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Sun May 17, 2020, 01:33 PM

This Is Why Team Trump and Republicans Are Freaking Out

John Weaver, one of the founders of the Lincoln Project, has posted this...

ď Of course @realdonaldtrump is insane & an imbecile, but the crazed rat is cornered. Here is one reason why. Based on leaks from his "team." 2020 election forecast...

https://www.270towin.com/maps/xGzXg




Right now, their internal polling shows Biden winning over Trump, 334 to 141.

91 replies, 14920 views

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Arrow 91 replies Author Time Post
Reply This Is Why Team Trump and Republicans Are Freaking Out (Original post)
writes3000 May 2020 OP
D_Master81 May 2020 #1
Cha May 2020 #2
LymphocyteLover May 2020 #86
Blue Owl May 2020 #3
sprinkleeninow May 2020 #31
Person of Interest May 2020 #41
fierywoman May 2020 #75
LymphocyteLover May 2020 #87
Me. May 2020 #4
cannabis_flower May 2020 #20
nolabear May 2020 #23
sprinkleeninow May 2020 #34
Me. May 2020 #32
Hekate May 2020 #71
Me. May 2020 #72
Newest Reality May 2020 #5
JGug1 May 2020 #14
lunatica May 2020 #19
sprinkleeninow May 2020 #35
bdamomma May 2020 #66
sprinkleeninow May 2020 #79
SCantiGOP May 2020 #6
gristy May 2020 #17
KPN May 2020 #25
WinstonSmith4740 May 2020 #29
Tiger8 May 2020 #84
oldsoftie May 2020 #83
Fla Dem May 2020 #33
Squidly May 2020 #53
sprinkleeninow May 2020 #36
SCantiGOP May 2020 #43
sprinkleeninow May 2020 #46
Demsrule86 May 2020 #45
GaYellowDawg May 2020 #60
Faux pas May 2020 #7
John Fante May 2020 #8
ffr May 2020 #9
Celerity May 2020 #27
smirkymonkey May 2020 #61
Celerity May 2020 #63
smirkymonkey May 2020 #69
Celerity May 2020 #70
TheFourthMind May 2020 #10
JGug1 May 2020 #11
lastlib May 2020 #18
WinstonSmith4740 May 2020 #30
Newest Reality May 2020 #38
calimary May 2020 #52
sprinkleeninow May 2020 #37
Demsrule86 May 2020 #47
Catherine Vincent May 2020 #12
CousinIT May 2020 #13
Stuart G May 2020 #16
sprinkleeninow May 2020 #39
lunatica May 2020 #21
CousinIT May 2020 #40
Squidly May 2020 #54
CousinIT May 2020 #58
Squidly May 2020 #62
lunatica May 2020 #65
CousinIT May 2020 #67
lunatica May 2020 #68
rockfordfile May 2020 #81
warmfeet May 2020 #15
bucolic_frolic May 2020 #22
johnthewoodworker May 2020 #24
John Fante May 2020 #42
Demsrule86 May 2020 #49
Squidly May 2020 #55
Demsrule86 May 2020 #48
0rganism May 2020 #26
John Fante May 2020 #44
0rganism May 2020 #50
Hermit-The-Prog May 2020 #28
Wounded Bear May 2020 #51
dvan May 2020 #56
summer_in_TX May 2020 #73
Locrian May 2020 #57
GaYellowDawg May 2020 #59
jimlup May 2020 #64
samsingh May 2020 #74
Orrex May 2020 #76
Yavin4 May 2020 #77
writes3000 May 2020 #78
rockfordfile May 2020 #80
Yavin4 May 2020 #88
captain queeg May 2020 #82
Richard58 May 2020 #85
saidsimplesimon May 2020 #89
lindysalsagal May 2020 #90
lindysalsagal May 2020 #91

Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 01:37 PM

1. Beautiful

Now just make it happen

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 01:39 PM

2. Steady As We GO!

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Response to Cha (Reply #2)

Mon May 18, 2020, 12:49 PM

86. Yes-- this is awesome, but we still need to do the work and GOTV

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 01:41 PM

3. Someone needs to project that map onto trump tower

n/t

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Response to Blue Owl (Reply #3)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:07 PM

