Singapore study predicts end of pandemic by December

[Initech]

A breakthrough study by a team of data scientists from Singapore has predicted that the COVID-19 global pandemic will end its life cycle by this December.

The virus has infected close to 3 million people worldwide, resulting in more than 200,000 deaths.

There is tremendous anxiety about the future of the pandemic, especially as most countries are under lockdowns that have brought the global economy to a halt.

The high levels of uncertainty about the pandemic motivated Singapore-based Prof. Jianxi Luo and his team to answer the question: When will the COVID-19 end?

“The predictions were purely driven by personal curiosity regarding when COVID-19 will end in Singapore, where we live, and other countries,” Luo, who is the director of the Data-Driven Innovation Lab and the head of the research paper, said.

“Estimating the end dates have been subconscious for most people as it is mentally needed and an essential part of planning during the COVID-19 pandemic, but also naturally difficult to be done well due to the uncertainty of the future.”
https://www.arabnews.com/node/1666111/world

Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true. Please be true.

[Newest Reality]

1. Not if we can help it!

The way it is going here, we will be sure to keep it rampaging, spiking and surging here and then send it back to you folks over there and we call it, Rinse and Repeat.

We are all about the economy, don't ya' know. Sorry. Maybe give it a couple of years.

[Initech]

3. Yeah our president and Fox News are definitely going to fuck this up.

But then again nobody really knows how this is going to pan out during the summer.

[uponit7771]

6. +1, I just posted this study, like the IHME predictions, assumes a high level of SIP measures and

... we're going to no where keep those SIP measures world wide.

Hell, there aren't even triggers in the US like there are in Germany where their relative Ro went from .7 to 1 after they let up on their SIP measures.

[Newest Reality]

7. Right

I am not being pessimistic, but in total, for a country this wealthy with so many resources and high technology, this situation looks like a totally botched mess with nothing in sight to correct the course.

That does not bode well for Summer, Fall, etc. and I am taking some prognostications about that as wishful thinking and even manipulative prognostications for ulterior motives.

[lagomorph777]

12. We can't start to end it here until January, when we drag Trump out of the White House.

[Jamastiene]

2. I hope it will end at all.

December is fair enough. At least that means it will eventually end. I have been wondering IF it will ever end. I keep picturing zombies and a barren wasteland the world over. If only this awful crap will end....

[uponit7771]

4. Sigh ... I wish these guys wouldn't head line like this read the caveats first

He added that behavioral factors, such as individuals avoiding physical contact and government lockdowns in high-risk cities, as well as the natural limitation of the ecosystem played a part in understanding the pandemic life cycle.

That makes this study like the IHME's where they assume a high level of SIP measures ... we're not going to continue those sip levels

[NightWatcher]

5. Just in time for Covid-20

[lark]

8. So many varied studies, so many differing results.

It would be so awesome if this is true, but we can't count on it - not one bit at this time. If other studies confirm this, and it actually happens - I will be ecstatic.

[Initech]

9. Oh man the day this is over, I will be celebrating...

Like I won the lottery, the Super Bowl, the Stanley Cup, and the World Series all at once!

[lark]

10. Exactly! The worldwide celebration will be off the hook.

Free, free, free at last!!

[lagomorph777]

13. Like the day we partied when the Great Recession ended?

Do you remember that day? It was so glorious...

Oh, wait. It didn't work that way.

Same deal with the pandemic.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

11. There won't be an obvious end to this.

It is a world wide pandemic, and hasn't really taken hold in some places.

If, and that's a huge if, a vaccine that is at least 90% effective is discovered soon, there will still be the logistical nightmare of manufacturing a billion or more doses and getting them out to people. That could take years.