When will Disney World and Disneyland reopen? One analyst predicts it may not be until 2021

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

A financial analyst made headlines Monday when he predicted that Disney World, Disneyland and the company's overseas properties won't be able to reopen until January 2021.

John Hodulik, the managing director of investment research at global financial firm UBS, estimated that health and economic concerns would keep the parks closed through 2020 in his report, titled "The Eye of the Storm."

"We believe Parks' profitability will be impaired for a longer period of time given the lingering effects of the outbreak and now assume an opening date of Jan. 1 as our base case," Hodulik wrote. "That said, the economic recession plus the need for social distancing, new health precautions, the lack of travel and crowd aversion are likely to make this business less profitable until there is a widely available vaccine."

Disney, which is preparing its quarterly report for publication in early May, has not commented publicly on Hodulik's report and did not respond to USA TODAY's inquiry. In its statement about the U.S. parks' status in late March, the company said Walt Disney World in Orlando, Florida, and Disneyland in Anaheim, California, would both remain "closed until further notice."

https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/news/when-will-disney-world-and-disneyland-reopen-one-analyst-predicts-it-may-not-be-until-2021/ar-BB130zc5?li=BBnb7Kz

[BigmanPigman]

1. Seems realistic to me,

especially if there are probable 2nd and 3rd waves coming.

During the Spanish Flu some cities were doing well after the 1st wave but were nailed by the 2nd or 3rd, like San Francisco and St Louis.
1st wave...March 1919
2nd wave...Sept 1918
3rd wave... Jan 1919

Gone by March 1919 (1 full year to go around the globe)

[Baclava]

2. I would keep an eye on the Waffle House Index myself

Why the government turns to Waffle House when tracking emergencies

It's called "the Waffle House Index" and it has three colors, like a stop light (green, yellow and red) ? and, reportedly, it's yet another way the Federal Emergency Management Agency tracks approaching storms and other emergencies.

https://www.ajc.com/news/local/why-the-government-turns-waffle-house-when-tracking-emergencies/vkYJcBg0MC1Lrkdu87fDzH/

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It's more weather disaster related, but whatever

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

3. Sounds about right.

People are vastly underestimating just how long this is going to last.

[Initech]

4. We're going to lose the whole year no question.

But whether or not this dies out next year or keeps going remains to be seen. If it's like the Spanish flu it should be gone by this time next year. And at that point we should have a vaccine.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

7. I hope.

Getting a good vaccine will be the key thing. Even supposing (and I sincerely hope this is true) that those who get the virus and recover are now permanently immune, in reality, at this point, not a very large percentage of the population seems to have been exposed. Everything is just a guess, and people who are far better at statistics can make informed guesses.

Another thing will be, once we have a vaccine, getting everyone, or close to everyone, vaccinated, will be a huge undertaking. I well recall the mass polio vaccinations of the mid 1950s. I recall gathering in a field somewhere with hundreds of kids and large numbers of doctors and nurses giving the shots. Back then it was only children getting the shots. With this it will need to be everyone.

[kimbutgar]

5. Wow I was there on the last day it was open and everyone thought it would be a short closure

I feel so sorry for the all the cast members.

We went on more rides that day then we did with the other previous two days. Thought about saving that ticket for another day but we went ahead and washed our hands a lot!

[Demovictory9]

6. customers might need to wear masks. Can you have fun wearing a mask? I hate wearing

these #%$& masks. Can't wait to get out of the store to take it off. Can't imagine wearing one for 8 hours at a theme park,

[Baclava]

9. I can see a ticker tape parade of floating masks falling from the big coaster rides, ayep

[Gothmog]

8. I have an annual pass that is being extended by the number of days the parks are closed