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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,767 posts)
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 02:13 PM Apr 2020

US coronavirus: Highest number of deaths in a day recorded after several days of a downward trend

The US recorded its highest number of coronavirus deaths in a day after several days in which the death toll had fallen or was nearly flat.

The daily death toll was 2,405 on Tuesday, according to Johns Hopkins University's tally of cases, bringing the total number of US deaths to 26,033. At least 609,240 people have been infected with the virus in the US.

Despite the grim numbers, health officials have said they believe US numbers are leveling,

"There's no doubt what we've seen over the last several days is a flattening out," Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said Wednesday on NBC's "Today."

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/us-coronavirus-highest-number-of-deaths-in-a-day-recorded-after-several-days-of-a-downward-trend/ar-BB12Em0n?li=BBnb7Kz

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US coronavirus: Highest number of deaths in a day recorded after several days of a downward trend (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Apr 2020 OP
Red states like Texas and Florida ... Tennessee Hillbilly Apr 2020 #1
I live in MA, and ours post late stillcool Apr 2020 #3
Late results coming in lame54 Apr 2020 #2
This is a bit misleading Ms. Toad Apr 2020 #4
Thank you. cwydro Apr 2020 #5
1. Red states like Texas and Florida ...
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 02:21 PM
Apr 2020

wait until late in the evening to report most of their deaths. The repug governments of these states do this intentionally to make it harder for people to find out how bad their death totals really are.

stillcool

(32,626 posts)
3. I live in MA, and ours post late
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 02:39 PM
Apr 2020

in the day. I don't know why, but it's been this way from day 1, and they've never missed a day, and never posted earlier.

Ms. Toad

(34,011 posts)
4. This is a bit misleading
Wed Apr 15, 2020, 02:40 PM
Apr 2020

First - the death toll has not "fallen or was nearly flat"

The number of deaths is not growing as quickly as it had been, but it is still growing exponentially. Here is the daily multiplier - unless it is 1.00 or less, it is growing every day.

4/7 - 1.181216079
4/8 - 1.151623705
4/9 - 1.128685421
4/10 - 1.123180157
4/11 - 1.097615618
4/12 - 1.074257666
4/13 - 1.069441303
4/14 - 1.101818951

So - you can see that there have been more deaths each and every day for the last week (growth factor over 1.00)

Yesterday's increase in new deaths was higher yesterday (1.10 v. 1.07 the prior day).

On Friday, the CDC changed reporting requirements. Deaths attributable to COVID 19 now include individual who tested positive on any test (not just the original test), and individuals who have known exposure, symptoms, and no other explanation. States are going back and reclassifying earlier deaths. Those show up in teh 26033 deaths for 4/14, even though they actually occurred several days earlier. That means the earlier growth factor is artificially low (by today's definition of death from COVID) and artificially high for yesterday (when New York reclassified a sizeable number of deaths).

So the numbers are leveling - the reporting blip from yesterday as to deaths is similar to the 2/12 - 2/13 spike in new cases in China.

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