Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

captain queeg

(10,201 posts)
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:22 PM Mar 2020

I didn't realize, when you go to worldometers.info and go down to the chart showing all the countrie

If you click on US, graphs just for the US pop up. If you have even a little mathematical background it’ll shock and scare you. We’re almost to 1000 cases now, will certainly cross that threshold by tomorrow then into the thousands by the weekend. Maybe 10s of thousands. Certainly will be next week.

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
I didn't realize, when you go to worldometers.info and go down to the chart showing all the countrie (Original Post) captain queeg Mar 2020 OP
That's recent - Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #1
They probably aren't getting there statistics from the federal government captain queeg Mar 2020 #2
My guess is that they are using many sources. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #3
Some graphs are more useful than others. Igel Mar 2020 #4

Ms. Toad

(34,074 posts)
1. That's recent -
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:23 PM
Mar 2020

or at least the US is a recent arrival to it. (You'll notice the countries with fewer cases don't have that option)

captain queeg

(10,201 posts)
2. They probably aren't getting there statistics from the federal government
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:27 PM
Mar 2020

Have to compile state’s statistics

Ms. Toad

(34,074 posts)
3. My guess is that they are using many sources.
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:29 PM
Mar 2020

If you look at the places that are tracking case-by-case analysis they often cite reports of press conferences. So yes, it takes time.

Igel

(35,317 posts)
4. Some graphs are more useful than others.
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:30 PM
Mar 2020

The "total cases," not so useful. Scare-bait.

"New cases" is important. Watch the shape of the curve. I'd like them to factor out Washington State--their trajectory is different from every place else's in the US, but that's a bit of effort.

"Daily Deaths" is important, for the same reason. Again, I'd like WA taken out because it skews the numbers, at least in the short run. When outliers dominate the data and they're clearly outliers, then you look for the actual signal in the midst of the noise.

Except the death rate graph to go asymptotic to something like 1% when the dust settles. Right now, with a note saying how non-random and skewed the sample is it's more scare-bait than anything.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»I didn't realize, when yo...