General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsOkay, so death projections were high but lockdowns worked and kept the numbers lower, so
it looked like the projections were way off. So now it was all for nothing and we should never have locked down and ruined the economy. It's now okay to rush back out, start spreading the virus around worse again, let the deaths ramp back up, and make the original projections right on the money. It may actually work out that way.
Takket
(23,802 posts)pun intentional..........
jimfields33
(19,382 posts)I knew red states were going to ruin everything, but blue states decided to jump onboard. Rhode Island is a real mystery. The reason is people in at least 5 states shut down can get to Rhode Island in a few hours at most. We will have to wait and see how everything turns out.
uponit7771
(93,532 posts)snowybirdie
(6,748 posts)they just reclosed the beaches. Too many people showed up and do beaches are now closed indefinitely. Damn idiots!
Chainfire
(17,757 posts)I just came back from looking at the statistics for my state (Florida) The death rates are still rising at about the same rate they were three weeks ago. I suspect that is it is going to be increasing noticeably soon because people have become bored with protecting themselves and the governor is pushing premature opening of businesses.
When you look at a variety of estimates it is usually wise to discard the lowest and the highest. For instance, I believe the estimate of 1-2 million was made on a political, rather than a scientific basis. If you estimate that a million may die, and only a hundred thousand do, then you can claim great success in defeating the disease.
We are now sitting around the 80,00 death number. In February, we would have considered that number horrifying, now it is just another stat.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)The estimates were and are accurate enough.
The next three months are going to be interesting as we are likely to see the death rate climb and we will be well over 100,000.
The complete lack of widespread testing, mandatory quarantine for infected individuals, and contact tracing pretty much guarantees an absolute clusterfuck by early fall.
stillcool
(34,407 posts)come from. People die at home, untested, and how do they figure how many people have the virus? I guess, like everything else it's all about creating a perception.
bigtree
(94,672 posts)...extrapolate out from here and you have a rising threat, not to mention states like Nebraska who haven't really tested would skew that total way up and should terrify us.
Your premise is dead wrong about the numbers being, 'way off.'
Kick in to the DU tip jar?
This week we're running a special pop-up mini fund drive. From Monday through Friday we're going ad-free for all registered members, and we're asking you to kick in to the DU tip jar to support the site and keep us financially healthy.
As a bonus, making a contribution will allow you to leave kudos for another DU member, and at the end of the week we'll recognize the DUers who you think make this community great.