - 412 new cases
Feb 27 - 439 new cases
Feb 28 - 338 new cases
Feb 29 - 435 new cases

And outside of China:

Feb 26 - 459 new cases
Feb 27 - 746 new cases
Feb 28 - 1027 new cases
Feb 29 - 1318 new cases

Of the 1318 case, 1294 are in 3 countries - South Korea, Italy and Iran.

Feb 29 report here:

The virus has moved from Iran to countries with very little public health infrastructure (Iraq and Afghanistan).

So far, only 2 cases reported on the African continent. 1 each in Algeria and Nigeria.


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