Utah - Trump leading by only 3 points - poll finds concern for Trump

[sunonmars]

https://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/23932-poll-donald-trump-leads-biden-by-just-3-points-in-utah

The last time Utah voted for a Democrat for president was Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964. The Beehive State’s 56-year streak of voting for Republicans for president may be in real danger according to a new poll.

The UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2 News survey conducted by Y2 Analytics finds Republican Donald Trump leading presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden by just 3 points, 44-41 percent. 8 percent of likely voters say they would support a third-party candidate. 5 percent were undecided while 1 percent picked another candidate.

The close race is likely a factor of Trump’s unpopularity instead of rising support for Biden. Trump’s lead shrunk 2 points from our April survey showing him leading Biden 46-41 percent.

Trump’s poor showing in Utah is in line with 2016 when he carried the state with just 45.5 percent. Clearly, Trump has not expanded his base of support since that time.

The “gender gap” in our poll is huge as male voters in Utah are much more supportive of the president than women voters. Trump leads Biden among men 51-35 percent, but trails Biden among women voters 47-37 percent. If you add the 16 point lead for Trump among men, and Biden’s 10 point lead among women, you get a 24 point gender gap.

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They have to be worried about that and maybe Biden needs to pay them a visit, just to see. Longshot but it just feels like one of those years.

[Mike 03]

1. This sentence stands out:

8 percent of likely voters say they would support a third-party candidate

That seems a pretty high percentage, generally. Maybe Utahns are more inclined to vote for third party candidate?

[Wounded Bear]

2. I don't think Mormons in general like Trump, but...

they don't like Dems either. Either way, if they don't vote Trump it helps Joe.

[sunonmars]

3. They did in 2016 Trump only got 45% - Clinton and the other guy got 54% combined.

Last edited Tue May 26, 2020, 09:59 AM - Edit history (1)

[beachbumbob]

4. GOP everywhere are owned by trump and therefore they sink with him as the american people will

have their say on Nov 3rd.

[sunonmars]

8. Cannot wait

[uponit7771]

5. This is messaging, no way Obama gets away with playing golf and killing 100,000 people and putting..

... 40 million people out of work and he'd be up 3% in any state.

[samsingh]

7. im ashamed to be a man sometimes. why do they support criminals like drumpf

[roamer65]

9. Having to put resources into TX and UT will drain the Repuke coffers.

Especially TX.

[sunonmars]

10. The more areas we force them to defend the better.