General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIHME COVID-19 deaths model was low by 3K yesterday, looks like down by 4K today by days end
I don't know why they haven't updated their parameters in more than a week. We will be over 45K, maybe close to 46K by the end of today.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
Srkdqltr
(6,127 posts)Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)Shoulda clarified
uponit7771
(90,225 posts)Squinch
(50,773 posts)PoindexterOglethorpe
(25,746 posts)ProfessorGAC
(64,422 posts)PoindexterOglethorpe
(25,746 posts)Not everyone knows all the abbreviations out there.
Along with posts with zero context, using abbreviations that are not totally common is my other complaint here at DU.
And it's not as if that's a well-known institute, unlike say, the CDC.
ProfessorGAC
(64,422 posts)...a think tank of sorts for public health compiling lots of health data, outcomes, treatments, and then construct models to both identify cost predictions for major health events (for industry) and predictive trends of treatments and outcomes.
On their website, their descriptions seem a lot like actuarial science, though not exclusively. But some of the models were described in a way I would explain a proportional hazard analysis, which can be used to predict safety & environmental event performance in industry.
I didn't go through that many of their publications though, so I'm broadly extrapolating.
PoindexterOglethorpe
(25,746 posts)Thank you again.
Srkdqltr
(6,127 posts)Indykatie
(3,691 posts)It gives detail by each State and I can go back to the day before if I want to see how that data compares.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
ProfessorGAC
(64,422 posts)Most often. I also go to IDPH because it's Illinois specific and the track by county & area code.
D_Master81
(1,822 posts)I still dont see how this is possible when were having 2000 deaths a day at this point and theres only going to be 20k more in the next 3 months? If its less than 90,000 I think we should feel fortunate. Theres been 25,000 deaths in the past couple of weeks.
Takket
(21,424 posts)that the virus spreads at different rates with different peaks EVERYWHERE in the country........ it is only now making serious inroads into many areas.
blitzen
(4,572 posts)at any rate, that is what they have been most useful for--predicting the time frame for peak demand on the healthcare system in various locales.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)It looked better last week.
Administration has been using its deaths projection as political cover so thats where my attention has been focused.