31. Why, yes❣ 👍

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Response to Blue Owl (Reply #3)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:42 PM

41. That would be wonderful!!!! 👍

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Response to Blue Owl (Reply #3)

Sun May 17, 2020, 10:47 PM

75. ... and on to the Trump Hotel in DC

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Response to Blue Owl (Reply #3)

Mon May 18, 2020, 12:49 PM

87. LOL, yes!!!

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 01:41 PM

4. But Biden Is Hidden In A Basement & Not Doing Anything

Chatter, Chatter, Chatter

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Response to Me. (Reply #4)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:02 PM

20. When your opponent

Is shooting himself on a daily basis, the best thing to do is sit back and watch the show.

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Response to cannabis_flower (Reply #20)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:13 PM

23. He's actually not though. He's building a coalition and getting out there more.

Sadly Spanky gets to hide his campaigning behind supposed COVID-19 updates and being such a shitshow heís irresistible. But I fervently hope the momentum will build. We need prime time, brilliant programming.

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Response to nolabear (Reply #23)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:13 PM

34. I'm Biden my time. 😁 When the fullness of time has presented itself,

Joe and Co. will pull out all the stops.

I emailed Mike!, Mike!, Mike! to drop some big 💰 in assisting Biden's camp.

He may be doing that shortly from what I heard.

But not bc of lil ole me!!

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Response to cannabis_flower (Reply #20)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:09 PM

32. Exactly

don't the whiners ask themselves why Biden is so far ahead in the polls

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Response to Me. (Reply #4)

Sun May 17, 2020, 09:32 PM

71. I keep reading that very thing at DU, so it must be true

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Response to Hekate (Reply #71)

Sun May 17, 2020, 09:39 PM

72. Well Didn't Overrated Maggie Haberman

Hint at that, as well as many others? This election's version of 'but her emails'. They don't seem to understand how dire things are. I heard someone talk about how they have to stop treating him like he's a regular president and reporting every word he says.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 01:45 PM

5. That's encouraging, to say the least.

It does correspond with the cornered rat, whom we all know is a real, rabid rat and not just a poser at it.

I am braced for the desperation to bring them to act out the worst they can dream up, and that's not being hyperbolic. While it may shock and disgust us and do some major damage along the way, they are going to have to be even more blatant and that will serve to expose their tactics even more due to recklessness.

I am counting on a larger amount of people to see what we are really dealing with and if that is the case, the above will be working against the Republican death cult, and that recognition will give us more momentum and help to save the people from a tyrant and a regime.

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Response to Newest Reality (Reply #5)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:32 PM

14. Braced For Desperation

We saw some of that last night when Junior made his absurd comments.....damn, they were so bad I have blocked them out and have to look them up before continuing. Oh yeah, he asserted that Democrats are rooting for Corona Virus to kill millions of people here so that his dadda will be defeated. Junior apparently has his own thoughts about running for President. His problem is that he is just as dumb as his dadda but doesn't have his dadda's street smarts or his showmanship.

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Response to JGug1 (Reply #14)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:59 PM

19. Or his dadda's cult

All he has is his fatherís ass print on his face and lips.

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Response to Newest Reality (Reply #5)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:16 PM

35. A good slogan: 'Re-elect Dumpty, The Cornered Rat'

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Response to sprinkleeninow (Reply #35)

Sun May 17, 2020, 08:46 PM

66. Or the

Koresh/Trump cult.

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Response to bdamomma (Reply #66)

Mon May 18, 2020, 12:00 AM

79. 'Re-elect the tяump KKKult'

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 01:49 PM

6. Wouldn't pay too much attention to this

This is from the page of some random guy who has drawn his own map at 270towin.com based on what he calls "leaks from the 'team.'"
Their site as of now has it at 308-230, and Texas and NC are solid red.

ON EDIT: when I checked the site it loaded the last map I had configured. Their current map shows it as 232-204 Dem advantage, with 6 states worth 102 electoral votes in the TossUp category.

