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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsStatNews: Why 'flattening the curve' may be the world's best bet to slow the coronavirus
By HELEN BRANSWELL @HelenBranswell MARCH 11, 2020
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Mina said the lack of evidence of widespread transmission in the country may be making people feel any aggressive step right now may be an overreaction. But this is precisely the time when public health measures of this sort can have an impact, he said.
We are all wondering if our actions are melodramatic. And were feeling silly, he said, noting people still feel self-conscious bumping elbows instead of shaking hands.
But this is the problem, that people arent recognizing that we are at this moment and we can make a decision right now to flatten this curve by being OK with wondering if were being melodramatic, he said.
Should we be canceling classes? Should we be canceling our flights? Should we not be shaking hands? All of these things are things that I want the public to keep wondering if we should be doing this. Because the moment were no longer wondering whether we should be doing it, its too late, Mina said. That means that we know we should be doing it. And that is a bad place to be.
VERY informative article - StatNews dropped its paywall on Coronavirus stories.
(On edit, I replaced the first 4 paragraphs with the last 4, since the conclusion of the article is more important at this point)
Dennis Donovan
(18,770 posts)If you read any article today about why mitigation / social distancing is IMPERATIVE, read this one!
Dennis Donovan
(18,770 posts)OhNo-Really
(3,985 posts)Lives can be saved
Ive posted several reports from Doctors in Italy & research results. This will escalate quickly if ppl refuse to except doing their part to slow down the spread
Stay home if you can and as much as you can
Dennis Donovan
(18,770 posts)The problem is, no one will follow this unless forced to by the govt. That's coming, if Italy is any indication.
babylonsister
(171,066 posts)If we all do it, it won't look so melodramatic.
Pobeka
(4,999 posts)If we can each reduce our interactions only 33%, our individual chance of infection reduces by 1/3, BUT, it reduces the infected/contagious population by 1/3 for that day. Which means the infected population on day two is .66 * .66, or .43 as much compared to full social interactions.
That is obviously a little oversimplified, but the math is simple, and powerful.
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