Tue May 12, 2020, 01:17 PM
Polybius (6,056 posts)
5 new polls out today, but I'll only mention 4 of them
I don't do Rasmussen, they are inaccurate, right-wing, and they have been fluctuating like crazy the last few months. So on to the rest:
CNN: Trump approval at 46%. WTF? CNN I completely trust, but at the same time there's no way he can be that high. Too many landlines is what I suspect. Emerson California poll: Biden 59, Trump 29. 30 point lead for Biden. I expect Biden to win by 35 points, since 12% are undecided. Emerson Texas poll: Trump 47, Biden 41. I expected it to be closer than a 6 point spread. 12% are still undecided, but Biden would need the vast majority of that 12% to win, unless Trump's 47% changes their mind. Emerson Ohio poll: Trump 46, Biden 43. While it's only a 3 point spread with 11% undecided, I hate this. Ohio used to be a reliable swing state, and now it clearly leans right. Seems like the conservatives from Virginia moved there, as that state now leans left. Anyway, here's a link to all of the polls from today (Tuesday May 12th). https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
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9 replies, 1456 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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Polybius | May 2020 | OP |
Loki Liesmith | May 2020 | #1 | |
LizBeth | May 2020 | #2 | |
bearsfootball516 | May 2020 | #3 | |
LizBeth | May 2020 | #5 | |
greenjar_01 | May 2020 | #4 | |
diva77 | May 2020 | #6 | |
uponit7771 | May 2020 | #7 | |
dixiechiken1 | May 2020 | #8 | |
kwolf68 | May 2020 | #9 |
Response to Polybius (Original post)
Tue May 12, 2020, 01:19 PM
Loki Liesmith (4,325 posts)
1. Emerson is bad
They use Mechanical Turk as part of their survey.
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Response to Polybius (Original post)
Tue May 12, 2020, 01:24 PM
LizBeth (7,690 posts)
2. None of that is good and so sad.
Response to LizBeth (Reply #2)
Tue May 12, 2020, 01:32 PM
bearsfootball516 (5,852 posts)
3. Neither Texas nor Ohio should be competitive, they're both red states.
The fact that he's only trailing Trump by 6 in Texas and 3 in Ohio is an amazing sign. If Trump only wins those states in November by 6 and 3 points, it means Biden is flipping Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona.
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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #3)
Tue May 12, 2020, 02:05 PM
LizBeth (7,690 posts)
5. Thank you I just feel Ohio should be ours. And it is not. Thank you for perspective.
I know Texas isn't going, as it didn't with Beto. They hate Cruz and loved Beto and he still could not win. And Whataburger.
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Response to Polybius (Original post)
Tue May 12, 2020, 01:36 PM
greenjar_01 (4,338 posts)
4. ROFL
Clownish
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Response to Polybius (Original post)
Tue May 12, 2020, 02:18 PM
diva77 (6,372 posts)
6. The fact that Dump has any % of approval is due to WINGNUT MEDIA promoting him.
What to do about it? Perhaps ramping up boycotting advertisers on Fux, Limburger, etc.
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Response to Polybius (Original post)
Tue May 12, 2020, 02:36 PM
uponit7771 (74,654 posts)
7. Trump not being in the 20s is a failure of the 4th estate. Too focused on blood and sex type leads
... and buttery males to inform the populous.
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Response to uponit7771 (Reply #7)
Tue May 12, 2020, 03:29 PM
dixiechiken1 (860 posts)
8. "Buttery males".... LOLOLOLOL 🤣 n/t
Response to Polybius (Original post)
Tue May 12, 2020, 03:35 PM
kwolf68 (6,862 posts)
9. Going to be like 2016
Swing states will decide. Joe courting Republicans to try to push him over the top. This is like 2016 all over again. There is no way either of these candidates wins in a landslide. |