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NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts)
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:38 PM May 2020

Looking like a MASSIVE Biden landslide in November! (400 EVs?)

Check out the latest 538 polls:


Ga.

May 16-18, 2020
B/C
Civiqs
1,339
RV
Biden
48%
47%
Trump
Biden
+1
President: general election
Fla.

May 14-17, 2020
C/D
Point Blank Political
2,149
LV
Biden
52%
48%
Trump
Biden
+5
President: general election
Fla.

May 14-17, 2020
C/D
Point Blank Political
2,149
LV
Biden
45%
44%
Trump
Biden
+1
President: general election
Va.

May 3-16, 2020
B/C
Roanoke College
563
LV
Biden
51%
39%
Trump
Biden
+12
President: general election
Ariz.
May 9-11, 2020
B/C
OH Predictive Insights
600
LV
Biden
50%
43%
Trump
Biden
+7
President: general election
Tenn.
Apr 22-May 1, 2020
B/C
East Tennessee State University
536
LV
Biden
36%
53%
Trump
Trump
+17

Huge national leads. Leading in all the key states. Of course, anything can happen but, as long as we don't screw things up, we're looking at something perhaps approaching 400 EVs, the House, and the Senate in November baby!

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Looking like a MASSIVE Biden landslide in November! (400 EVs?) (Original Post) NewsCenter28 May 2020 OP
I posted a few months ago that the Republicans will be wiped out in November amd I still think so SoonerPride May 2020 #1
The wind is at our backs peggysue2 May 2020 #2
From your lips to God's ear. But right now COLGATE4 May 2020 #3
Shhhh!!! No-hitter! No-hitter! Tommy_Carcetti May 2020 #4
We need a blue wave to wash out the red poison! Initech May 2020 #5
I hope so, but I wouldn't count on it with the voting suppression that repukes have been pushing still_one May 2020 #6
Yeah, let's not start in with that stuff. We need to beat the snot out of these clowns coti May 2020 #7
Just stop it. Ms. Toad May 2020 #8
It's actually quite the reverse NewsCenter28 May 2020 #15
2016. I rest my case. Ms. Toad May 2020 #22
With all due respect Mrs Toad, I disagree. honest.abe May 2020 #17
2016. I rest my case. Ms. Toad May 2020 #21
There were numerous reasons Hillary lost in 2016. honest.abe May 2020 #23
We need to run like we are 20 points behind. Don't believe polls. redstatebluegirl May 2020 #9
Absolutely. Girard442 May 2020 #11
Good news, but a lot of time left... Wounded Bear May 2020 #14
Pelosi's HERO'S Act, House Democrats include $3.6 billion for mail-in voting Budi May 2020 #10
Won't surprise me that much if Death Count Donnie is a big obese ZERO by November? Brainfodder May 2020 #12
Vote oswaldactedalone May 2020 #13
I hope he needs to be batten bad, real bad. If not doc03 May 2020 #16
I hope so. But Hillary was ahead right up to the week of the election. We need to keep working. Midnight Writer May 2020 #18
My exact thought. Doreen May 2020 #20
We need to approach this like it's dead even. 11 Bravo May 2020 #19

SoonerPride

(12,286 posts)
1. I posted a few months ago that the Republicans will be wiped out in November amd I still think so
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:40 PM
May 2020

The American people are sick of their shit and their shitty president

peggysue2

(10,826 posts)
2. The wind is at our backs
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:54 PM
May 2020

That being said, no time to let up with the pounding and reminding and truth slinging. That and a fierce GOTV strategy will take this to the finish line for a win not only for the Democratic Party but the country overall. Our future is hanging in the balance.

We can do this!!! Because we must.

Never forget, never forgive.

COLGATE4

(14,732 posts)
3. From your lips to God's ear. But right now
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:55 PM
May 2020

we should be organizing, planning and working as if we were 8 points behind. We cannot take anything for granted and we certainly cannot take another 4 years of Dummy.

