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LiberalArkie

(15,703 posts)
Thu May 7, 2020, 10:03 AM May 2020

The Putin Regime Cracks

President Vladimir Putin’s clever maneuver to dispense with the Russian constitution’s provisions on presidential terms limits will, in theory, allow him to stay in office until 2036. Yet by rewriting the constitution and reshuffling the government, Putin did far more than throw most of the Russian elite off-balance. Putin’s efforts signal that he is building a new political regime that will be more conservative, more ideological, and more anti-Western in its outlook.

Everything is not going to plan, however. The planned reconfiguration of Russia’s political system has been complicated by the collapse of global oil prices and the unprecedented disruption caused by the coronavirus. The April 22 quasi-referendum to “approve” the constitutional amendments is now on hold while the Kremlin tries to deal with both the virus and a new economic crisis. These twin challenges represent the biggest shock the Putin regime has ever faced and are likely to feed popular dissatisfaction.

Tackling this crisis successfully requires a well-planned collective effort by the Russian leadership. Unfortunately, the pandemic is casting a harsh spotlight on a long-running reality: Putin has become increasingly disengaged from routine matters of government and prefers to delegate most issues to others. During the initial phase of the crisis Putin has repeatedly called on his new government and regional governors to bear even heavier responsibilities.

But the president’s team is far from unified. This article aims to explain how the Putin regime operates and its growing internal conflicts by classifying five different elite groups. For brevity’s sake, it does not cover specific aspects of the Russia government’s response to the pandemic (this will be the subject of future research). Nor does it examine the public dimensions of Russian politics (for example, parliamentary developments and media activity). The focus is on the inner workings of Russia’s main decisionmakers.

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https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/05/07/the-putin-regime-cracks-a70211

37 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The Putin Regime Cracks (Original Post) LiberalArkie May 2020 OP
K&R! SheltieLover May 2020 #1
K & R...for visibility...nt Wounded Bear May 2020 #2
Do I sense an echo or rhyme here? Hugin May 2020 #3
My exact thoughts! benfranklin1776 May 2020 #10
+1 pandr32 May 2020 #16
Thanks! Well if the simian suit fits... benfranklin1776 May 2020 #37
I hope that government collapses and Putin is destroyed. kimbutgar May 2020 #4
But...the Trump Regime is part of the Putin Regime...that would collapse our government. lagomorph777 May 2020 #5
You don't see that MF45 and McConnell are already collapsing our government? kimbutgar May 2020 #6
I see Turd and Turtle as consolidating power; the US economy is less fragile than Russia's. lagomorph777 May 2020 #8
Along with Boris and all the little Brexiteers in the playhouse. Ford_Prefect May 2020 #24
Yup! Boorish Johnson is a Putin employee too. lagomorph777 May 2020 #28
Looks like Putin will have to worry about saving himself... brush May 2020 #7
Maybe he will be otherwise occupied, come November 3rd. not_the_one May 2020 #23
He's Made A Lot Of Enemies, Competent Enemies Skraxx May 2020 #27
Maybe he'll escape to Sochi and move the seat of government to a seaside resort. Ford_Prefect May 2020 #25
I hope the Russian people revolt. Takket May 2020 #9
Can't argue volstork May 2020 #11
So does Trump. Hanging is too good for that malignant misanthrope. OMGWTF May 2020 #12
The people who would normally do the mob hanging lunatica May 2020 #22
"The rest of us are just too civilized." SergeStorms May 2020 #31
I didn't say the rest of us wouldn't think of it with relish lunatica May 2020 #32
Long prison sentence for the Rump and all the family assets seized. SammyWinstonJack May 2020 #26
There were demonstrations against putin's proposed Social Security cuts MarcA May 2020 #21
That's actually a very good idea. Very good idea, for sure. BComplex May 2020 #33
THIS THIS THIS THIS. roamer65 May 2020 #36
You just made my day!!! Peacetrain May 2020 #13
From the title I thought this was an OP about beer and peanuts bucolic_frolic May 2020 #14
Somebody close will end up pushing him out a window. Historic NY May 2020 #15
Or just a whiff of Novichok. lagomorph777 May 2020 #29
Not soon enough dreamland May 2020 #17
"Dispense with the Russian constitution's provisions on presidential terms limits" Bayard May 2020 #18
Putin is much smarter than, say, Donald Trump, but... MrModerate May 2020 #19
A banana republic with a banana crop failure. lagomorph777 May 2020 #30
Or lesser nutcases like Al Qaeda, ISIS, or Hamas. n/t MrModerate May 2020 #35
THIS is what the GOP wants for America Cosmocat May 2020 #20
About ten years ago, I was discussing with a Russian friend what made the Russian markets tick DFW May 2020 #34

