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nitpicker

(7,153 posts)
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 09:14 PM Apr 2020

The DC/MD/VA CV data: Those frogs are STILL being slowly boiled; don't loosen YOUR clamps

DC and MD: The governors mean well, but there are so many scofflaws.

VA: No mask laws, and nonessential businesses can still operate if there are less than 10 patrons, socially distancing. ((And anyone can come in from out of state to shop...))

But the spacing keeps collapsing while fighting over the veggies and the sightings of chicken in the grocery stores.

((TP? Forget that, unless you have a spot big enough for an ultramegaroll- saw THOSE packs twice in two weeks))

(And DON'T use facial tissues unless you throw them in the trash.)

Results: Roughly a 9-day doubling rate in both cumulative cases and death counts.(About 8% day over day increase.)

DMV cases: 9 Apr 11750, 18 Apr 23027. From there, May 24= about 350K cases.

DMV deaths: 9 Apr 279, 18 Apr 814. From there, May 24= about 13K deaths.

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The DC/MD/VA CV data: Those frogs are STILL being slowly boiled; don't loosen YOUR clamps (Original Post) nitpicker Apr 2020 OP
My point: if one state is lax, all the neighbors can get extra CV nitpicker Apr 2020 #1
With a tripling of the death rate nitpicker Apr 2020 #2

nitpicker

(7,153 posts)
2. With a tripling of the death rate
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 09:42 PM
Apr 2020

It was projecting 20% deaths out of the cumulative caseload by May 24, so had to make it more realistic.

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