TX has flipped on electoralvote.com

[roamer65]

Flipped to barely Democratic. It’s a swing state this year.

If Beto really steps it up, I think we can win it.

https://electoral-vote.com/

[walkingman]

1. Yeah - I just knew Texans were not all nasty, heartless bastards.

[cayugafalls]

5. We used to be a Blue State (almost 100 years). The repugs realigned districts and capitalised on

apathy. Hopefully this has woken up the apathetic and they will vote again.

Of course, the gerrymandering has hurt a lot but we can win it back if people get out and vote.

[Lucky Luciano]

11. The dixiecrats are not proud blue IMO. They became republics after all.

[cayugafalls]

13. Yes, there was a lot of mental restructuring done by the repugs.

They had a loud and constant flow of the "tax and spend liberal" and after a time they bought into it and decided to change party.

I think we can get some of them back. At least, I hope we can.

[BComplex]

49. Fox "news". Lots and lots of propaganda on Fox "news".

And the other media stations trying to out Fox Fox, thinking that their ratings were worth competing with in that market, in total denial that there was a big market for real news!

That's what's wrong with all the red states and rabid weaponized MAGAts.

[BlancheSplanchnik]

51. Yep...and from fux, it's just a short slide down

To rush, daily caller, infowars and am radio.

[Light63]

31. WOW!!!

My cousin and her family live in Texas on a rancher setting. She called me today and asked whether I have received the stimulus check. I knew she and her family have always been Republicans so I did not want to mention anything about politics.

All of the sudden, she said although she has always been a Republican, she and her husband will now vote for Biden or any Democratic presidential candidate. She said Trump is not her president. He is cruel and never has any kind or caring thoughts to anyone whose ideas do not align with his, and that is not right. A president is supposed to take care of all people regardless of their political views. She even mentioned about Justin Amash whom she will not vote for. She knows that he is against Trump, but if she votes for him, she will be helping Trump. She said it would not make sense and right for non-Trump republicans to vote for Amash.

So now I have my long-time Republican brother in Calabasas, CA, and my entire-life Republican cousin in Texas voting for the next President of the United States of America Joe Biden comes November!!!

And the Lone Star State of Texas is trending blue! Love the changing in times...

[Cha]

37. Wow.. that is good news!

[Buckeye_Democrat]

2. It's definitely looking more like 2008...

... but with Texas in play too.


Edit: And Arizona too (which McCain won as expected).

[Wounded Bear]

3. If we flip Texas, Trump and the Repubs are hosed...

[OKNancy]

4. If a female VP wasn't what we Democrats wanted this year

I would sure think Beto would be a good choice. We win Texas and it's all over.

[roamer65]

6. Beto would make a good cabinet secretary.

Then he should run for governor of TX.

[MagickMuffin]

35. I'd prefer Julian Castro over Beto

Julian would get a lot of the MexicanAmericans out to vote. I really wanted Julian to run as governor, but alas he didn't. I think he would have crushed Abbott.

[BComplex]

50. Julian is really smart, and he's definitely got a lot of friends.

He knows how to build coalitions.

[sdfernando]

7. I love this at the bottom of the graph

GOP pickups vs. 2016: (None)

[roamer65]

8. I love how COVID-45 is getting his clock cleaned in the Northeast and West Coast.

Two solid blocks for secession if the fucker steals the election.

If he does, I am for separation.

[SCantiGOP]

9. If the repubs lose either Texas or Florida

They basically lose any chance of winning the White House this year and in future elections.

[whopis01]

12. I think Florida is going for Biden this time.

Florida is always a wildcard - but it is often on the edge of going one way or the other.

The governor (DeSantis) is not popular right now and he is known to get a buddy of Trump. I'm not sure if Trump is pulling down DeSantis or if DeSantis will pull down Trump - but they are both losing favor here in Florida.


(This is my opinion as a Floridian)

[SCantiGOP]

22. The worst insult I can think of

is to call DeSantis a dumb version of trump. He rivals the complete jackass on his northern border of Georgia.

[3catwoman3]

48. The idea that there could be...

...a dumb version of Trump is particularly disturbing.

Trump is Wiley and has street smarts when it comes to his own self-aggrandizement, but an intellectual he is not.

[whopis01]

10. The other interesting thing about the graph is Biden wins if every "Barely Dem" state goes for Trump

It has the total listed as:
Biden 390
Trump 148

If Texas (38), Florida (29), Nevada (6), Colorado (9), Minnesota (10), Wisconsin (10), and Ohio (18) all go for Trump, the end result would be:
Biden 270
Trump 268


That is very encouraging. But with that said, now is not the time to get complacent.

[SCantiGOP]

23. Scary thing is

Both Nebraska and Maine award 1 electoral vote to the winner in each Congressional district, which could result in a 269-269 tie. And a tie goes to House to settle, with a similar lame system as the electoral college in that each state's delegation votes on how to award that state's one vote. Currently that would mean the House would choose the repub.
To get even weirder, the Senate then votes to select the VP, which means the two could be from different parties.

[IronLionZion]

14. That site has Arizona and North Cackalacky looking blue

[kevink077]

15. That is wonderful!!!!!

The state is turning. 2020 may or may not be the year but it is slowly moving.