Hugin

(33,048 posts)
3. Do I sense an echo or rhyme here?
Thu May 7, 2020, 10:25 AM
May 2020


"Putin has become increasingly disengaged from routine matters of government and prefers to delegate most issues to others. During the initial phase of the crisis Putin has repeatedly called on his new government and regional governors to bear even heavier responsibilities."

benfranklin1776

(6,443 posts)
10. My exact thoughts!
Thu May 7, 2020, 11:53 AM
May 2020

Orange Crime Don is merely aping his handler’s Czarist methodology, as the felon in chief is too bereft of reason and morality to exercise any independent thought or judgement.

benfranklin1776

(6,443 posts)
37. Thanks! Well if the simian suit fits...
Mon May 11, 2020, 01:02 PM
May 2020

Although simians have far greater learning skills and concern for their fellow living creatures than this cretin. 😑

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
5. But...the Trump Regime is part of the Putin Regime...that would collapse our government.
Thu May 7, 2020, 11:36 AM
May 2020

Ooooohhhh...I seeeee......

 

not_the_one

(2,227 posts)
23. Maybe he will be otherwise occupied, come November 3rd.
Thu May 7, 2020, 12:38 PM
May 2020

He has been so busy fucking with other countries, maybe his own will go down the toilet.

If so, he will take OUR turd down with him.

We can dream.....

Skraxx

(2,967 posts)
27. He's Made A Lot Of Enemies, Competent Enemies
Thu May 7, 2020, 12:50 PM
May 2020

Don't think the EU is standing idly by while he meddles, and there may be compartmentalized portions of our own IC still on the ball...

lunatica

(53,410 posts)
22. The people who would normally do the mob hanging
Thu May 7, 2020, 12:38 PM
May 2020

are his base, so there’s that. The rabble belong to him, heart and soul.

The rest of us are just too civilized. I’m serious.

lunatica

(53,410 posts)
32. I didn't say the rest of us wouldn't think of it with relish
Thu May 7, 2020, 01:14 PM
May 2020

Being civilized doesn’t translate as being wimps.

MarcA

(2,195 posts)
21. There were demonstrations against putin's proposed Social Security cuts
Thu May 7, 2020, 12:36 PM
May 2020

about a year or so ago. Perhaps we could make common cause with them against
the oligarchic elites here and there.

BComplex

(8,017 posts)
33. That's actually a very good idea. Very good idea, for sure.
Thu May 7, 2020, 01:16 PM
May 2020

How could we get our people in touch with their people?

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
29. Or just a whiff of Novichok.
Thu May 7, 2020, 12:55 PM
May 2020

And while we're speculating, anybody hoping Trump gets COVFEFE-19 from his valet? Hell, I didn't even know valets were a thing in this century.

Bayard

(22,005 posts)
18. "Dispense with the Russian constitution's provisions on presidential terms limits"
Thu May 7, 2020, 12:26 PM
May 2020

I'm sure trump is paying close attention to this.

 

MrModerate

(9,753 posts)
19. Putin is much smarter than, say, Donald Trump, but...
Thu May 7, 2020, 12:29 PM
May 2020

The hand he's drawn has few aces. Economically, Russia is like a giant banana republic, with one moneymaker — fossil fuels — that is suddenly a drug upon the market.

Putin's kleptocratic leadership of self-interested oligarchs and brutal toadies can't develop or execute the policies and rapid response that Covid-19 calls for, and the Russian people are dying in droves. This can't be sustained.

We worry about North Korean nukes falling into the wrong hands if that country goes under. We should be worrying about Russia.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
30. A banana republic with a banana crop failure.
Thu May 7, 2020, 12:58 PM
May 2020

And imagine the horror if Putin's nukes get into the hands of a real nutcase like Trump!

DFW

(54,293 posts)
34. About ten years ago, I was discussing with a Russian friend what made the Russian markets tick
Thu May 7, 2020, 02:09 PM
May 2020

He smiled and said, "Одно слово." Ahdnaw slawva. One word.

"Нефт" Nyeft. Oil.

He said if the price of oil is high, they ride high. If the price of oil crashes, so does their economy. It was that simple.

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