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Response to SCantiGOP (Reply #6)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:45 PM

17. This C'mon folks. Let's keep our critical reading and thinking skills in gear!

This ^^^^

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Response to SCantiGOP (Reply #6)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:19 PM

25. Right. Not to mention 270toWin also had Hillary winning over 300 electoral votes in their last

run -- which I think was election day.

Last thing we need to do is get confident and behave smugly. We need to work the election like we are losing and our life depends on winning -- because our lives do depend on it!

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Response to KPN (Reply #25)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:44 PM

29. Totally agree

We have to approach this election as though we're losing, or have a razor thin margin. We can't get over confident so people don't get out and vote. The Republicans will make it as difficult as possible, if not flat out impossible, for lots of people to vote. The Russians will be involved again. Facebook will inflame the mouth breathers. The turnout in November has to be big enough to overcome all of that shit.

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Response to WinstonSmith4740 (Reply #29)

Mon May 18, 2020, 09:25 AM

84. Exactly! Consider we're dead even - ALL HANDS ON DECK

Just a win is not enough to drive a stake through the heart of Trumpism.

Blow Republicans back to 1932......and keep them out of office for decades.

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Response to KPN (Reply #25)

Mon May 18, 2020, 06:25 AM

83. When you win 3 states by 80k total votes, those projections could've easily been true.

Had more democrats turned out to vote, they would have been.

Now when a poll is WAY off, i take notice. But trump barely won. The polls showing Clinton winning were wrong, yes, but they werent wrong by much

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Response to SCantiGOP (Reply #6)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:11 PM

33. Not breaking out the champagne for a while. Was already to celebrate HRC's and BOOM!

We cannot get complacent. Between the virus keeping people from the polls, foreign interference, Repub Governors and state legislatures not allowing mail in voting, while the numbers may look formidable, anything could hapen.

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Response to Fla Dem (Reply #33)

Sun May 17, 2020, 05:49 PM

53. Not breaking out the champagne till hes out of the white house

Until then, gonna fight like my life depends on it!!

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Response to SCantiGOP (Reply #6)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:18 PM

36. NC may not be solid red. Pretty in pink mb. 😁

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Response to sprinkleeninow (Reply #36)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:52 PM

43. That is correct

I had configured a map based on my guesses, and I had picked NC as red. I think it will be one of the closest states in the nation this fall.

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Response to SCantiGOP (Reply #43)

Sun May 17, 2020, 05:01 PM

46. 😉

Last edited Sun May 17, 2020, 11:57 PM - Edit history (1)

'The Little Engine That Could'
Book by Watty Piper


Editing: I meant NC by the message in this book. Not y'all!

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Response to SCantiGOP (Reply #6)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:59 PM

45. The polls and maps are very encouraging actually.

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Response to SCantiGOP (Reply #6)

Sun May 17, 2020, 07:18 PM

60. Well, shit. It's not. Here's the consensus map.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2020-electoral-map-forecast

There's absolutely no way we take Texas. If that state can elect Ted Cruz over Beto, then there's no way they EVER go Democratic. They've got the system rigged in Florida, so count that for Trump, too.

We MUST win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and one of Arizona or Wisconsin to win. Right now, I'm not sure we can.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 01:58 PM

7. Kicketty Kickin'

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 01:59 PM

8. The senate is likely ours if this holds.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:11 PM

9. Well, let's see if we get get Biden 400 then.

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Response to ffr (Reply #9)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:42 PM

27. If TX & OH go Blue 400 is possible IF we also flip any ONE of these big reaches MO or AK or GA

Last edited Sun May 17, 2020, 07:28 PM - Edit history (2)




here is the absolute most EV's we can get, many of these are massives reaches, any Reds left are 99% impossible (I can see people arguing that best case should make UT, KS, LA, and IN Blue (457-81), but that is pushing it too far, hell MY best case scenario here is batshit optimistic






here is my 'gun to my head' EV count atm (this is based off fair non manipulated (systemically) elections, so is probably a pipe dream), in other words, this is what I think the election will actually be (again atm)




the good thing is (as long as we WIN ME-2 and NE-2)
we can lose BOTH FL and AZ and still win (by 1 EV)
if we lose either or both NE-2 and ME-2 (we lost both last time) Trump wins if we also lose both AZ and FL on this map, so we would have to flip IA or WI (the easiest) or NC














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Response to Celerity (Reply #27)

Sun May 17, 2020, 07:22 PM

61. +1000

Thanks for that!

