Biden builds early lead in battleground states

[UncleNoel]

Former Vice President Joe Biden is leading in key battleground states that President Trump must win to secure a second term in office.

Polls released this week have mostly bad news for Trump, who finds himself trailing in new surveys of Florida, Michigan and Pennsylvania. The president won all three states in 2016 and they will be among the most hotly contested battlegrounds in November.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/494418-biden-builds-early-lead-in-battleground-states
By Jonathan Easley - 04/24/20 06:00 AM EDT

Biden is benefiting from having a higher favorability rating as the country grapples with the coronavirus pandemic.

The former vice president has built a lead among seniors in Florida, who broke for Trump in the past election.

He is also running up the score among blacks, Latinos, women and white people with college degrees, leaving Trump, at least at the moment, with a narrow path to reelection that depends heavily on non-college educated middle-aged white people.

“Trump has always had a ceiling, and he’s at or below that ceiling now because any temporary rally-around-the-flag bump he got has evaporated and did not translate into new votes,” said Democratic strategist Addisu Demissie, who served as Sen. Cory Booker’s (D-N.J.) presidential campaign manager.

“We can’t forget, there are a lot of noncollege-educated middle-aged whites in some of these battlegrounds, and Trump is winning by healthy margins here, so it’s good to be circumspect. At the same time, Trump’s path to victory looks very narrow, just as it was in 2016. I think the range of outcomes here is something between Biden winning in a blowout and Trump winning a very close election.”

Biden has led in most polls this cycle in Michigan and Pennsylvania, but his move to the front in Florida is new.

I read one article (where?) that pushed the narrative that Biden is only leadiang because he is a generic Dem against an unpopular president. But Joe is appealing to voters because of what he stands for and how they see him, not just against Trump--though that is a factor. The media has consistently tried to blunt Joe as lacking an enthusiams gap and other narratives. Go ahead guys, underestimate Joe again. Meanwhile, Joe is right on track.

[beachbumbob]

1. consider impact IF Michelle Obama is Biden's VP and how that impacts not only these states BUT

redstates we consider unwinnable