New model: Some states could end social distancing in early May, others in the summer

[pstokely]

https://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/coronavirus/new-model-some-states-could-end-social-distancing-in-early-may-others-in-the-summer

"A University of Washington model that has guided the White House coronavirus task force on the reach of COVID-19 suggests that no state should end social distancing before the start of May.

UW’s IHME model says that Vermont, West Virginia, Montana, and Hawaii are among the states best positioned to end strict social distancing guidelines, with an estimated date of May 4. But the model suggests that Iowa, North and South Dakota, Nebraska, Utah, Arkansas, and Oklahoma are among states that will need to wait well into June or even into July."

[uponit7771]

1. Do they suggest a monitoring regime? CDC up the Ro to 5.7 so a flare up could happen with one person

... in any of these areas

[Alacritous Crier]

2. This is a pipe dream.

Second round is going to shut everything down all over again.

[LuvNewcastle]

3. I'm going to be keeping my distance anyway.

I don't know when my idiot governor will decide that it's all right to mingle, but I'll be doing my best to stay clear of others. I'm kind of high risk, so I really don't need Covid. I just think May is too early. It seems like we're still at the peak of these infections, and it can still get worse.

[pstokely]

4. what about sometime during the summer?

if you're low risk

[LuvNewcastle]

5. First, let me say that I'm not a doctor or anything.

But I think we should be over the hump by June. That's if they don't the to bring everything back to normal on May first. If we have another outbreak that stresses our healthcare system, I think all bets are off.

[Squinch]

6. ... I can't even...

[Baclava]

7. Ohio will be the big test, they are starting opening up 1 May

[pstokely]

8. this doesn't recommend before May 17

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/ohio

[Baclava]

9. We'll see about that, 'Ohio governor announces state economy to begin process of opening May 1'

Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine (R) announced Thursday that the state economy will begin the process of reopening on May 1.

The governor said during his press briefing that the state government is planning its reopening on the date his stay-at-home order expires. DeWine told his residents to prepare for things “to be different” as masks and social distancing become the normal in workplaces.

“I am an optimist and am confident that Ohioans will also live up to the challenge of doing things differently as we open back up beginning on May 1st,” he tweeted.

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/public-global-health/493264-ohio-governor-announces-state-economy-to-open-may-1

[MyNameGoesHere]

10. This guy is not going to the office

Until there is a vaccine. I am almost betting my company will rethink renting that high price Loop location haha..

[clutterbox1830]

11. There is a lot of pressure to make "record" low numbers.

Apparently, Georgia and Florida posted there lowest case and death counts in awhile in comparison to the day before.
Coincidence?