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Response to smirkymonkey (Reply #61)

Sun May 17, 2020, 07:55 PM

63. if we win 270-268 due to flipping NE-2 and ME-2, expect Trump to go extra special bonkers

about NE-2. If no split EV's ME-2 would not go to him, but NE-2 would never go to us.

A 269-269 (assigning ME-2 and NE-2 as the other 48 states + DC do) tie means he wins as the Rethugs will control the bare minimum (26) state delegations in the US House needed in the House (and they might have more than 26) to put him over the top. WI and FL are the only 2 states we can flip from them, and those are so gerrymandered (especially WI) that it will take a miracle to pull it off.

Trump will sue and say that split EV's are illegal (yes, the states do control it per the Constitution, but if the SCOTUS say it is illegal, we are fucked IF they go full stop sell-out, which I do NOT see Roberts allowing)

There are like 5 or 6 plausible ways to get to 269-269 naturally.

That would be the worst possible way to lose, as it is via an arcane process that is corrupted due to Rethug gerrymandering. There will be violence, probably bad violence, especially IF the Rethugs also hold the Senate and take back the House, as that means doom for the nation. Trump and the Rethus will wipe out 5 times as much of our protections this time than in his first 4 years, and the SCOTUS probably goes 7-2 hard RW plus Thomas replaced with a younger model of RW thug. Only hope would be to flip the Senate in 2022 (very possible) but that means RBG and Breyer both need to hold on for 2 and a half more years (and all on pure speculation of a Dem Senate flipping victory in 2022.)

The country cannot take 4 more years of Trump (just based of the federal courts and the SCOTUS, let alone all his other shit), and if he sneaks in via a 269-269 stolen (via gerrymandering) House vote, that might be the straw that breaks the camel's back, especially if he is CRUSHED in the popular vote, far more than Clinton won by.

The longer I study the US Constitution and how it has evolved and been interpreted over the long sweep the time, the less I like it. It was written under certain assumptions that have now been gamed by the Rethugs since the late 1960's. The very institution of the US Senate was always a long wave ticking Constitutional time bomb. By the early 2030's 70% of the Senate will be controlled by just 30% of the population, and that 30% is FAR older, whiter, more fundie religious, poorer, rural, less educated, and more RW reactionary than the other 70% of the US population. also, the entire POTUS/Executive branch is FAR too powerful now, it truly has turned into Arthur M. Schlesinger's 'Imperial Presidency' over the past 50 plus years. It needs to be reigned in, a LOT. Look at how much utterly (and long lasting) DAMAGE one horrid human sitting in the White House has done both domestically AND globally.

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Response to Celerity (Reply #63)

Sun May 17, 2020, 09:23 PM

69. Thank you!

Very thoughtful and informative post. I appreciate it. I will revisit later, but I am going to try to get to bed at a reasonable time tonight for once so I can get up in the morning.

Thanks again!

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Response to smirkymonkey (Reply #69)

Sun May 17, 2020, 09:30 PM

70. yw!

I am always looking at the data and the trends for POTUS, Senate, and starting to work on the House.

Get some sleep smirky!

Hugz,

Cel <3

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:13 PM

10. Love to know how much oxygen the blue states are breathing into the red states to keep them alive.

Ungrateful bastards. Fortunately much of that confederate-red is land, while much of the blue is people.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:14 PM

11. Biden Landslide?

We have to stayed scared. Clinton was >90% probability of winning up to the last days in 2016. Still, this is encouraging and if Trump keeps being Trump, it could get better.

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Response to JGug1 (Reply #11)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:50 PM

18. If Putin keeps being Putin, and Dems keep being complacent.....

we (and all Americans) go down in flames for another tRump term--one which may not end until he croaks, at which point (insert Don Jr./Ivanka/Jared here) takes over.