[DavidDvorkin]

16. Odd map; Colorado is blue.

[Demsrule86]

19. Not really...Colorado is blue.

[DavidDvorkin]

25. I meant that the map shows Colorado as barely blue

But the state is now pretty solidly blue and should be shown that way.

I should have been clearer.

[Demsrule86]

40. Is Gardener from Colorado?

I have seen Minnesota barely blue too.

[DavidDvorkin]

43. He is, the contemptible grinning buffoon

He won six years ago thanks to an unusual combination of circumstances and a slick campaign. This year, he's almost certain to lose by a wide margin.

[Demsrule86]

44. Maybe that is why...I have no idea...how they decide. I often think of Virginia...one years it was

red red..in terms of the president...there had been a couple of Democratic governors...and then boom...in 2008,it goes blue. I am hoping we see more of that this year...Carolina again, Texas, Arizona and maybe Georgia...we also get back Florida and Ohio...ah...a landslide to to toss the murderous orange asshat out.

[Canoe52]

17. Great website! Bookmarked it and sent to a friend. Enjoyed the in depth questions and answers.

[Ilsa]

18. I guess lots of Californians HAVE moved to Texas.

Go big, go Blue!

[Gothmog]

20. Texas will be a battleground state this cycle

Link to tweet

[awesomerwb1]

21. I really hope Texas goes blue

But I think we're a couple elections away from that. I believe it will happen within 12 years for sure though.

[JCMach1]

24. No Rep. Path to victory that doesn't include both TX and FL

[BGBD]

26. Texas

is going to be a blue state at some point, it is inevitable. Virginia was reliably red not long ago as well. When you have that much growth and movement into the state an that much urbanization you can't stay solidly red.

This might be the cycle when it happens.

[roamer65]

34. COVID-45 is probably pushing the flip forward by about 10 years.

It will be a swing state before it eventually goes solid Democratic. COVID-45’s unpopularity is accelerating the process.

[BGBD]

36. Yeah

There needs to be a catalyst to push it over. Trump could speed it up a couple cycles for sure.

I'd really love to see the reaction from Republicans if Texas flipped. They know there is no way they can ever win the Presidency if Texas goes blue. Clinton states + Texas is 270. Republicans would have to find a way to win some Clinton states without losing any others and that might be really hard for a while. If Texas flips you have to figure Arizona would as well.

[roamer65]

38. The key to winning TX is Beto.

He can flip it.

[Foolacious]

27. Where does the data underlying the map come from?

It shows Nevada and Colorado as barely blue, with Arizona and North Carolina as likely blue. That seems reversed to me.

[bucolic_frolic]

28. Tech burbs going non-Fundie with immigrants

MAGAts dropping like ... well ... like MAGAts

The margins to a slim Blue victory are in these demographics

[aquamarina]

29. This is great news

but make no mistake, if this is true, the TX repukes are going to ramp up every devious means to suppress the vote this year. So right now is the time to start protecting the vote, people need to confirm their voter status, register to vote absentee if possible and stay on top of every election shenanigan that is about to hit.

[paleotn]

30. Well, that's way ahead of schedule.

[FakeNoose]

32. Yes! I'm greedy, I want the SENATE to go blue too!

I want everything blue - and there will be no turning back after November.
All the guilty members of GOP will go to jail as soon as possible.

[Xolodno]

33. If Texas goes blue...

...then there will be a lot of retirement resignations, declines in running again, etc. from the Republicans. The gig is over.

The question then becomes, who takes over? Do they continue with the current ideological nonsense that doesn't get them anywhere, or do they moderate their stances.

I'm still in shock of my state senator sending me resources in case I become unemployed, holding COVID virtual town halls with doctors, info on where to get tested if you think you might have the virus, resources for food, etc. You would automatically think he's a Democrat, but he's Republican. But then again, there hasn't been any serious Democratic challenger. How can you challenge a Republican when they act like Democrats?

[AwakeAtLast]

39. If TX goes Blue, Trump is toast.

Light the fire!

[Renew Deal]

41. I don't believe it

Democrats have always come over 1 million votes short in Texas. The only way it happens is mass abandonment of Trump. People might feel like they need to get out of this situation. Then maybe, but it's a longshot.

[GeoWilliam750]

42. Many of the polls are rather old

It would be interesting to see what they show now

Perhaps Joe should say something like, "We really need the Texas perspective in the cabinet, and I am looking to include the very best that Texas has to offer"

And for Georgia, "Paging Ms Abrams, Paging Ms Abrams, Your assistance urgently appreciated."

[dsp3000]

45. I remember this talk in 2016. Hillary was even campaigning there.

Look what happened. Not optimistic about it at all. She should have campaigned more in pa and Michigan

[sellitman]

46. Yeah right.

And Hillary has it in the bag.

[rainbow4321]

47. Do we have the DNC's attention now

Cuz for the 30 yrs I’ve lived in TX they have used us as a cash cow to help fund their coffers *for swing state* battles.
Dem candidates fly into (insert any TX metro city here), head straight to a rich donor’s mansion for a 2 hour private fundraiser...and then they are wheels up, leaving TX.
Get out your damn checkbook, DNC, just hand a signed/blank check to whoever is in charge of the TX campaigning/media buys/***rallies***. You know...rallies that Texans only get to see on TV unless we wanna drive to the nearest swing state to attend.