Michigan number looking terrible again. over 200 new deaths.

[gibraltar72]

Meanwhile they are trying to recall that woman from Michigan for closing factories.

[Igel]

1. New deaths reported.

It's not a meaningless distinction. A lot of the spikes, dips, false peaks we see aren't due to reality but to how reality's reported.

Wait to see how curve smoothing works--some of the deaths may have occurred yesterday.

Projections for NY are going to be screwed as NY changes its basis for attributing deaths--either they find a way of factoring out that increase for the projection then add them back in, producing a step in an otherwise smooth curve; they recalculate from the beginning given modified data from day 1; or it'll screw with the math and make the predictions necessarily weird and inherently unusable. Which projection? Any.

[gibraltar72]

2. Yes new 205 actually.

not enough tests but still about 1 in 3 positive.