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NRaleighLiberal

(60,011 posts)
Thu Apr 30, 2020, 11:27 PM Apr 2020

oh well - another day, another 30,000+ confirmed cases, another 2200+ fatalities

another day when the orange dumbass dimbulb ignoramus couldn't care less.

another day when areas around the country play with fire and start to open shit up.

another day when assholes protest - bring guns - generally carrying on their ignorant cult behavior.

another day when some of the predictions for fatalities are already gone (http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates) - a low end estimate from yesterday for the first wave was 59K - we are already at nearly 64K).

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oh well - another day, another 30,000+ confirmed cases, another 2200+ fatalities (Original Post) NRaleighLiberal Apr 2020 OP
With reopening too soon . . . Iliyah Apr 2020 #1
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2020 #2
That's linear. It may be exponential, with a doubling time now of 20 days. tclambert May 2020 #3
+1, "We often get tens of millions of cases of the seasonal flu" I don't think we're being told the uponit7771 May 2020 #7
In my little corner deaths are up Historic NY May 2020 #4
With the delay between exposure and visible symptoms the spike will hit 1 to 2 weeks from now. Ford_Prefect May 2020 #5
Trump forcing people to reopen and back to work duforsure May 2020 #6

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
1. With reopening too soon . . .
Thu Apr 30, 2020, 11:36 PM
Apr 2020

we won't know the outcome for approx. two weeks. If death tolls remain at 2,000 per day that is approx. 28,000, it will be over 90,000 . .

Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

tclambert

(11,085 posts)
3. That's linear. It may be exponential, with a doubling time now of 20 days.
Fri May 1, 2020, 02:10 AM
May 2020

The number of cases used to double every 3 days. Then the governors stepped in and told people to stay home. That slowed the doubling time. With premature re-opening of some states, it may double faster.

We often get tens of millions of cases of the seasonal flu, despite having vaccines. We could easily see tens of millions of cases of Covid. the flu causes tens of thousands of deaths every year. Covid could cause millions of deaths, just in the US.

uponit7771

(90,304 posts)
7. +1, "We often get tens of millions of cases of the seasonal flu" I don't think we're being told the
Fri May 1, 2020, 05:31 AM
May 2020

... story here regarding this bug.

60 million Americans got swine flu and the US was S Korea level in 2009, 1.5 billion humans caught the swine flu in the rest of the world.

Looking at what happened to Germany's relative Ro we're no doubt going to start doubling in 20 days.

Just ... shit, I've never thought a person was as dark of a force as Trump was.

A true dark force

Historic NY

(37,449 posts)
4. In my little corner deaths are up
Fri May 1, 2020, 02:10 AM
May 2020

just saw a obituary for my neighbor directly across the street had died. All the old neighbors are going or gone, I've become one of the old neighbors now. I've been here since 1969. He died Sunday.

Ford_Prefect

(7,873 posts)
5. With the delay between exposure and visible symptoms the spike will hit 1 to 2 weeks from now.
Fri May 1, 2020, 02:25 AM
May 2020

And that is assuming they can keep testing enough people. ATM testing is marginally improved but not nearly enough to keep up. We have neither confirmed control of the spread nor means to tell how many have actually been infected or where they are.

duforsure

(11,885 posts)
6. Trump forcing people to reopen and back to work
Fri May 1, 2020, 04:46 AM
May 2020

Prematurely without the adequate testing and system set up to track and trace is another recipe for disaster from trump. No matter how much he tries to hide what will happen from them trying to do this. Trump is causing more American deaths for his personal political gains. Trump is openly telling people their life doesn't matter, only what helps himself matters by doing this now.

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