I agree with your first sentence, and respectfully suggest we ignore your last one, and just keep working our asses off to BURY that futhermucker. Hopes and wishes and unicorns and leprechauns don't buy us out of this; only by working harder and smarter than we ever have will we prevail in November.

(PS, I'm not accusing you of the wishful thinking bit. I'm just trying to keep eyes on the prize--PRESIDENT BIDEN!) Let's go kick some tRump ASS--together!!

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Response to lastlib (Reply #18)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:49 PM

30. Plus, the knuckle draggers love it all.

They love everything that comes out of his mouth. They think it makes him some kind of alpha male. He can't say anything stupid, disgusting, enraging, or insulting enough for them to not support him. He'll never shoot himself in the foot...even if he had dead aim on it, some sycophant would take the bullet for him.

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Response to WinstonSmith4740 (Reply #30)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:25 PM

38. Let's just say...

If Captain Trumpatoonia were my commanding officer and I was one of his troops and we were about to go off into a big, fierce battle, I would just shoot myself to get it over with quickly and avoid the coming hassles

That's how far off their projection is. Only a fool would follow that clown turd into any grave situation. He would lead people into a losing battle and then hide under the bodies and tweet about his great strategy.

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Response to Newest Reality (Reply #38)

Sun May 17, 2020, 05:35 PM

52. Captain Trumpatoonia!

That's one petunia that will smell pretty rotten!

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Response to JGug1 (Reply #11)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:25 PM

37. We need to be ultra vigilant, yes. Only thing, comey's stunt so close to the election

really put the kabosh on HRC's apparent victory. Her numbers went down after his maneuver whether intentional or not. I will never give him a pass on this.

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Response to JGug1 (Reply #11)

Sun May 17, 2020, 05:01 PM

47. No we don't... we need to be enthusiastic and engaged and vote but not down in the dumps gloomy

which dampens down the vote.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:15 PM

12. No biggie

They'll just get the Russians to help again.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:29 PM

13. ONLY. IF. EVERYONE. VOTES. Virus or no virus. n/t

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Response to CousinIT (Reply #13)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:42 PM

16. Yes,...ONLY IF EVERONE VOTES...BUT A GREAT MAJORITY WILL VOTE..

because Donald Trump is a ....repulsive person

He has shown himself to be so to everyone in the last 5 months. That is clear, plain, and very simple..

When voting time comes, that great majority will vote for that reason..Is it 58%, 62% or more? (64%)
No one knows. Trump is a ..bully, ignorant and total repulsive person

He had a major issue, the virus, and he failed on all fronts of this problem. But this is not financial, or political...this was a problem of life and death

Yes Trump failed and in November when Trump says, he was "successful" on the "Virus Topic"

The lie will be seen by all, and many former supporters will vote for anyone else..Biden is a great choice because he has experience, honesty, and been through a whole lot. I believe it will be a landslide for Biden
...

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Response to Stuart G (Reply #16)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:30 PM

39. He's not waiting until November. Already said he's saved lives in this epidemic. 😤

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Response to CousinIT (Reply #13)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:03 PM

21. Hopefully by November we'll have better safeguards against

the Coronavirus so people will be able to vote. And who knows, we might all be voting by mail by then. The House is fighting for it.

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Response to lunatica (Reply #21)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:30 PM

40. Issue with vote by mail: Trump's donor goon is Postmaster Gen + USPS will be privatized by then. n/t

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Response to CousinIT (Reply #40)

Sun May 17, 2020, 06:05 PM

54. At this point

I do not trust voting by mail not one little bit.
Way to easy to "lose" ballots and absolutely no way to safeguard this.

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Response to Squidly (Reply #54)

Sun May 17, 2020, 07:02 PM

58. Especially with Trump's donor goon in charge. LOTS of ballots will be "lost"

This scares the shit out of me. Democrats are all pushing for vote by mail but with Trump's unqualified goon (only qualification is that he donated bigly to Trump) in charge, orders will be given to interfere with anything resembling a ballot. And once it's bankrupt and privatized, postage and shipping costs will be through the roof, and delivery grossly unreliable - and totally unavailable in rural areas.