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,157 posts)
4. Shhhh!!! No-hitter! No-hitter!
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:57 PM
May 2020

The rules are, if your pitcher is throwing a no-hitter, never, ever mention that to him.

still_one

(92,110 posts)
6. I hope so, but I wouldn't count on it with the voting suppression that repukes have been pushing
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:57 PM
May 2020

which is why we much be vigilant and insure a huge turnout

coti

(4,612 posts)
7. Yeah, let's not start in with that stuff. We need to beat the snot out of these clowns
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:58 PM
May 2020

to both push back against the election fraud and the Russians and to destroy any argument Trump is going to try to make to not acknowledge the results. No mercy.

Ms. Toad

(34,055 posts)
8. Just stop it.
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:58 PM
May 2020

Talk like this encourages the same kind of complacency that contributed to Trump's 2016 win.

NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts)
15. It's actually quite the reverse
Tue May 19, 2020, 03:51 PM
May 2020

If Toad was way ahead and Biden looked like a loser, I'd tune out the news and the campaign; and probably not even bother to vote in November. The fact that Uncle Joe is doing so well only energizes me more for the election. Who wants to go out and vote when you know you're going to lose anyway? Going out to vote for a winner on the other hand feels darn good.

The polls actually showed a tight race in 2016. So, if someone stayed home because they thought Hillary had it in the bag, they obviously weren't paying enough attention.

Polls prove this. People are more likely to answer polls when they feel their candidate is doing well and vice versa, according to the research.

Now, of course, I'm not saying that Toad doesn't have nasty surprises in store that may narrow the race but I think the baseline of this election is a Biden landslide. It's up to the KGOP to try to revert that baseline.

honest.abe

(8,648 posts)
17. With all due respect Mrs Toad, I disagree.
Tue May 19, 2020, 04:03 PM
May 2020

I think Democrats tend to show up to vote more when things are looking optimistic. If things look dire we tend to give up. Of course that is a broad generalization and not all voters are like that. I for one will show up not matter what.

honest.abe

(8,648 posts)
23. There were numerous reasons Hillary lost in 2016.
Tue May 19, 2020, 08:53 PM
May 2020

Democratic voters feeling overly optimistic would not have been in the top 10.

redstatebluegirl

(12,265 posts)
9. We need to run like we are 20 points behind. Don't believe polls.
Tue May 19, 2020, 02:59 PM
May 2020

Trolls are using this tactic to get our base to be less aggressive in our GOTV work.

Girard442

(6,066 posts)
11. Absolutely.
Tue May 19, 2020, 03:30 PM
May 2020

If you feel like you may be getting overconfident, revisit the history of a few previous elections.

 

Budi

(15,325 posts)
10. Pelosi's HERO'S Act, House Democrats include $3.6 billion for mail-in voting
Tue May 19, 2020, 03:26 PM
May 2020

(Or..Why McConnell won't vote on it & Trump won't sign it.)

It gives power to the American people .

Thanks to all House members for supporting & Voting for The HERO'S Act.



Brainfodder

(6,423 posts)
12. Won't surprise me that much if Death Count Donnie is a big obese ZERO by November?
Tue May 19, 2020, 03:30 PM
May 2020

Will have killed off enough of his own supporters by then, maybe?

It's only MAY, this jackass still has 5.5 months of daily deluge and growing ire to content with!

POTATOgate is just more hilarious stooge nonsense, his brand?

doc03

(35,321 posts)
16. I hope he needs to be batten bad, real bad. If not
Tue May 19, 2020, 03:54 PM
May 2020

he will stir up violence. I can see those nuts in DC with
AR15s. Barr was right about one thing the winners write the History. If he loses he will go down as the worst presdent.

Doreen

(11,686 posts)
20. My exact thought.
Tue May 19, 2020, 04:15 PM
May 2020

More than anything we need to fight like hell against gerrymandering and Russian ( outside interference.)

I am not worried about Biden getting the popular vote but I see a Hillary scenario again if we do not fight the right things.

11 Bravo

(23,926 posts)
19. We need to approach this like it's dead even.
Tue May 19, 2020, 04:04 PM
May 2020

I think that my state (VA) s a relatively safe Biden win. But I will be making calls, and helping transport people to the polls in November.
I don't want Trump defeated. I want him bitch-slapped. I want him curb-stomped. I want him embarrassed to ever show his ugly orange mug in public for the rest of his miserable life.

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