New Test Shows IHME COVID-19 Death Projections Display Optimism Bias

[sfstaxprep]

I contend that the White House relies on unrealistically optimistic projections of number of U.S. deaths from COVID-19. These projections are produced by the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington. In this post, I discuss evidence from a new test that supports this assertion.

In my previous post, I proposed to test for unrealistic optimism at several milestone dates, with the first date being April 30. Today is May 1, and I report the results.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/hershshefrin/2020/05/01/new-test-shows-that-ihme-covid-19-death-projections-display-optimism-bias/#142c3e022038

[Squinch]

1. Craptastic IHME model is craptastic.

Anyone in an official position who is still believing the nonsense that is the IHME model should be injected with Coronavirus.

Donnie Bodybags adopted it early and quoted it often. That should have told us all we needed to know.

And here is a question to ponder: how did he know at the onset of the virus that the IHME model was the ONE of all the available models that would serve his purposes the best? What made him adopt THAT model way back in March?