The March jobs report is expected to be ugly.
Here's why it'll be just the tip of the iceberg as coronavirus lockdowns spread.
Economists are expecting that the March jobs report will end a record streak of the US economy adding jobs as the coronavirus pandemic takes its toll.
The consensus estimate is that Friday's report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics will show a 100,000 decline in nonfarm payrolls, down from February when the US added 273,000 jobs. That would boost the unemployment rate to 3.8% from 3.5% a month earlier.
If the numbers do come in negative, it will be the first time that jobs have contracted since 2010, ending nearly a decade of labor market expansion.
"We're really crossing a psychological line in the sand," Glassdoor economist Daniel Zhao told Business Insider. "If we end that positive streak it's almost a splash of reality."
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