US death projection doubles in leading model as Dr Fauci warns against opening too soon

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

The number of Americans projected to die from coronavirus has almost doubled in a leading model, as the country's top infectious disease expert warned against easing social distancing measures too soon.

Nearly 135,000 Americans are forecast to die from Covid-19 by the beginning of August in a new projection by the University of Washington, almost double the last prediction, due to several US states easing their lockdowns.

The model by the university's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IMHE), which the White House has heavily relied on to guide its decision-making, is now estimating that the US will reach 135,000 deaths by August 1 compared to its previous estimate of 60,308 deaths.

The IHME's grim new forecasts “reflect the effect of premature relaxation of restrictions,” according to the model's creator, Christopher Murray.

https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-kill-135-000-americans-234917391.html

[stopdiggin]

1. "reflect the effect of premature relaxation of restrictions,"

NO. They do not. The models were wildly inaccurate and completely blown up ..well before any "relaxation of restrictions" took place. The IMHE modeling now holds zero credibility.

(And this should include the new "revised" projections which are extremely suspect .. particularly given the "relaxation" that is now going to go forward.)
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[Hav]

3. So over the next 3 months,

they expect the same number of deaths that happened in April alone after easing the lockdown measures?
I guess NY is on a good path but it will soon hit the other big non-coastal states.