Will it reach 100,000 deaths by the end of May?

[LiberalFighter]

[Brainfodder]

1. Yes, even with FL and others not willfully accurately reporting even?

[mucifer]

2. I would bet it has already surpassed 100,000 because of so few tests we don't know

how many have died from it.

[not_the_one]

3. Sooner.

n/t

[NewJeffCT]

4. We'd need to average less than 1,000 death/day

to get to 100,000

The last time we had fewer than 1,000 deaths in a day was April 4.

We've averaged nearly 1,800/day over the last week.

[uponit7771]

15. jus ... damn

[malaise]

5. Before then - the number of dead on May 1 was 57,266

Today is May 10
https://www.medicaleconomics.com/news/coronavirus-case-numbers-united-states-may-1-update

[Hoyt]

6. Easily if we even approach deaths per 1,000 exhibited in France, UK, Italy, and Spain.

[edhopper]

7. It already has

if the actual number was counted.

[Happy Hoosier]

8. At this point, I think it's pretty near a lock. NT

[MineralMan]

9. Probably.

[PatSeg]

10. Oh yes

And then Trump will make it look like an accomplishment because it is on the low end of previous projections. "It could have been worse, much much worse if I hadn't taken decisive action early on."

[Alex4Martinez]

11. I think it will.

That would be 1,000/day for 20 days, a lower daily rate than the past five weeks.

I'm going to say yes, it will.

[Golden Raisin]

12. Yes. The more states/cities/towns/communities

that open up prematurely in May will cause mini and maxi breakouts/explosions of illness and deaths.

[CanonRay]

13. Even with spotty counting and even spotier testing

we're at 80,000 and 2,000 per day. That makes it 10 days more or less. Call it May 21st.

[ananda]

14. Sure looks like it.

It's over 80,000 now.

However, some areas are under-reporting, so
I don't know what that will mean.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

16. This model gives it an 89% chance.

https://covid19-projections.com/#view-projections

I think it's closer to 100%, and we're actually over 100,000 already given the overall death totals this year compared to the past.

By the way, the above model has been one of the more accurate ones that I've seen so far.