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flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
Fri Apr 17, 2020, 02:31 PM Apr 2020

If my math is right the death rate from COVD19 in the US is

5%. (number of deaths, +- 36,000 divided by cases, +- 685,000). I think the 5% is artificially high because we only test 1% of the population. If someone would point out to Trump that he could reduce the death rate by testing more people we could have universal testing very soon and bigly.

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If my math is right the death rate from COVD19 in the US is (Original Post) flamin lib Apr 2020 OP
That would assume he could understand basic math. cos dem Apr 2020 #1
Yeah, Right ProfessorGAC Apr 2020 #2
All he knows is the number would rise. gibraltar72 Apr 2020 #3
Your math is right, but as you say, the data is not. JustABozoOnThisBus Apr 2020 #4
The data is currently: known cases and known deaths. Voltaire2 Apr 2020 #6
Here's an interesting number. Someone on MSNBC this morning said that in 1918 and 1919, a 2 year Vinca Apr 2020 #5
NYC may have a bigger population now DBoon Apr 2020 #7

ProfessorGAC

(64,861 posts)
2. Yeah, Right
Fri Apr 17, 2020, 02:35 PM
Apr 2020

I get your sentiment, but somebody explain something involving math & science to the DOLTUS?
No way!

JustABozoOnThisBus

(23,325 posts)
4. Your math is right, but as you say, the data is not.
Fri Apr 17, 2020, 02:38 PM
Apr 2020

Without testing, of living and dead, we don't have a clear picture.

Voltaire2

(12,964 posts)
6. The data is currently: known cases and known deaths.
Fri Apr 17, 2020, 02:46 PM
Apr 2020

So indeed there are lots of unknown cases, but also unknown deaths. So there is an error factor in the data. A better approximation will be available when we can see the difference in the expected 'normal' mortality rate vs the 'covid-era' mortality rate, which will also include people who died because of covid-era triage rules but not directly from covid.

I think what we do know is that if you get tested and you are positive, you are in the set of people who are experiencing somewhere between 1-5% mortality.

Vinca

(50,237 posts)
5. Here's an interesting number. Someone on MSNBC this morning said that in 1918 and 1919, a 2 year
Fri Apr 17, 2020, 02:39 PM
Apr 2020

time span, NYC lost 30,000 people from the Spanish flu. In 2 months, NYC has lost 15,000 people to Covid 19. And that's probably a low number because of lack of testing. I doubt the morgue has time or resources to test every corpse that comes through the door. As for Trump . . . stable genius that he is, he'd never be able to figure out what you're talking about.

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