General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWell, Kansas just got its first confirmed case. To me that suggests that there are probably one
or two hundred unrecognized cases.
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)tblue37
(66,016 posts)Johnson County.
lapfog_1
(29,821 posts)is possible because 1 is the minimal sample... but the usual quoted ratio of detected to undetected is 10 to 1...
But that assumes someone bothers to test for it when really sick people present themselves at the ER or doctors office.
Pobeka
(4,999 posts)It is Kansas, heavy % of GOP'ers.
Midnight Writer
(22,702 posts)1 infects 2, 2 infects 4, 4 infects 8, etc.. Pretty soon we are talking huge numbers.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Your example is a rising line of slope 2. Exponential would be 2 infect 12, 12 infect 180........
One person on a typical day comes in close contact with 10-200 people, depending what that person does. So one person can infect 200. In real life it works a little differently. Let's say the only person is breathing out droplets on a still day, the people among the 200 would be the ones unlucky enough to walk into a cloud of droplets, other people among the 200 may avoid that fate, so the one person infect say just 56 people, for example.