Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

William769

(55,146 posts)
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 12:25 AM Apr 2020

US may have to endure social distancing until 2022 if no vaccine is quickly found, scientists predic

(CNN)This may be the new normal for quite a while.

The US may have to endure social distancing measures -- such as stay-at-home orders and school closures -- until 2022, researchers projected on Tuesday. That is, unless, a vaccine becomes quickly available.

That's according to researchers from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, who published their findings in the journal Science on Tuesday. Those findings directly contradict research being touted by the White House that suggests the pandemic may stop this summer.

The team at the Harvard School of Public Health used what's known about Covid-19 and other coronaviruses to create possible scenarios of the current pandemic.

"Intermittent distancing may be required into 2022 unless critical care capacity is increased substantially or a treatment or vaccine becomes available," they wrote in their report. "Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/14/health/social-distancing-research-coronavirus-2022-trnd/index.html

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
US may have to endure social distancing until 2022 if no vaccine is quickly found, scientists predic (Original Post) William769 Apr 2020 OP
I'm betting on science and that life will be Cha Apr 2020 #1
I won't be happy till I see him taking a perp walk in a orange jumpsuit & handcuffs! William769 Apr 2020 #3
That most definitely should be Cha Apr 2020 #4
I would love to see Nuremberg style trials for Trump and his cabal. Initech Apr 2020 #7
The country won't tolerate an 18 month lockdown Ex Lurker Apr 2020 #2
My prediction William769 Apr 2020 #5
The virus doesn't respect state lines. brer cat Apr 2020 #10
History Repeats... The Conductor Apr 2020 #11
Oh you can bet that there will be civil unrest if that happens. Initech Apr 2020 #6
I heard this tonite. sprinkleeninow Apr 2020 #8
I am a people person and I like to hug and sit next to people. Doreen Apr 2020 #9
Hi! herding cats Apr 2020 #13
Thank you Doreen Apr 2020 #16
We won't be able to endure it that long. Economically, nor emotionally. herding cats Apr 2020 #12
Big pharma is working at warp speed to develop a vaccine DFW Apr 2020 #14
That would be a disaster for schools jimfields33 Apr 2020 #15

Cha

(297,187 posts)
1. I'm betting on science and that life will be
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 12:29 AM
Apr 2020

much easier when we have Joe Biden in the WH.. and the mad fustercluck blowhard is put out to hell.

Initech

(100,068 posts)
7. I would love to see Nuremberg style trials for Trump and his cabal.
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 12:48 AM
Apr 2020

We need to know how this happened and they cannot get away with it.

Ex Lurker

(3,813 posts)
2. The country won't tolerate an 18 month lockdown
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 12:33 AM
Apr 2020

Either psychologically or economically. We'll have to find an orderly way to open up, minimizing what risk we can while recognizing we can't eliminate it entirely.

William769

(55,146 posts)
5. My prediction
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 12:39 AM
Apr 2020

Governors using science will keep social distancing & slowly remove restrictions then we will have the Governors (idiot republicans) who will just open up full steam ahead which of course will restart the virus gobbling up America again and crashing the economy even worse with untold thousands more deaths.

brer cat

(24,562 posts)
10. The virus doesn't respect state lines.
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 02:59 AM
Apr 2020

The Governors who slowly remove restrictions will be undone by their neighbors to go full bore. The South is going to be hit hard for a long time.

The Conductor

(180 posts)
11. History Repeats...
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 03:28 AM
Apr 2020

Too bad they know so little of history; it wasn't just the Civil War that kept the South poor, it was Yellow Fever. There was no vaccine for that disease licensed in the U.S. until 1953.

sprinkleeninow

(20,245 posts)
8. I heard this tonite.
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 01:02 AM
Apr 2020

Phooey and ptoohey.

I'm going along with masking, keeping my distance. Grocery staff some wearing masks, some not. Some gloved but no mask.

Where are the freaking tests?? DIY ones who cares.

There should be free testing at numerous locations close in proximity to where we have parked ourselves.

Scientists working diligently round the clock to find vaccine, antibodies, medicinal remedies, retroviral stuff. Whatever it takes, wherever it leads.

* turning our wonderful country, my beloved country, into one of his described s**thole ones.











Doreen

(11,686 posts)
9. I am a people person and I like to hug and sit next to people.
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 02:11 AM
Apr 2020

I have already been longing to give a friend or my mother a hug. Then on top of that I do not get to see them or not very often.

I mean, yes, I do have cats to keep me company and snuggle but I miss hugging and being next to something that does not shed on me.

It is sad to think about the people who do not even have close to what I have. I strongly suspect that there are people who were already very isolated that are more so now.

I do not know how others feel but I can't imagine most of us being able to handle this type of life for long.

herding cats

(19,564 posts)
13. Hi!
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 03:47 AM
Apr 2020

I'm sorry you're dealing with all this right now. I can't hug you, but I can at least reach out and let you know I empathize with your plight.

Doreen

(11,686 posts)
16. Thank you
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 10:41 AM
Apr 2020

I do not have it as bad as some but it is still noticeable. Well, I will say to you the popular thing to say now: "air hug ." 😊

herding cats

(19,564 posts)
12. We won't be able to endure it that long. Economically, nor emotionally.
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 03:43 AM
Apr 2020

My brother (high risk due to asthma and COPD) was happy his fish had babies today because they were new faces. That's the emotional side of it. Economically is the stimulus will dry up long before then. Imagine the people trapped in abusive homes dancing on a tightrope now just to survive? They won't make it that long.

With expected future rolling social distancing to keep hospitals from being overloaded, we will suffer and not endure this gracefully. It's just going to get worse.

If we don't get a vaccine within the next 12 months things will get very ugly.

DFW

(54,369 posts)
14. Big pharma is working at warp speed to develop a vaccine
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 03:57 AM
Apr 2020

Those firms know that the first one to develop a reliable vaccine makes itself a few tens of billions richer. I think it will be sooner rather than later.

jimfields33

(15,787 posts)
15. That would be a disaster for schools
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 08:28 AM
Apr 2020

I don’t believe for a minute that if college students get used to online for two years that they just won’t continue especially if they can finish with a very low debt. Also homeschool would explode. It would change education forever.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»US may have to endure soc...