I think able people are going to have to just suck it up and go to the polls. Those who usually voted absentee prior to this will not have another choice - disabled or those who don't have transportation.

As for me, I'm taking a mask and gloves and going to the damn polls. I'm taking hand sanitizer and wipes in my car and will wash my hands and disinfect the minute I get home. But I'm going to vote normally.

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Response to CousinIT (Reply #58)

Sun May 17, 2020, 07:32 PM

62. Im going to look into volunteering

To drive people to the polls. Im going to do all I can.

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Response to CousinIT (Reply #40)

Sun May 17, 2020, 08:39 PM

65. Let's hope someone can fight back effectively

I feel liken weíre in a race against time, like the kid sticking a finger in the dyke.

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Response to lunatica (Reply #65)

Sun May 17, 2020, 09:03 PM

67. Pelosi just said it's up to the American people to fight this so...

...whoever your reps are, call their offices and send them letters and emails. Especially if they're goddamned Republicans.

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Response to CousinIT (Reply #67)

Sun May 17, 2020, 09:12 PM

68. My reps are all Democrats in both houses

I canít tell you how grateful I am about that!

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Response to CousinIT (Reply #13)

Mon May 18, 2020, 12:36 AM

81. true

We have to work hard to get the vote out.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 02:40 PM

15. Excellent!

May the dotard experience humiliations galore. May all repugs experience humiliations galore.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:07 PM

22. TX OH FL NC AZ

we'll be ok if we take 3 or 4 of those, but MN and WI still leaning Dem

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:16 PM

24. As we get closer to the election some polling will show the race tightening and cat grabber will

miraculously win 3 or 4 states by a total of less than 100,000 votes. He will lose the real vote by a massive margin, but win the electoral college. He will claim unprecedented levels of voter fraud. The fix is in and that's why republicans are not deserting, what should be, a sinking ship. This is a rigged election.

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Response to johnthewoodworker (Reply #24)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:51 PM

42. None of this will happen. Trump is a one-term president and that's all there is to it.

Last edited Sun May 17, 2020, 05:45 PM - Edit history (1)


But thanks for the absurd negativity. No better way to rally a base than to proclaim doom-and-gloom. /s

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Response to John Fante (Reply #42)

Sun May 17, 2020, 05:09 PM

49. One has to wonder what motivates such posts...hmmm

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Response to Demsrule86 (Reply #49)

Sun May 17, 2020, 06:10 PM

55. I think the posters motivation is

We cant let up on the gas.
If we get too sure of ourselves we are not going to like the outcome.
I too believe the fix is in...thats why we need to crush him with numbers so large that whatever they are cooking up is going to burn in the pan.

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Response to johnthewoodworker (Reply #24)

Sun May 17, 2020, 05:08 PM

48. You are wrong. And insisting Trump wins on a Democratic site is not a goo thing to do.

Trump will not win...and your words are not reflective of our situation. We can beat Trump if we vote.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:39 PM

26. 'Based on leaks from his "team."'

iow, to be trusted as much as anything else that leaks out of Trump's "team".

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Response to 0rganism (Reply #26)

Sun May 17, 2020, 04:53 PM

44. If the reverse were true, Trump would be tweeting the results for all to see.

He LOVES polls when the numbers are favorable to him.

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Response to John Fante (Reply #44)

Sun May 17, 2020, 05:11 PM

50. it doesn't matter what the truth is, he brag-tweets anyway

to his followers, his tweets create truth.
the absolute certainty of his followers leads many others to suspend disbelief.
the media risks further outrage if they report more of what the viewers "know" to be untrue, so they clam up and go with the flow.
lo and behold, the prevailing media narrative on the topic is how well Trump is doing in swing state polls (based on an unscientific segmentation of a larger mainstream poll from last week, iirc)
thus, for Trump's PR purposes, polling is kind of secondary -- he probably doesn't ever see any poll results that his staff thinks might piss him off. the contents of polls won't affect his strategy, especially this early.

meanwhile, an unsourced leak from his staff is saying the internals look bad for him. maybe they do.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 03:43 PM

28. I want more voters to understand that it is life-threatening to vote for ANY Republican.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 05:16 PM

51. Good news, but a lot of time left...

and a lot of work to do.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 06:49 PM

56. Texaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaas!

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Response to dvan (Reply #56)

Sun May 17, 2020, 09:39 PM

73. I keep waiting for Texas farmers and ranchers to wake up.

They've allowed privately-owned oil and gas companies to declare eminent domain and take private property without recourse. They even passed a law in the last legislative session making it a felony for landowners to protest. (I assume physical actions, not oral or written.)

