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Light63

(233 posts) Mon Apr 13, 2020, 09:31 AM Apr 2020

IHME COVID-19 Projections

Not sure to completely trust this projection model, at least in regard to the state of Illinois, where I live.

It projects by August 4, we will have 770 deaths due to COVID-19. Well, our death number is already at 720! By the end of today, we might even surpass the projected death number.

2 replies

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IHME COVID-19 Projections (Original Post) Light63 Apr 2020 OP

I don't think you're reading it correctly FBaggins Apr 2020 #1

I just plugged in Illinois and it shows 1,248 deaths by 8/4 on my screen. HarlanPepper Apr 2020 #2

FBaggins

(26,714 posts)

1. I don't think you're reading it correctly

Reply to Light63 (Original post)

Mon Apr 13, 2020, 10:06 PM

Apr 2020

Their predicted figure for August is actually 1,248. Their prediction for today (which, to be fair, was adjusted through yesterday's data) was for 73 new deaths taking the total to date up to 793. According to today's reporting, they were short by one in both cases.

HarlanPepper

(2,042 posts)

2. I just plugged in Illinois and it shows 1,248 deaths by 8/4 on my screen.

Reply to Light63 (Original post)

Mon Apr 13, 2020, 10:10 PM

Apr 2020

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