Kinder Morgan has divided land held in families for generations, refused to negotiate a better, safer path that did less damage to the landowners, and are bulldozing huge swaths through the Texas Hill Country.

When are they going to realize they're going to keep getting screwed if they keep voting the same way.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 06:57 PM

57. if there's one thing I've learned from horror films...

it's to NEVER turn your back on the monster and think that just because he's down it's for good.

We need to go for total voting annihilation.
50 state strategy - go for it ALL, never let up, all hands on deck.

never turn your back on the monster

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 07:08 PM

59. I sure hope that's accurate.

Because if you give Trump every tossup state on that map, plus Florida, he still loses.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 08:33 PM

64. Don't assume anything

Remember that Trump has Putin on his side.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 09:45 PM

74. how do you know this is based on internal gop polls?

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 11:05 PM

76. If there were any justice, 334/141 would be Trump's blood pressure

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Sun May 17, 2020, 11:20 PM

77. It's May. Don't believe the hype. TX, NC, and FLA will go to Trump in the end.

The key three states are PA-WI-MI. Win those and Trump is done.

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Response to Yavin4 (Reply #77)

Sun May 17, 2020, 11:47 PM

78. I want those three and Arizona.

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Response to Yavin4 (Reply #77)

Mon May 18, 2020, 12:33 AM

80. FL and NC won't

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Response to rockfordfile (Reply #80)

Mon May 18, 2020, 12:59 PM

88. NC is iffy at best, and FLA is corrupt as hell.

No way Trump loses FLA with a Republican governor.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2020, 12:42 AM

82. I think Ohio will go Biden.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2020, 10:35 AM

85. Yes!

Please God let it be so! Not only to save our country but also to wipe the smirk off the faces of the MAGA morons who keep bragging that Trump is gonna "win in a landslide!"

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2020, 01:31 PM

89. Je adore Arizona bleu

This is the DU member formerly known as saidsimplesimon.

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2020, 02:55 PM

90. electoral-vote.com has the senate turning blue, too. 51!!! GOP 49

https://electoral-vote.com/

Biden 319 frump 204

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Response to writes3000 (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2020, 03:07 PM

91. 538: Biden's steady lead of 6 points highest against incumbent since '44

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/if-trump-is-down-in-the-polls-why-do-so-many-americans-think-hell-win/

If Trump Is Down In The Polls, Why Do So Many Americans Think Heíll Win?

sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): FiveThirtyEight alum Harry Enten found that former Vice President Joe Bidenís average lead of 6 percentage points over President Trump is the steadiest lead in a race with an incumbent running since at least 1944. In other words, Biden has led, on average, by 6 points since the beginning of 2020, but heís also led by 6 points since the beginning of 2019.


One thing thatís stood out to me is Trumpís lost points among voters who donít like either candidate running. In 2016, Trump won these voters by a large margin, but here in 2020, theyíre breaking overwhelmingly for Biden.

geoffrey.skelley: For me, itís hard not to connect Trumpís standing in the polls with his approval rating. Itís been consistently stuck between roughly 40 and 45 percent in most polls. And, overall, heís at about 45 percent in FiveThirtyEightís tracker of registered or likely voter polls, with about 52 percent of voters who disapprove of him (his approval has generally been a little better among voters than adults, and voters will determine his future).

Iíd argue that this had real repercussions in the 2018 midterms, too. Just look at the exit polls ó 88 percent of voters who approved of Trump voted for the GOP, but 90 percent of those who disapproved of him voted Democratic. So, if many more people continue to disapprove than approve of Trump, I think itíll be challenging for him to win.

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